http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/FE26Ak05.html

Iraq's religious tide cannot be turned back
By Nir Rosen

BAGHDAD - With the June 30 deadline for the handover of sovereignty from the
occupying coalition powers to an Iraqi authority, the search is on for a
suitable recipient. While the Americans handed control of Fallujah to a
coalition of warlords and radical clerics, they are still searching for some
authority in the south with any sort of legitimacy to take over the cities
there where US troops have been battling Shi'ite militias. While Sunnis in
Iraq  have former military officers who can command authority, they still
rely on radical Islamic clerics to provide them with legitimacy. In the
Shi'ite south, there are no secular or military authorities, only clerics.
It would seem that the United States is on the road to creating an Iraq of
fiefdoms ruled by warlords and clerics, as is the case now in Afghanistan.

A year after conquering Iraq, the US military fought bloody battles to
retake many cities, and in the case of Fallujah it was forced to cede
control of the city to the very people it had wrested it from a year before.
A mere two months before a promised transfer of sovereignty to the Iraqi
people, the United States was fighting a two-front war against Sunnis and
Shi'ites, belying official claims that "the enemy" is a small minority of
"former regime loyalists" and foreign fighters and increasingly proving that
the enemy is the Iraqi people who have rejected the occupation.

Armed gangs control the streets. To anyone listening to the Iraqi people,
this was all fore-ordained and the only surprise has been how quickly US
blunders provoked the inevitable. It will get worse before it gets even more
worse. Though Iraq's Sunnis and Shi'ites are united in their hatred of the
United States, when the common enemy has left they will not celebrate long
before turning on each other in a bloody civil war over who will define the
nature of the new theocracy in Iraq.

Signs of trouble were evident already in the December 2002 London Iraqi
opposition congress. The final statement of that meeting declared that Islam
was the official religion of Iraq and that Islam was "the" source of
legislation, rather than merely "a" source, as the English translation of
the interim constitution now says. But this was the opposition in exile.
What were the Iraqi people thinking and what would they want? The
administration insisted that Iraqis were secular, like their regime, and
would not seek to establish a theocracy, as is the case with their neighbors
in Saudi Arabia and Iran. When US civil administrator L Paul Bremer
announced that Islam would not be the primary source of law for the new
constitution, his decision was greeted with universal condemnation by
Shi'ite and Sunni leaders alike.

While Iraqi society was once among the most secular in the Middle East, it
has become increasingly religious. Iraq's once avowedly secular Ba'ath Party
was founded by a Shi'ite, and Shi'ites had once dominated the Communist
Party. In the late 1950s, the Dawa (Religious Call) movement was formed by
Shi'ite theological students to combat this communist influence in their
slums. The movement benefited from the regime's decimation of their
communist rivals. Its leader Muhammad Baqir Sadr wrote books about Islamic
politics and economics to prove that Islam provided solutions to all social
questions. He was killed in 1980 for opposing the regime, and has since been
known as "the first martyr".

The paranoid Ba'ath Party regime sought to control every part of society. It
was most threatened by the autonomy of the Shi'ite clergy, organized in a
loose academy called the Hawza in the holy city of Najaf. The ability of
Shi'ite religious institutions to mobilize tens of thousands of their
followers terrified the Ba'athists, as it had the Ottomans long before them,
and Saddam Hussein sought to dominate the Hawza through violence and
co-option. From 1969, Shi'ites were in constant battle with the regime, and
violence erupted every year. Every time the Iraqi government clashed with
Iran, the Ba'ath regime demanded that the Shi'ite clergy take sides in the
disagreements between the two neighbors. Shi'ite alienation from the Ba'ath
Party began in 1963 when the party split along denominational lines. The
leftist wing of the party, mostly Shi'ite, was seen as pro-Syrian, and the
centrist anti-Syrian wing was mostly Sunni. The two Ba'ath Party-run states
competed for legitimacy, and Iraq's Shi'ites were seen as suspect since
Syria was run by the Alawis, a sect that had split off from the Shi'ites.

The legacy of the first martyr was inherited by his nephew Muhammad Sadiq
Sadr, who declared himself the wali, or leader of the faithful, a position
higher even than Iranian Islamic revolution leader ayatollah Ruhollah
Khomeini's, and whose work focused on the Mahdi, or Shi'ite messiah who is
expected to return on judgment day. Sadr established a network of followers
in towns and villages throughout Iraq during the 1990s. He was less a
philosopher and more a populist and mystic, his writings obsessed with the
return of the Mahdi. Sadr and his sons were assassinated by the regime in
1999 for opposing Saddam and Muhammad Sadiq Sadr became known as the second
martyr. Sadr's serene Santa Claus-like black-turbaned visage dominated the
walls of every Shi'ite neighborhood alongside posters of his uncle and other
radical figures such as ayatollah Khomeini of Iran.

