*CSER Blavatnik Public Lecture with Prof Hilary Greaves (Oxford)*

*Extinction risk and population ethics*

Friday, 10 June 2016, 16:00 to 17:30, Hopkinson Lecture Theatre, New
Museums Site [see details below]

This lecture is open to all – no registration required


Abstract:

How important is it that we reduce the risk of human extinction? This
depends sensitively on fundamental questions in moral theory. On the one
hand, if humanity goes extinct prematurely, vast amounts of well-being will
be lost - all the well-being that would have been contained in the future
lives that are prevented, by the premature extinction event, from coming
into existence. On the other hand, if humanity goes extinct prematurely,
then (aside from the suffering involved in the process of extinction
itself) the extinction event seems to be in one clear sense victimless -
precisely because of the extinction, there do not exist any persons who
lose the well-being in question. The first thought suggests that reducing
the risk of extinction is about the most important thing we could do; the
second suggests it is a matter of relative indifference. I will argue for
the first thought over the second, via arguing that the moral theory that
would be required to justify the second, however initially intuitive, is
not in the end coherent.

A further question, initially apparently unrelated, is what the optimal
size is for the human population at any given time; many in the public
sphere are increasingly concerned about overpopulation, for reasons related
to resource scarcity, climate change, economic growth or others. I will
first suggest that if the arguments in the first part of my talk are
correct, these make it much harder to argue that population size ought to
be reduced via any of the usual routes. Second, however, I will sketch one
new (and tentative) argument for population-size reduction that is a
*result* of the thesis that extinction risk is overwhelmingly important.


HOW TO FIND THE TALK


The Hopkinson Lecture Theatre is adjacent to HPS on Free School Lane, but
the entrance is at the back of the building, not on Free School Lane
itself.

Here's the easiest way to find it. Walk north on Free School Lane (i.e.
away from Pembroke Street) until you reach the archway into the New Museums
Site. Go through the arch, turn right immediately, and follow the lane
about 70m. Where the lane turns left, the entrance you need is on the right
(and well signposted at that point).

Map here: http://map.cam.ac.uk/Hopkinson
+Lecture+Theatre#52.203036,0.119635,17


-- 
Huw Price
Bertrand Russell Professor of Philosophy
Academic Director, CSER.ORG
University of Cambridge

Mail: Trinity College, Cambridge CB2 1TQ
Ph & voicemail: +44 1223 (3)32987
Web: prce.hu/w/
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