http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/GL15Ad01.html


Bright side to Sino-Japanese ties 
By Tim Shorrock 


WASHINGTON - Despite the friction between China and Japan, some Asian scholars 
believe that the two nations are slowly building a framework for economic and 
political cooperation that could provide the underpinnings for long-term 
stability in the Asia-Pacific region. 

In particular, scholars say, the rapid expansion of Sino-Japanese trade and the 
surprising evolution of cultural ties between Japan and the Asian mainland are 
softening anti-Japanese feelings within China and convincing many Japanese that 
closer ties with China may work to their benefit. 

In an important milestone last year, Japanese trade with China reached US$168 
billion, allowing China to replace the United States as Japan's largest trading 
partner for the first time since World War II. 

Also in 2004, Beijing hosted the world "manga summit", an annual event that 
draws hundreds of people involved in this popular Japanese art form. Moreover, 
the universal draw of manga has made the study of Japanese language 
increasingly popular in Chinese colleges and universities. 

"I now sense that the bedrock of pro-Japanese sentiment has been formed in 
China, especially in the urban society," said Takahara Akio, a professor of 
Chinese politics at the University of Tokyo and a visiting scholar at the 
Fairbank Center for East Asian Research at Harvard University. 

As for Japanese sentiment toward China, "I can safely say that the common sense 
in Japan now is that the Japanese economy has been more or less lifted by the 
rise of China and the so-called Chinese economic threat is hardly perceived any 
more," Akio added. He noted that 1 million Chinese workers were directly 
employed by Japanese companies in China, and another 9.2 million employed by 
Japanese sub-contractors. 

Yang Bojiang, a visiting fellow at the Brookings Institution who follows 
Sino-Japanese relations as a director of the China Institute of Contemporary 
International Relations, agreed that a thaw in bilateral relations was coming. 
But he argued that, in both countries, the public had been pushing their 
respective governments to take more confrontational stands while their leaders 
had been acting behind the scenes to ease tensions. 

"China is trying hard to improve relations," he said, particularly in regard to 
North Korea. In recent years, after Japanese diplomats told their counterparts 
in China that they wanted more understanding of North Korea's admitted 
abduction of Japanese citizens, Beijing responded, he said, and "Japan is 
getting more and more cooperation" on this issue. "For those reasons, I'm 
cautiously optimistic." 

Akio and Yang spoke recently at a Washington forum sponsored by the Sasakawa 
Peace Foundation USA. 

Some events over the past year seem to contradict their sentiments. They 
include a wave of anti-Japanese demonstrations in Chinese cities, the repeated 
and controversial visits to Tokyo's Yasukuni shrine by Japanese Prime Minister 
Junichiro Koizumi, and the buzz among Chinese and Japanese security specialists 
about the perceived military threat from each other's growing armed forces. 

Beijing was also offended this year when the Japanese government joined the US 
administration in identifying security in the Taiwan Strait as a "common 
strategic objective" that fell under the terms of the US-Japan Security Treaty. 
Tensions between Beijing and Tokyo reached boiling point in October, when the 
Chinese government canceled a visit to Beijing by Japanese Foreign Minister 
Nobutaka Machimura over the Yasukuni visits. 

High-level talks between Tokyo and Beijing have yet to resume. 

The problem posed to the region by Sino-Japanese tensions has also been a key 
topic of discussion at this week's East Asia summit in Kuala Lumpur. The 
summit, which at China's initiative has pointedly rejected the participation of 
the US, is attempting to create a new framework for East Asian economic and 
political cooperation. 

Still, there were signs at the summit that China and Japan are taking steps to 
ease the tension. Speaking at a news conference before the meeting began, 
Chinese Premier Wen Jiaboa reiterated China's view that the "root cause" for 
the downturn in ties with Japan was Koizumi's failure to face up to history by 
visiting Yasukuni, where Japan's war dead are commemorated along with scores of 
war criminals. 

But Wen also said building stable ties between China and Japan remained 
Beijing's "unswerving policy" and reflected the fundamental interests of both 
nations. "This policy has never changed, even in the most difficult times," he 
said. 

As Wen was in Malaysia, Seiji Maehara, the president of the opposition 
Democratic Party of Japan, was visiting Beijing to discuss ways to improve 
bilateral ties he said had been damaged by Koizumi's actions. 

Maehara, who was invited to China by the ruling Communist Party, described 
Sino-Japanese relations as "the basis for peace and stability of Asia" and 
proposed that both governments establish a panel to improve ties and discuss 
mutual issues, including the environment, energy and epidemics. 

In a speech, he urged Koizumi to stop visiting Yasukuni and observed that the 
prime minister's insistence that these were only "personal" visits had made 
Japan's relationship to China "abnormal". 

Back at the Washington forum, Steven Clemons, a senior fellow at the New 
America Foundation and an expert on US-Japan relations, argued that a serious 
easing of tensions between Japan and China would be difficult until Tokyo 
became more independent of the US. 

Japan's reliance on Washington, he said, was underscored by the joint 
US-Japanese declaration on Taiwan, which was announced the same month that 
Japan emerged as China's largest trading partner. "So it was almost a 
declaration that, despite the high level of economic engagement with China, 
Japan was still in the American camp." 

In what Clemons called a welcome break from the past, Japanese politicians no 
longer claimed their legitimacy by proclaiming their pacifism against potential 
enemies, but by embracing a "new nationalism" that included a military role for 
Japan, albeit within the confines of its bilateral treaty with the US. 

But Clemons added that he was "worried about a Japan that continues to identify 
itself, its character and constraints entirely in terms of what the US does and 
does not do". 

That could prove destabilizing, both to the US and China, he said. "In the long 
run that sense of being a supplicant or a vessel to American interests could 
backfire very badly on American interests, where the source of [Japanese] 
legitimacy would depend on how anti-American they are," he said. 

(Inter Press Service)

[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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