Asia to be king in five years
25/6/2006

Domestic demand from Asia will have a bigger influence
on global growth than the United States in just five
years, according to DBS.

The bank pointed out Asia had grown immensely in the
past five years with trade between China and the rest
of Asia multiplying rapidly and evolving into a
cohesive economic force that was fast catching up with
the US.

Describing the transformation as a passing of the
baton, DBS analyst David Carbon said, “Domestic demand
growth in Asia is already very large compared 
to domestic demand growth in the US. Next year, Asia
will generate 85 percent as much fresh demand as the
US.”

The current outlook for Asia also remained healthy
with help from China’s 9 
per cent growth proving to be big boon for the region.

“Asia’s growth depends significantly more on China
than on the US,” said the Singapore-based bank while
suggesting Asia start focusing more on the monetary
policy of the People’s Bank of China than the Fed.

The continued slowing of the US economy would also act
in Asia’s favour with DBS noting the economic giant
was likely to experience stagflation in the 
coming quarter with Asian currencies likely to muscle
up on a softening greenback.

Commenting on market volatility in the region, DBS
said the situation was likely to remain for the next
couple of months but assured its ‘reality check’ on
the region made it more positive towards the Asian
markets.

“Markets have corrected sharply but Asia’s strong
growth fundamentals remain,” it said.

The bank was Overweight on Singapore and Indonesia,
Neutral on Hong Kong and China and carried an
Underweight stance on Thailand and Malaysia.

http://www.moneynewsasia.com/articleExpanded.asp?r_articleID=658





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