Computers are being used to help better understand the causes and 
effects of Global Warming, and the role that human interferance with the 
planets envrionmental system causes or contributes to global warming.

#--------------------------------------------


    *Global Warming Studies Demand More Compute Power*

With the release of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 
<http://www.ipcc.ch/> 4th Assessment Report, even skeptics are 
acknowledging that global warming is heating up.

According to the 4th Assessment Report 
<http://ipcc-wg1.ucar.edu/wg1/docs/WG1AR4_SPM_PlenaryApproved.pdf>, we 
can expect rising oceans, warmer oceans, sea ice reduction, warmer 
winters, and the like, all thanks to human-derived greenhouse gases that 
are playing havoc with our climate. The 2007 report will be presented in 
four phases during the year, with the first phase focusing on physical 
evidence of global change

"We are now seeing, not merely predicting, effects of greenhouse warming 
on a scale and in ways that were not observable before," said Gabriele 
Hegerl, associate research professor at Duke University's Nicholas 
School of the Environment and Earth Sciences 
<http://www.nicholas.duke.edu/>, who also co-authored a summary of the 
report for policymakers. Hegerl, a coordinating lead author of the IPCC 
report's chapter on "Understanding and Attributing Climate Change," goes 
on to say that "We've studied improved observations from land, sea and 
space, as well as better temperature reconstructions covering the last 
1,000 years. Understanding the observations is really what this all is 
about. For instance, looking at the patterns of change in 20th-century 
temperatures, we can now distinguish between changes caused by 
greenhouse gases, man-made aerosols, variability in solar radiation and 
major volcanic eruptions."

As you might expect all of this obervation and modeling requires 
computing power -- and lots of it. To that end, the National Oceanic and 
Atmospheric Administration <http://www.noaa.gov/> (NOAA) has activated 
its newest weather and climate supercomputers, increasing the 
computational might used for climate and weather forecasts by 320 
percent. The IBM machines process 14 trillion calculations per second at 
maximum performance and ingest more than 240 million global observations 
daily. These computers also will process data from Constellation 
Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere and Climate 
<http://www.cosmic.ucar.edu/> (COSMIC) satellites, a series of six 
satellites launched in 2006.

"Better physics, better models, better data, and faster and more 
powerful supercomputing are the foundation for making better weather and 
climate forecasts," said Conrad C. Lautenbacher, undersecretary of 
commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator."

"One of the most fascinating things is that we see that changes have 
already happened or are happening now in more climate variables than 
just temperature," says Hegerl. "For instance, there have been observed 
changes in ocean temperatures, global rainfall and in circulation of the 
atmosphere. We now are beginning to understand that these changes occur 
at least partly in response to anthropogenic influences on climate. This 
allows us to better evaluate model simulations, which do simulate 
aspects of these changes, although not as successfully as they simulate 
changes in temperature."

http://www.ddj.com/blog/portal/archives/2007/02/global_warming.html

or

http://tinyurl.com/3yma5v

#-------------------------------------------

Regards,

LelandJ


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