Blavatnik Public Lecture Series

Professor Hilary Greaves – Extinction Risk and Population Ethics

Friday June 10 @ 4:00 pm - 5:30 pm

Location details here: http://cser.org/event/professor-hilary-greaves/

Abstract. How important is it that we reduce the risk of human
extinction? This depends sensitively on fundamental questions in moral
theory. On the one hand, if humanity goes extinct prematurely, vast
amounts of well-being will be lost – all the well-being that would
have been contained in the future lives that are prevented, by the
premature extinction event, from coming into existence. On the other
hand, if humanity goes extinct prematurely, then (aside from the
suffering involved in the process of extinction itself) the extinction
event seems to be in one clear sense victimless – precisely because of
the extinction, there do not exist any persons who lose the well-being
in question. The first thought suggests that reducing the risk of
extinction is about the most important thing we could do; the second
suggests it is a matter of relative indifference. I will argue for the
first thought over the second, via arguing that the moral theory that
would be required to justify the second, however initially intuitive,
is not in the end coherent. A further question, initially apparently
unrelated, is what the optimal size is for the human population at any
given time; many in the public sphere are increasingly concerned about
overpopulation, for reasons related to resource scarcity, climate
change, economic growth or others. I will first suggest that if the
arguments in the first part of my talk are correct, these make it much
harder to argue that population size ought to be reduced via any of
the usual routes. Second, however, I will sketch one new (and
tentative) argument for population-size reduction that is a *result*
of the thesis that extinction risk is overwhelmingly important.



-- 
Huw Price
Bertrand Russell Professor of Philosophy
Academic Director, CSER.ORG
University of Cambridge

Mail: Trinity College, Cambridge CB2 1TQ
Ph & voicemail: +44 1223 (3)32987
Web: prce.hu/w/

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