Immediately after the collapse of the Ba'ath regime a year ago, his last
remaining son, Muqtada, who had been living in hiding, donned an imama, or
cleric's turban, and capitalized on this vast network to establish offices
of his representatives throughout the country, seizing mosques, religious
and former Ba'athist headquarters, and even hospitals. Muqtada's
representatives provided security and social services, filling the power
vacuum and even changing the name of Saddam City, the vast Shi'ite slum of
eastern Baghdad, home to about 3 million, to Sadr City. By the time the
occupying powers had realized a state and government had virtually been
created under their noses, it was too late to undermine Sadr's authority.

Muqtada attracted the alienated and angry Shi'ites, pitting his movement
against the American occupiers and more traditional clerics, such as
Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani. Last June, when Muqtada's name was proposed as a
possible member of the US-appointed Iraqi Governing Council, other Shi'ite
members rejected the idea. Muqtada and his constituency were radicalized by
the exclusion, and he was pushed into the hands of Ayatollah Kadhim
al-Haeri, his father's top student and intellectual heir, living in Iranian
exile. Though Muqtada's politics were inchoate, lacking ideology and seeking
only inclusion and power, Haeri was a rigid Khomeinist, with a clearly
defined political program aimed at establishing a theocracy in Iraq, just as
Khomeini had established his in Iran 25 years ago when he ousted the
monarch.

Sunni-Shi'ite cooperation against the Americans emerged immediately after
the war. Ahmad Kubeisi, Iraq's most important Sunni scholar, led a protest
in April 2003. The sermon that followed the prayer was unique for its
nationalism. Baghdad had been occupied by the Mongols, the sheikh said,
referring to the sacking of the capital of the Muslim world in 1258. Now new
Mongols were occupying Baghdad and they were creating divisions between
Sunnis and Shi'ites. The Shi'ites and Sunnis were one, however, and they
should remain united and reject foreign control. They had all suffered
together as one people under Saddam's rule. Saddam oppressed all Iraqis and
then he abandoned them to suffer. There were no Sunnis or Shi'ites, all
Iraqis were Muslims, and they had defended their country together from the
Americans and British as a united people.

On top of the mosque's walls stood young men holding banners proclaiming
"One Iraq, One People", "We Reject Foreign Control", "Sunnis Are Shi'ites
And Shi'ites Are Sunnis, We Are All One", "All the Believers Are Brothers",
and similar proclamations of national unity. Throughout Iraq radical Sunnis
and Shi'ites held joint prayers and their militias supported each other,
culminating in the battles of Fallujah, Najaf and Karbala, when radical
Sunni, former Ba'athist and hardline Shi'ite militias, collectively known as
the muqawama, or resistance, sent medical aid and weapons to one another and
even fought together.

Sunnis were expected to be secular, but in the past decade they, too, had
become radicalized. It started in 1979, when Khomeini seized power in Iran.
Khomeini condemned the Ba'athist regime for its "atheism" and "apostasy",
and alleged it was anti-Muslim. Seeking to deflect these blows, Saddam
changed his rhetoric. Michel Aflaq, an atheist of Christian background who
had founded the Ba'ath Party, was rewritten into history as a Muslim. During
the crisis resulting from his August 1990 invasion of Kuwait, Saddam
increased his Islamic propaganda, portraying himself as an Islamic warrior
battling the infidels and heretics led by the Americans.

In January 1991, Saddam added the words "Allahu akbar", or "God is great",
to the Iraqi flag. He was now leading an Islamic army. In 1993, Saddam
reversed his brutally secular policy and began the cultural Islamization of
Iraq through what he called al-hamlah al-imaniya, or "the faith campaign",
giving Sunni Islam a huge boost. He built lavish new mosques, and 5 million
Korans were printed and distributed. Islamic studies were increased from two
hours a week to six to eight hours a week, and the secular Ba'ath Party
members were forced to study the Koran in their weekly party meetings.

In 1994, Saddam issued a decree punishing theft with the traditional Islamic
amputation. He banned the public consumption of alcohol and the thriving
nightlife in Iraq was curtailed. Saddam allowed increased freedom of action
and expression in the mosques, and their following increased. It was now
safe to grow a beard. Clerics were made government employees and their
salaries increased. Wahhabism, the strict brand of Islam associated with
Saudi Arabia and al-Qaeda, made inroads in Iraq as well, causing Saddam's
son Uday Hussein to complain about its presence in 1994.

It didn't hurt that Wahhabis were viciously anti-Shi'ite after the 1991
Shi'ite uprising pitted that community against the regime. As the party
headquarters had once been central in Iraqi politics, the mosque became the
center for self-expression and political activism, since all other venues
were closed off and any other political opposition was either killed or
exiled. Those exiled Iraqi leaders who have returned to the country have
found little popular support, unlike the religious clerics who dominate both
the Sunni and the Shi'ite communities, and we are now witnessing the results
of Saddam's attempts to neutralize Islamic opposition movements in the
inability to find a suitable secular leader.

(Copyright 2004 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact
[EMAIL PROTECTED] for information on our sales and syndication policies.)



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