I believe there's an similarity (superficial and crude of course but
IMO somewhat valid) between what happens in Brazil and what happens in
Lebanon. In Brazil the organized crime oppress AND helps poor people
(substituting many state's functions) and everytime the police strikes
heavily these poor and innocent people suffer from state's violence,
on and on and on again. But the criminals are the ones in direct
contact with those people in the day to day reality, living amongst
them. It's easy for that people to think that their real enemy is the
government (only present in crime repression operations), not the drug
dealers.

I think the lebanese people are by now so drenched in hatred after
seeing bombs falling everywhere due to Israel disproportional reaction
that they can only think in short term and about revenge.


On 8/15/06, Stephen the Cook <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
Helio W. <> wrote:
> " ... Israel believed that, by targeting Lebanon's infrastructure,
> including highways, fuel depots, and even the civilian runways at the
> main Beirut airport, it could persuade Lebanon's large Christian and
> Sunni populations to turn against Hezbollah, according to the former
> senior intelligence official. ... "
>
> I think the opposite happens in these situations...

Israel is going for the long haul in time.  I mean 5 and 10 years.  As the
people rebuild their infrastructure and it will take a long time in a cash
strapped country.  Lebanon's only real leader was tourism for a gain in
their GNP.

So as the people suffer over the next few years Israel is hoping that they
realize that it's Hezbollah's fault for hiding in the infrastructure.

This comment was on the radio week one of the conflict.


Stephen Russell
DBA / Operations Developer

Memphis TN 38115
901.246-0159

http://spaces.msn.com/members/srussell/

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