INDONESIA DIGEST
Indonesia's complex Issues in a Nutshell
By: Ms Wuryastuti Sunario
Published by: TBSC-Strategic Communication
No.: 28.07 - Dated: 10 October 2007


We wish all our Muslim readers "Selamat Idul Fitri" 1 Syawal 1428H

In this issue:

MAIN FEATURE:


HOW GLOBAL WARMING AFFECTS INDONESIA'S ECONOMY

NEWS AND BACKGROUND:

1.      Tourism and Transportation:
World Economic Forum: Indonesia's Global Tourism Competitiveness at no. 60
Davos Tourism Climate Change Declaration
Tourist Arrivals to South Sulawesi down 68% in 4 years

2.      Politics and Security:
Foreign Minister Wirayuda slams Myanmar Junta
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MAIN FEATURE:

By Tuti Sunario
For Indonesia Digest

HOW GLOBAL WARMING AFFECTS INDONESIA'S ECONOMY

The Coordinating Ministry for the Economy recently held a Meeting to
"Coordinate Information pertaining to the Effects of Global Warming on the
Indonesian Economy."
Main speakers were Prof. Emil Salim and Prof. Dorodjatun Kuntjoro-Jakti.
Extracts of these papers are given below:

Prof. Emil Salim, who has also been appointed Leader of the Indonesian
Delegation to the UNFCCC in Bali, explained that in the context of Climate
Change, the world perceives Indonesia as being the third largest emitter of
Carbon Dioxide at 3.014 MtCO2e. The USA is the top emitter (at 6.005),
followed by China (at 5.017). Followed fourth by Brazil (2.316), Russia
(1.745) and India (1.577).

Unlike other countries where carbon dioxide is produced mainly by industry
and transportation, carbon emission in Indonesia is chiefly the result of
forest fires and land use changes. Furthermore, in the past ten years, with
the granting of wide-scale regional autonomy, large tracts of forests had
been cleared by local governments, with no regard to proper land use
management.

Additionally, Prof. Emil Salim said, state policy to continue to subsidize
the distribution of fossil fuel and electricity to the public has pushed
Indonesia's energy-mix towards the use of fossil fuel over renewable energy.
More so, because Indonesia is a member of OPEC, its policies are viewed to
lean towards the pro-fossil fuel countries.

Nonetheless, Indonesia's macro-policy envisages a number of national actions
to mitigate Climate Change, which encompass the following:

1    Sustainable Development, which include:
·         A sustainable Economy that reduces and eradicates poverty,
·         Sustainable Social Conditions that are built on social cohesion,
and
·         A sustainable Ecology to support life
Reduce sectoral carbon emission through better scientific and technological
means as well as through culture
Increase natural carbon absorption through the preservation of rainforests
and improved use of value-added natural resources.

As a follow up, a number of policies are necessary in order that the above
strategy be implemented, which should include policies in the use of low
carbon energy; transportation policies, industry, agriculture, urban
development, health and education policies.

In implementing the use of Low-Carbon Energy, Indonesia needs to "decouple"
economic growth from growth of energy by using energy saving products that
have low pollution output per unit. Indonesia should also change our
energy-mix to renewable energy by 2015 and substantially reduce subsidies on
fossil fuel and electricity.

Give Top Priority to Developing Services Industries

In Transportation, more emphasis should be made on the services functions
rather than on the production of goods (e.g. cars and telephones). There
must be more public vehicles compared to private cars. Whereas in Industry,
on Java and Bali, services industries should be given high priority status,
that include tourism, health, education, science etc, while labour-intensive
industries should be built on other islands, supported by an efficient
transportation system.

In Urban development, care should be taken to reduce river water to flow out
into the seas, develop a tropical architectural building code and minimize
the use of energy and water. As well as mitigate destructions caused by
natural disasters through Indonesia's location in the "ring of fire".

Prof. Emil Salim is of the opinion that Indonesia's future economic
development must give top priority to services rather than to the production
of goods. The products of the future must also be environmental friendly,
energy saving, use clean technology and building utilizing tropical
architecture supporting materials.

