Published: 02/12/2006 12:00 AM (UAE)

'New populists' vs the West
By Howard LaFranchi, The Christian Science Monitor

Some might call it the axle of anti-American populism. With linchpins in 
Tehran on one end and Caracas on the other, a new brand of international 
populism is rising by fanning flames of division between Western powers and 
the "powerless" of the developing world.

Leaders, from Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad to Venezuela's President 
Hugo Chavez, are winning points at home by striking a nationalist and 
anti-American pose. Their method: Use the international stage to rail 
against what they see as a disconnect between the values espoused by the 
world's sole superpower and its actions.

Ahmadinejad consolidates his domestic political power and wins support among 
several countries caught in America's cross hairs by pointing out that 
Washington accepts the nuclear status of Pakistan which it needs on its side 
in the war on terror while opposing Iran's programme, which Iran insists is 
for power-generation only.

Chavez, espousing a philosophy of "democratic socialism" in any 
international forum that will listen, accuses the United States of trying to 
overthrow his own democratically elected government. He fires up sympathetic 
crowds by branding "US imperialism [as] our real enemy".

Yet for all their heated rhetoric, the two leaders have a vision for the 
world, one that seeks to end the "sole superpower" reality. Beyond simply 
opposing America's robust exercise of power a sentiment increasingly found 
in the developing world, especially their aim is to join political forces to 
provide a significant counterweight in the international arena.

"There is no great level of love between Venezuela and Iran, but they both 
are seeking a multipolar world, and that's where the two of them find a 
point of intersection," says Miguel Tinker-Salas, a Latin America and US 
foreign-policy expert at Pomona College in Claremont, California.

The two leaders, though, are impelled by different motives. Chavez is 
motivated by an anti-globalisation stance that vilifies Washington as the 
epicentre of market-oriented economics, says Thomas Carothers, an expert on 
democracy and rule of law at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

Ahmadinejad's wrath, he says, is more focused on the Bush administration's 
agenda for secular democracy in the Middle East.

Russia's Vladimir Putin also belongs on the list, says Carothers, for his 
challenge to the West over its promotion of democracy in Russia and in the 
former Soviet neighbouring countries.


No coincidence

"We're seeing on different fronts different leaders who are pushing back," 
he says, "with the idea of resisting the West." It is "no coincidence" that 
all three countries are "flush with oil money" that allows their leaders the 
luxury of promoting their causes, he adds.

The West's response to the populists' challenge need not indeed, should not 
be uniform, some analysts say. Each presents a different challenge.

"The Latin American populists like Chavez have a very limited capacity to do 
anything that threatens substantial harm to our interests, so it's key in 
those cases not to overreact," says Andrew Bacevich, director of the Centre 
for International Relations at Boston University.

Iran, on the other hand, is different because of the "nuclear question" and 
"the importance we assign to stability in that region", he says. Iran plays 
a key role in events in both Iraq and Afghanistan.


In the line of fire

In some current international controversies, it's the West, not simply 
America, that is in the line of fire as with the Muslim world's fury over 
cartoons depicting the Prophet Mohammad (PBUH). But Chavez and Ahmadinejad, 
in particular, "are finding it pays politically to focus on the US", adds 
Tinker-Salas.

Iran lost no time announcing an end to cooperation on its nuclear programme 
with the International Atomic Energy Agency, after the IAEA approved a 
US-supported resolution that reports Iran to the United Nations Security 
Council.

Landing Iran in the Security Council was a goal of the Bush administration 
for at least two years. But the vote also revealed cracks in the 
international community and support for Iran albeit from some at the top of 
Washington's blacklist. Syria, Venezuela, and Cuba all voted "no" on the 
IAEA resolution.

Iran's foreign minister will travel to Cuba and Venezuela this month in a 
bid to further cement support for Iran's battle against the "world 
oppressor" the US. Ahmadinejad has established contact, too, with Evo 
Morales, the recently elected populist president of Bolivia.

The US is also caught in what State Department officials describe as a 
"tit-for-tat" imbroglio with Chavez. After Caracas expelled a military 
attaché assigned to the US Embassy on charges of spying, the US responded 
last Friday by expelling a Venezuelan diplomat.

The US action followed comments by Defence Secretary Donald Rumsfeld in 
which he likened Chavez to Adolf Hitler, saying both were "elected legally". 
The election of "populist" leaders like Chavez and Bolivia's new president, 
he added, "are worrisome".

Some experts caution against such riffs, saying they only play into the 
hands of the new populists, coming at a time when US standing in the world 
is low and more people seem to sympathise with challenges to American power.

"People see a certain hypocrisy in US actions, and what we're seeing from 
people like Chavez and Iran's president are attempts to exploit that," says 
Tinker-Salas.

"The US has a pretty good record of falling into this trap," adds Bacevich 
of Boston University. "The Bush administration has so overused the Hitler 
analogy that it's almost demeaning to history."

Iran's depiction of an "arrogant West" has "some echo" in parts of the 
developing world, he adds, but that doesn't mean Damascus, Havana and 
Caracas are poised to lead a new anti-West movement.

Still, anti-Western sentiment shows signs of spreading, fed by economics, 
nationalism or culture, says Carothers. That should give the US pause from 
"sparring" with the new populists, he says, "as tempting as that might be".

The current circumstances should also encourage the US to reduce its use of 
all foreign oil, he adds.

"It takes ready cash to fiddle with politics outside your borders," he says, 
"and thanks to oil prices that's something that all of these leaders have".

http://www.gulfnews.com/opinion/columns/region/10018070.html




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