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BBC News Middle East
24 November 2012 Last updated at 15:39 GMT

Egypt: President Mursi's political gamble

By Jon Leyne BBC News, Cairo

Egyptian President Mohammed Mursi's decision to take sweeping new powers is a 
huge political gamble that has divided Egypt.

The move was announced the day after the Gaza ceasefire, which the Egyptian 
leader helped to mediate.

Buoyed by international praise for that effort, President Mursi tried to 
consolidate his power at home.

But he may have been guilty of a degree of over-confidence, or political 
naivety.

The president said he was acting to protect the revolution.

Specifically, he wanted to prevent the courts from disbanding, for a second 
time, the assembly that is writing the Egyptian constitution.

There were reports that the courts might be about to do this.

That could seriously derail the transition to democracy, further delaying new 
parliamentary elections, which could deter Egypt's political leaders from 
taking tough decisions while they wait for the vote.

Sparking fury

Most of the judges were appointed during former President Hosni Mubarak's time 
in office.

They were not direct political appointments, but many Egyptians suspect they 
are still loyal to the old regime.

The same applies to the prosecutor-general, whom the president sacked.

His replacement moved quickly to re-open criminal investigations into the 
former president, his family, and former regime officials.

A series of trials for corruption, and for the killings of protesters during 
the revolution, have so far had only mixed results, raising questions about the 
loyalty of the prosecutor, though Hosni Mubarak himself is serving a long 
prison term.

Bitter divisions

On both of these issues, President Mursi will have the support of many 
Egyptians.

But it is the way he has gone about it that has aroused such fury.

The president failed to consult with other political forces, acting in an 
autocratic manner reminiscent of his predecessor.

Indeed, he has taken more power than Hosni Mubarak ever claimed, with almost no 
constraints at all.

And his attempt to sideline the judiciary is reminiscent of the early 
power-grab of the Free Officers in 1954, the beginning of what is now being 
seen as six decades of military dictatorship in Egypt.

As a result, many Egyptians fear the real agenda is not to protect the 
revolution, but to increase the power of President Mursi, and of the Muslim 
Brotherhood, the Islamist movement from which he comes.

In particular, there is an accusation that the underlying aim is to enable the 
constitutional assembly - currently dominated by Islamists - to write an 
Islamist constitution for Egypt.

That is why President Mursi's move has produced such bitter, and potentially 
dangerous, divisions in the country.

This could turn into a battle between Islamists on the one side, and, on the 
other, secularists, liberals, and Christians. So there is even a fear of this 
turning into a sectarian struggle.

Those fears may be exaggerated. But there is no doubt that this is an important 
moment for Egypt.

It is a titanic struggle for the future direction of a country that, so often, 
shows the way for the rest of the Middle East.


BBC

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