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http://www.france24.com/en/20120719-syrian-security-attack-conspiracy-theories-shwakat-defence-minister-assad-damascus



Syrian security attack sparks conspiracy theories
By Leela JACINTO the 19/07/2012 - 18:58

Syrian state media's unusually transparent coverage of Wednesday's crippling 
attack has sparked suspicions about a notoriously opaque regime. Then there's 
the list of victims, some of whom have been declared dead - and alive - before…

It has been called a lethal attack, with analogies extending to the realm of 
science fiction – the equivalent of Luke Skywalker blowing up the Death Star. 
But in a country where the lines between fact and fiction have been 
deliberately blurred for decades, Wednesday's killings of three men at the 
heart of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's defence team have sparked a torrent 
of conspiracy theories and rumours.

The shocking news of the crippling attack broke shortly after 10am local time 
Wednesday, when Syrian state TV reported a suicide bombing at the National 
Security building in the heart of Damascus.

Minutes later, state TV revealed that the attack occurred as Cabinet ministers 
were meeting senior security officials.

It was the start of a steady trickle of devastating news, confirmed and 
speedily broadcast on the heavily censored and often much-ridiculed Syrian 
state media.

By the end of the day, the scale of the losses in the top echelons of Assad's 
dreaded security apparatus was clear. The victims of Wednesday's attack 
included Defense Minister Dawoud Rajha, Hassan Turkmani, head of Syria's crisis 
management group - and most shocking of all, Deputy Defence Minister Asef 
Shawkat, the president's brother-in-law and inner circle member.

But even as the international community was reeling from the impact of the 
news, seasoned experts and ordinary Syrians were remarking about the 
uncharacteristic speed and efficiency displayed by Syrian state TV. For many 
Syrians inside and outside the country, the state media's new-found penchant 
for perfect transparency appeared perfectly suspicious.

"It's very weird and unusual for the Syrian media to break the news so quickly, 
well ahead of international news agencies, and to present the truth. So, we 
have to be very careful with this story," said Haytham Manaa, president of the 
National Committee for Democratic Change, a Syrian opposition group, in an 
interview with FRANCE 24.

Manaa, like many Syrians, noted that for once, state TV - known for its lurid 
broadcasts of "terrorist attacks" - did not broadcast any footage of 
Wednesday's attacks. Instead, the National Security building in the upscale 
Rawda neighbourhood of Damascus was sealed off to journalists and onlookers.

In a country tightly controlled by an opaque, autocratic regime, the lack of 
reliable witness accounts of the blasts or of any apparent structural damage to 
the National Security building added fuel to the churning rumour mills.

Hours after the blast, when BBC reporter Lina Sinjab was given a government 
tour of "some of the sights" she tweeted that she had, "Just walked around 
national security building and saw no sign of explosions, no broken window, no 
heavy security presence".

Along with an earlier post that, "Residents very close 2 building said they 
haven't heard any sound of explosion or gunfire…" Sinjab's tweets soon went 
viral on the micro-blogging site.

The former bodyguard turned regime family man

But by far the deepest source of doubt has been the identity of the victims – 
all high-profile men, many of them reviled, many of them previously reported 
dead only to be resurrected again – or at least allegedly.

Asef Shawkat, the embattled Syrian leader's brother-in-law, has long been a 
figure of myth and intrigue.

Shawkat was a bodyguard for former Syrian strongman Hafez al-Assad's only and 
much-favoured daughter, Bushra, before they were married - despite the 
objections of Bushra's brother, Basil al-Assad.

When Basil, once considered his father's heir apparent, was killed in a 1994 
car accident, rumours of Shawkat's possible involvement in the death circulated 
in Damascene circles. In Syria, rumours about the ruling family are often as 
difficult to dispel as they are to prove and tales of Shawkat's likely 
involvement were never put to rest.

The former bodyguard-turned-presidential brother-in-law was once again at the 
centre of a Syrian ruling family rumour when he was allegedly shot by the 
current president's dreaded younger brother, Maher al-Assad, also known as "the 
enforcer".

Maher, according to the Damascene rumour mill, shot his brother-in-law during 
an altercation. Shawkat however survived that attack and the two allegedly 
patched up their differences.