Prof. Dr. Dorodjatun Kuntjoro-Jakti , discussing the Effects of Global
Warming on the Real Sector said that global warming has been caused by the
excessive production of goods that had not taken into consideration the
consequences of waste, both solid and liquid that pollute the air, the sea
and the land, all of which resulting in the destruction of the world's
ecosystem.

Developed versus Developing and Poor Countries

The process of global warming in the 21st. century has far reaching effects
even impacting on the geo-political and geo-economic order with their
resulting geo-strategies, especially in relation to resource-rich countries
versus resource-poor countries and their respective population density.

Indonesia, which is rich in natural resources, is nonetheless threatened by
rising sea-levels that will erode and drown smaller islands. Most of these
islands are rich in minerals such as nickel, tin, bauxite, which will become
more and more difficult to mine.

Furthermore, global warming will accelerate the changing cycles of El
Nino-La Nina in the Pacific Ocean, causing extreme droughts on the one hand
and extreme storms on the other. Additionally, the yearly forest fires can
today no longer be viewed as "accidental" but are already structural, which
means that their mitigation and restoration must be supported by 
Government's
Budget. It is also known that climate change and global warming have induced
a number of diseases that may grow into epidemics. All the above will place
a heavy burden the economy.

Prof. Dorodjatun warns that the effects of the negative processes of climate
change will be even more fatal on poor and developing countries like
Indonesia rather than on rich countries, and these may easily trigger
another economic recession.

In the latest development, Prof. Emil Salim informed that the December
Climate Change Meeting in Bali will be preceded by an international meeting
of Finance Ministers in November whose agenda include carbon trading and
compensation for developing countries capable of absorbing carbon emission
through forest conservation and reforestation.
In the Bali Conference, Indonesia will propose that the country be
compensated between US$ 5-US$ 20 per hectare preserved. With some 40 million
hectares of forest standing, the funds will support a sustainable management
of Indonesia's forests besides compensate losses in the local and national
economy, reports Kompas daily.

(Source: papers published by Indonesia's Trade and Investment News, Kompas)
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NEWS AND BACKGROUND:

1.        Tourism and Transportation:

World Economic Forum: Indonesia's Global Tourism Competitiveness at no. 60

The World Economic Forum has issued its Travel and Tourism Index 2007, in
which Indonesia's global competitiveness is rated at a low no. 60 among the
world's main tourist destination countries, writes Bisnis Indonesia of 8
October

Rated most competitive Asian destinations are Singapore at no. 8 with a
score of 5.31, followed by Japan at no. 25 scoring 4.99, Taiwan at no. 30
scoring 4.82, Malaysia at no. 31 scoring 4.80, South Korea at no. 42 scoring
4.56, Thailand at no. 43 scoring 4.58, and Indonesia at no. 60 scoring 4.20.

Surprisingly, China follows at no. 71 with a score of 3.07, the Philippines
at no. 86 scoring 3.79, Vietnam at no. 88, scoring 3.78, and Cambodia at no.
96, scoring 3.64.

Bisnis Indonesia did not mention which were the top-most competitive
countries.

President of Arrbey Indonesia, Handito Hadi Joewono, explained that WEF used
thirteen main criteria to evaluate global competitiveness in Travel and
Tourism, these are:
a.       Legislation and Policies
b.      Environmental Policies
c.       Safety and Security
d.       Hygiene and Cleanliness
e.        Health
f.        Travel and Tourism as Priority Sector
g.       Air Transportation Infrastructure
h.      Tourism Infrastructure
i.        Infrastructure in Information and Technology
j.        Price Competitiveness in Travel and Tourism
k.      Human Resources
l.        Perception on National Tourism
m.    Natural Resources and Cultural Assets

Handito further stressed that to become more competitive, Indonesia must not
rely solely on Bali as Indonesia's brand image and world perception on
Indonesia. Indonesia needs a comprehensive national brand image that must be
developed rooted in the above thirteen criteria.

