http://www.washtimes.com/national/20060803-115128-1559r.htm
The Commander of the United States Central Command testifies before the Senate
Armed Services Committee in the Hart Senate Office building yesterday. Mary F.
Calvert (THE WASHINGTON TIMES)
Generals warn of civil war in Iraq
By Rowan Scarborough
THE WASHINGTON TIMES
August 4, 2006
The military's senior leaders acknowledged yesterday that a year ago they did
not anticipate the current level of chaos and violence in Baghdad, which is
dampening talk of a substantial withdrawal of U.S. troops for late this year.
Gens. Peter Pace, Joint Chiefs chairman, and John Abizaid, who as Central
Command chief oversees operations in Iraq, also told a Senate committee that a
civil war between Sunni and Shi'ite Muslims is possible but that the
three-month-old government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki will likely be
able to prevent it.
Asked by Sen. John McCain, Arizona Republican and a hawk on Iraq, if a year
ago they anticipated the current sectarian violence that has forced a
reshuffling of allied forces, Army Gen. Abizaid said, "I believe that a year
ago it was clear to see that sectarian tensions were increasing. That they
would be this high, no." Marine Gen. Pace agreed.
That answer added to the perception on Capitol Hill that military
commanders remain one step behind extremists who are trying to bring down the
new Shi'ite-dominated government. Mr. McCain said, "Now we're going to have to
move troops into Baghdad from someplace else. It's very disturbing."
The two generals hailed the emerging Iraqi army -- which is supposed to be
fully trained and equipped by year's end -- and pointed fingers at Iran for
injecting agents and money to prop up death squads of firebrand cleric Muqtada
al-Sadr's Madhi Army.
"I think it's clear that the insurgency has a lot of resiliency," Gen.
Abizaid said. "It's probably going to last for some time, even after U.S.
forces depart and hand over security control completely to the Iraqis."
The setting for the four-star generals, flanked by Defense Secretary Donald
H. Rumsfeld, was the Senate Armed Services Committee. For Democrats seeking to
make Iraq an issue for retaking control of Congress in the November elections,
the hearing provided a political forum.
"I think you've lost everyone with this dialogue," Sen. Jack Reed, Rhode
Island Democrat, pointedly said to Mr. Rumsfeld, as the defense chief tried to
explain the administration's response to the Army's urgent need for $17 billion
to replace damaged equipment. Mr. Reed called the low readiness of non-deployed
Army combat brigades "a stunning indictment of your leadership."
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton, New York Democrat and her party's perceived
presidential front-runner in 2008, confronted Mr. Rumsfeld with a list of what
she considered failures in Iraq and Afghanistan. She concluded, "You are
presiding over a failed policy."
"My goodness," Mr. Rumsfeld replied in his old-fashioned manner. "I've
tried to make notes and to follow the prepared statement you've presented."
He sought to explain demands of fighting extremists who wantonly kill
civilians. "I would disagree strongly with your statement," he said.
Mrs. Clinton then accused Mr. Rumsfeld of making "many comments and
presented, you know, many assurances that have, frankly, proven to be
unfulfilled."
"Senator, I don't think that's true," Mr. Rumsfeld interjected. "I have never
painted a rosy picture. I have been very measured in my words. And you'd have a
dickens of a time trying to find instances where I've been excessively
optimistic. I understand this is tough stuff."
After more than three years of fighting insurgents, two national elections
and a new voter-approved constitution, the Bush administration hoped a year ago
that a congressional hearing at this point would be focused on troop
withdrawals and progress by Iraq's new government.
Instead, the backdrop was quite different. Army Gen. George Casey, the top
commander in Iraq, is extending the tours of some units, such as a Stryker
armored vehicle brigade, and sending it from Mosul into Baghdad. This week's
report from the U.S. special inspector general for Iraq spoke of continued
corruption there, and Democrats are castigating the administration on the
Army's request for the $17 billion and why it was not in the 2007 budget
submitted in February.
The battle for Baghdad has Republicans worried, too.
Committee Chairman John W. Warner, Virginia Republican, warned Mr. Rumsfeld
that if Iraq does descend into a civil war, he wants President Bush to consider
seeking a new congressional authorization for keeping American forces there. "I
deem that situation in Iraq as fragile," Mr. Warner said.
Gen. Abizaid vouched for the al-Maliki government. He reminded senators it
is only three months old and that the prime minister, who visited Washington
last week, is committed to stamping out both the insurgency and the death-squad
militias that have infiltrated some local police units.
"I believe that the prime minister and his government will take the steps
necessary to get the sectarian violence under control and do what has to be
done against the death squads," he said.
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