The election of Barack Obama
5 November 2008

Democratic candidate Barack Obama won an overwhelming victory over
Republican John McCain in the US presidential election Tuesday, and
the Democrats significantly increased their majorities in both the
House of Representatives and the US Senate.

As of midnight, Obama was projected to win 338 electoral votes
compared to 156 for McCain, with five states still too close to call.
A total of 270 electoral votes is required for victory. The Democrats
had gained at least five seats in the Senate and nearly 20 seats in
the House, with the outcome of many contests still undetermined.

Obama carried 26 states: all 19 won by the 2004 Democratic candidate
John Kerry and seven states won by Bush in that election--Virginia,
Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada. He was leading
in three more states won by Bush in 2004--Indiana, North Carolina and
Montana.

Obama's national margin in the popular vote will approach ten million.
He has won by the largest margin for a non-incumbent candidate for
president since Eisenhower in 1952.

First and foremost, the election outcome is a massive repudiation of
the Bush presidency, the Republican Party and nearly three decades of
right-wing domination of American politics. It is a watershed
election, one which reflects, in the electoral framework, the massive
demographic, socio-economic and cultural shifts over the past quarter-
century.

All of the right-wing nostrums reiterated by the media and political
establishment of both parties in recent years—that America is a
"right" or "center-right" nation with a majority of "red states"
unshakably loyal to the Republicans, that religion and cultural
"values" are the decisive political issues—have been shattered.

More significantly, the election's outcome has disproved the claim
that the United States is a racist nation, and that irrational racial
animosities trump all other issues. According to exit polls, only a
very small percentage of voters stated that the issue of race exerted
any influence on their vote. Instead, under the impact of war,
financial crisis and deepening recession, tens of millions, in a
completely rational manner, voted to express their democratic and
essentially egalitarian aspirations—although, given the distorted and
limiting framework of official politics, the only outlet for their
sentiments was a vote for the Democrats.

Polls also show that two-thirds of the immense youth vote went to
Obama.

The result is shipwreck for the Republican Party, with its
presidential base reduced to a regional rump, consisting of the Deep
South and the largely rural states of the interior West. Obama swept
the East Coast from Maine down to Florida, the industrial Midwest, the
entire Pacific Coast and much of the Mountain West.

The Republicans lost Senate seats in every region of the country.
Democrats captured vacant seats in Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico
and defeated incumbent Republicans in New Hampshire and North
Carolina, with seats in Oregon, Alaska and Minnesota still
undetermined. Not a single incumbent Democratic senator was defeated.

In the House of Representatives, Democrats captured three Republican-
held seats in New York, three in Virginia, two in Ohio, two in
Florida, two in New Mexico, and one each in Connecticut, Pennsylvania,
North Carolina, Alabama, Illinois, Colorado, Arizona, Nevada and
Idaho. Only three Democratic incumbents were defeated, in Florida,
Louisiana and Texas.

Millions of people in America and billions around the world are
greeting the sweeping Republican defeat with a sense of relief and
even exhilaration. However, their interpretation of the Obama victory
is very different from that of the Democratic Party leadership,
including Obama himself, and the ruling class constituency that backed
the Illinois senator.

The US media will doubtless say that the Democratic victory is not a
mandate for a radical change of course. Already, even before the votes
were counted and Obama's victory was officially acknowledged, leading
Democrats were putting forward precisely this position. New Mexico
Governor Bill Richardson, who threw his support to Obama during the
Democratic primary contest, cautioned Tuesday night that the Democrats
should "be modest" and "seek alliances." Georgia Congressman John
Lewis echoed these remarks, saying the Democrats had to "go slowly"
and pursue a "bipartisan" course.

In fact, Tuesday's election was a clear popular mandate for a reversal
of right-wing policies that have largely been of a bipartisan
character.

Whatever satisfaction the Democratic Party draws from its victory is
tempered by the realization within President-elect Obama's inner
circle, the party leadership and the political establishment that the
mass expectations and hopes aroused by the election will not be easily
contained. The outcome of the election sets the stage for a new and
protracted period of intense class conflict in the United States.

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