Dear all,

Welcome back! For the first meeting of the SMG in Lent we will have Prof. Hugh 
Mellor (Cambridge) and Prof. Richard Bradley (London School of Economics) 
jointly presenting a talk entitled ‘Conditionals: Truth and Safety’ (abstract 
below). As usual it will be on Wednesday (the 23rd), from 4.30 to 6.00pm in the 
Philosophy Faculty Board Room. The talk should last about 45 minutes followed 
by questions and discussion. All graduate students are welcome.

After the talk we will be going to a nearby restaurant for dinner. If you would 
like to join Prof. Mellor and Prof. Bradley (at your own expense) please let me 
know by midday on Tuesday.

A full list of speakers for Lent term is available here: 
https://www.phil.cam.ac.uk/seminars-phil/SMG

Abstract:
We argue that for conditionals to be true is for them to be truth-preserving 
or, for short, safe: i.e. for their consequents to be true if their antecedents 
are true. We start by noting how some of the conditionals we accept affect 
whether we will or should do something as a means to an end, and how those 
actions will succeed if and only if those conditionals are safe. This link 
between instrumental success and conditional safety mirrors that between actual 
fact and unconditional truth, a coincidence we say is best explained if, for 
all conditionals, truth is safety. We argue for this in two stages: first, by 
showing how conditionals other than those we act on – third-person, indicative 
and subjunctive, past-referring, non-contingent, and complex – also have 
‘safety values’ that coincide with credible truth values; and secondly, by 
giving a semantics for conditionals on which their safety values behave like 
truth values in truth functions with other conditional and unconditional 
constituents.

I hope to see you there!

Nathan Hawkins
PhD student in Philosophy
Cambridge University

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