But many Syrians were never convinced the differences between the lowly former 
bodyguard and the elite ruling family were ever truly ironed out. In the 
aftermath of Wednesday's attacks, there were speculations over whether 
Shawkat's death was in fact masterminded by the embattled Syrian regime.

Dead by poison and then alive - allegedly

The other two victims of Wednesday's attack – Dawoud Rajha and Hassan Turkmani 
– have also been reported dead and then alive by opposing factions with their 
own axes to grind.

In mid-May, the opposition Free Syrian Army (FSA) put out a video statement (in 
Arabic) that the two men – along with Asef Shawkat - were among six senior 
Assad regime figures killed in a "spectacular operation".

According to the unconfirmed statement, the six top officials were poisoned by 
a domestic worker employed by the ruling Baath Party.

In a May 20 blog post, Joshua Landis, director of the University of Oklahoma's 
Center
for Middle East Studies and a leading Syria expert, cast doubts over the poison 
report.

"It is safer to doubt these claims until they are proven true," wrote Landis. 
"The opposition has no coordinated information outlet and many competing news 
sources, so exaggeration and disinformation seems to be the order of the day."

Landis' cautionary note appeared prescient when days later, official Syrian 
news outlets denied the reports and featured photographs of the supposedly dead 
men.

But in Syria, nothing is as clear as it seems – as Ignace Leverrier, a former 
French diplomat, revealed in his May 29 blog post (in French).

Leverrier noted that the authenticity of the "proof of life" images of the six 
men released by Syrian state media could not be ascertained. The seasoned 
French diplomat warned that he would be "more inclined to trust" the reports 
that the men were alive "if the media in question could be considered 
independent and objective. But this is far from the case, in a country where 
information is subservient to official policy and resembles propaganda".

With the unravelling of Wednesday's events, many Syrians wondered if the three 
men had in fact been dead for over a month.

The announcements - which came ahead of a UN Security Council vote originally 
scheduled for Wednesday and the start of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan – 
fuelled speculation over the timing of the news reports.

In hindsight, the blogs posted by Syria experts more than a month ago offer an 
eerie foretaste of what was to follow.

In his May 20 post, Landis attempted to simplify the often baffling list of 
names and positions of the six men allegedly killed by poisoning. The list 
includes Syrian Interior Minister Mohammad al-Shaar and Hisham Bikhtyar, 
another senior Syrian crisis management cell member. According to Syrian state 
TV, both men were wounded in Wednesday's attacks.

In Syria, `there's no such thing as the sole truth'

News of Wednesday's attack were followed by the often inevitable contradictory 
reports - including myriad groups claiming a spectacular attack and confusion 
over whether it was a suicide bombing or an explosive device planted at the 
site.

These are common enough grey zones in the immediate wake of terrorist attacks. 
But in the shocked aftermath of Wednesday's attack, they were seized and 
magnified by conspiracy theorists.

It comes as no surprise to Ziad Majid, a Middle East expert at the American 
University of Paris. "This regime has always used rumours and disinformation 
for its own advantage or to discredit its opponents or the international media. 
It's a culture of disinformation to fuel conspiracy theories, to sometimes 
maintain fear, sometimes sow doubt, and to persuade the Syrian people that 
there's no such thing as the sole truth," said Majid.

But Majid, like many experts, believes the often bewildering series of reports 
should not obscure the central fact that an embattled Assad is bereft of his 
senior-most security officials – whether he lost them on Wednesday or weeks 
ago, it hardly matters.

As for Syrian state TV's new-found transparency in publicly exposing the 
regime's weaknesses, Majid speculated that it could have been a signal, a cry 
for help to Syria's staunchest international supporters.

If this particular hypothesis is accepted – at least for argument's sake - it 
appears to have worked. A day after Assad suffered a crushing security blow, 
his foreign friends came to his aid. For the third time, and despite intense 
international pressure, Russia and China vetoed a UN Security Council 
resolution that would have imposed new sanctions against Syria.

 
Source URL: 
http://www.france24.com/en/20120719-syrian-security-attack-conspiracy-theories-shwakat-defence-minister-assad-damascus





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