Davos UNWTO Tourism Conference: Climate will alter travel patterns in
decades

Global warming will produce stay-at-home tourists over the next few decades,
radically altering travel patterns and threatening jobs and businesses in
tourism-dependent countries, according to a stark assessment by U.N experts,
reports reuters.com from Davos, Switzerland . The U.N. Environment
Programme, the World Meteorological Organisation and the World Tourism
Organisation further said that concerns about weather extremes and calls to
reduce emissions-heavy air travel would make long-haul flights less
attractive.

Holiday-makers from Europe, Canada, the United States and Japan were likely
to spend more vacations in or near their home countries to take advantage of
longer summers, they said.

In a report prepared for a U.N. conference on climate change and tourism,
they projected that global warming would reduce demand for travel between
northern Europe and the Mediterranean, between North America and the
Caribbean, and between northeast Asia and southeast Asia.

"The geographic and seasonal redistribution of tourist demand may be very
large for individual destinations and countries by mid- to late-century,"
the agencies said.

"This shift in travel patterns may have important implications, including
proportionally more tourism spending in temperate nations and proportionally
less spending in warmer nations now frequented by tourists from temperate
regions."

However, overall travel demand was expected to grow by between 4 and 5
percent a year, with international arrivals doubling to 1.6 billion by 2020.

In some developing and island states, tourism accounts for as much as 40
percent of national economic output.

Officials from tourism-dependent countries such as the Maldives, Fiji, the
Seychelles and Egypt told the conference that shifts in travel choices, and
ecological damage from global warming, posed serious threats to their
businesses and jobs.

"Tourism is a catalyst to the economy. If you are hitting the tourism
sector, automatically this rocks the whole economic machinery," Michael
Nalletamby of the Seychelles Tourism Board told the Davos conference.

Christopher Rodrigues, chairman of the British government agency
VisitBritain, said the sector needed to find ways to reduce the effects of
ever-increasing travel demand on the environment, which in turn affects the
industry's health.

"The biggest risk is that the success of the tourist industry becomes its
own undoing," he told the conference.
TO SUSTAIN GROWTH, TOURISM SECTOR MUST TAKE ACTION AGAINST CLIMATE CHANGE -
UN

The Tourism Industry must meet the challenges posed by climate change if it
is to continue its growth, a United Nations-backed conference announced on 3
October.
According to the Davos Declaration, reached at the conclusion of a three-day
meeting in the Swiss town, "the tourism sector must rapidly respond to
climate change, within the evolving UN framework, if it is to grow in a
sustainable manner", reports UNWTO.
Additionally, it stressed the role tourism can play in addressing climate
change to promote both sustainable development and the Millennium
Development Goals (<"http://www.un.org/millenniumgoals/";>MDGs), the eight
ambitious targets to slash poverty and other social and economic ills by
2015.
UNWTO Assistant Secretary-General Geoffrey Lipman said that "We know that
the solutions for climate change and for poverty are interrelated. Here at
Davos, the tourism sector committed itself to take a long-term strategic
position on these issues, starting now, and to do this as a contribution to
the UN Secretary-General's global roadmap for the Climate Change Conference
in Bali, at the end of this year. We leave Davos more optimistic about our
future on the common agreement to build upon quadruple bottom line
sustainability of economic, social, environmental and climate
responsiveness."

This will require action for the tourism sector to:

1. Mitigate its Greenhouse Gas GHG emissions, derived especially from
transport and  accommodation activities;
2. Adapt tourism businesses and destinations to changing climate conditions;
3. Apply existing and new technology to improve energy efficiency; and
4. Secure financial resources to help poor regions and countries.

