This is a real mess. It has to be voluntary so no one knows for sure if the 
banks will go along. I am just getting snippets from the news and probably 
have it wrong but here is my take for now:

The French and Germans are going to establish a fund of something like 200M 
Euros as a guarantee to future bank bond holders. (I am not sure how this 
works.) Then they will set up another imaginary fund of trillion dollars 
(Euros?) that will sell bonds to capitalize it. The Germans, French and, 
they hope, the Chinese will buy these bonds. The Germans and French will 
issue debt to buy their share. Then this fund will buy Greece bonds. In 
other words they are creating a hot air balloon out of nothing. The 
leveraging will be so incredibly high it makes Madoff look like a piker. It 
looks like some kind of Ponzi scheme to me. If you or I were to do this, we 
would be going to jail.

I am not sure I got the explanation above right but the gist is that the 
leveraging will be 1000 times or more. After 10 years Greece's debt will 
drop to 125% of their GDP. In other words it isn't going to happen. With all 
the austerity plans that must be put in place, Greece's GNP will be 
contracting as well as suffering continued unemployment.



----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Pete Theisen" <[email protected]>
To: "ProFox Email List" <[email protected]>
Sent: Thursday, October 27, 2011 1:40 AM
Subject: [OT] 50% haircut


> Hi Everybody,
>
> What the? Did the Euro banks just agree to lose 50% of their Greek
> investments?
>
> http://english.aljazeera.net/video/europe/2011/10/2011102721452285198.html
> -- 
> Regards,
>
> Pete
> http://pete-theisen.com/
> http://elect-pete-theisen.com/
>
[excessive quoting removed by server]

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