Stefanos Fotiou, head of UNEP's Tourism Unit, stressed how the Conference
proved "that the tourism industry is challenged by climate change and at the
same time is not an insignificant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions.
The Conference has also demonstrated that, through a more intelligent and
better managed development trajectory, tourism can assist in combating
poverty in developing countries, in reducing its own carbon footprint and
make a contribution to the conservation of natural and nature-based
resources. In short, tourism has a potentially very important and positive
role to play in the key sustainability challenges of our age."
Participants at the Davos meeting have concluded that the tourism sector
must lessen its greenhouse gas emissions, derived from transport and
accommodation activities; adapt tourism businesses and destinations to alter
their practices; utilize technology to bolster energy efficiency; and obtain
financial resources to assist poor regions and countries.
Stefanos Fotiou, who heads UNEP's Tourism Unit, underscored the extremely
important and positive role tourism can play in tackling the main issues the
world faces today.
This meeting sought to determine future action on mitigation, adaptation,
the global carbon market and financing responses to climate change for the
period after the expiration of the Kyoto Protocol - the current global
framework for reducing greenhouse gas emissions - in 2012.
Together, the Davos Declaration and the results of the meeting will form the
basis of the UNWTO Minister's Summit on Tourism and Climate Change to be
held in London on 13 November, and will also be presented at the Bali
Climate Change Conference early December.
Tourist Arrivals to South Sulawesi down 68% in 4 years

Nico Pasaka, Chairman of the Indonesian Travel Agencies Association (ASITA)
South Sulawesi Chapter, told Bisnis Indonesia that the number of visitors to
South Sulawesi has dropped 68% in the past four years. While, resulting from
the EU ban on Indonesian airlines alone, over 1,380 tour packages to
Makassar and Toraja had been cancelled since June this year.

Traditionally, more than 70% of tourists to South Sulawesi came from Europe.
Nico Pasaka therefore urges the government to boost overseas promotions,
restore and refit neglected tourist attractions and accelerate improved
operation of the international airports of Makassar and Manado.

In this context, Pasaka also urges that use of allocated budget at the
Department of Culture and Tourism for the development of Indonesia's five
priority destinations of West Sumatra, North Sulawesi, South Sulawesi, East
Nusatenggara and West Nusatenggara be discussed and implemented together
with these destinations, rather than projects being imposed on them.

Minister for Culture and Tourism Jero Wacik has issued Ministerial
Regulations No. PM.37/IM.001/MKP/07 dated 2 January 2007 designating the
above provinces as Indonesia's priority destinations to be developed in the
next three years.




2.      Politics and Security:

Foreign Minister Wirayuda Slams Myanmar's Junta

International pressure on the military Junta in Myanmar has so far not
resulted in improvements in the political situation in the country, said
Indonesia's Foreign Minister Hassan Wirayuda in a discussion with Parliament
recently, as reported by Bisnis Indonesia.

The political pressure by ASEAN in the past ten years has not changed the
situation, which has frustrated ASEAN countries. But nor have western
countries been successful in pressuring the Junta through censures and
sanctions. Although efforts made by UN Special Envoy Ibrahim Gambari who
managed to meet with Aung San Suu Kyi is a positive step in the right
direction, however, this effort must be viewed in the long-term context as
to whether such efforts will develop into the creation of a democratic
Myanmar, said Minister Wirayuda.

Meanwhile, Indonesia will continue to press for an immediate democratization
of Myanmar by offering concrete solutions to this tragic issue. One proposal
is that a transitional government be urgently formed in Myanmar.

Last month, Minister Wirayuda expressed that Indonesia was not satisfied
with Myamar's explanation that the mass protests led by Buddhist monks in
Yangon - that claimed at least 13 lives - were triggered by a fuel oil price
hike, Wirayuda told reporters at the United Nations in New York, as reported
by Antara and quoted by Indonesia's Trade and Investment News.

In Indonesia's view, the demonstrations led by Buddhist monks were not
caused by a fuel oil price hike but by the increasing revelation of a
fundamental problem, namely a stunted democratization process.

"If the reason given is the fuel oil price hike, I will say I do not believe
it. This involves something very fundamental, namely a flawed
democratization process," he said.

"If Myanmar had given a satisfactory explanation, ASEAN foreign ministers
would have commended Myanmar," Wirayuda said on the sidelines of bilateral
meetings with his ASEAN partners on September 28.


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