http://blog.dawn.com/2011/02/18/the-people-have-spoken/

The people have spoken
by Guest on 02 18th, 2011 | Comments (5) 
 
"Go ahead sue me, my father is Li Gang!" shouted the unrepentant young son of a 
senior police officer in a provincial Chinese city last October. His car had 
just been forced to a stop by passersby after he had mowed down two young 
girls, killing one. Today, "my father is Li Gang" is a widely used expression 
in China, to refer to the impunity with which those connected to halls of 
power, can get away with their crimes. It is an impunity that is familiar to 
the people of Tunisia, where Mohammed Bouazizi set himself on fire in desperate 
protest. Even the acts of protests are by no means unique.  A few months 
earlier in September, three people in eastern China too, set themselves on fire 
to protest the demolition of their home, one among the many thousands of forced 
demolitions that take place in the country at the behest of corrupt local 
officials.

And yet, while Ben Ali has fled Tunisia and Hosni Mubarak has finally been 
dislodged, China's leaders remain ensconced in power despite the thousands of 
protests, big and small, that take place in the country every year.


The difference between the East Asian and North African regimes is perhaps best 
explained by the story of the coconut tree and the oak. When the tempest came, 
the coconut bent with the wind and remained standing, while the oak proud and 
unwilling to bend was torn from the earth, roots and all. China's authoritarian 
political system has been extremely nimble in the last three decades and more 
at both adapting to and changing the political climate to ensure its survival. 
While it crushed ruthlessly the 1989 democracy movement, it also soon moved to 
co-opt the same sections of society that had provided support for the movement, 
primarily the middle-classes.

Rather than concentrate all power in one person or even in a select few, the 
Chinese Communist Party sought to increase its membership - to some 80 million, 
now - and to draft into its ranks, the educated and the talented. These select 
are allowed the freedom to be frank and critical to the rulers, as long as they 
accept the legitimacy of the Party - a party that also provides them with 
privileges and perks that came from supporting the ruling regime.  In addition, 
all of China's classes share in the country's economic growth, even if to 
varying degrees.


The Arab regimes by contrast often treat those among the educated who question 
the government as enemies to be jailed or exiled. Meanwhile, the man on the 
street remains oppressed not just by the regime but also by stagnant economic 
growth and opportunities. What opportunities that exist have been visibly 
cornered by the tiny ruling elite even as bread riots take place in the streets 
or the educated remained jobless. This in turn feeds into a slow but sure 
religious radicalisation of the young and the unemployed.


The parallels with Pakistan are obvious even if Prime Minister Yousuf Gilani 
has declared that Pakistan would not see the events of Tunisia or Egypt 
repeated on its soil because it had functioning and democratic institutions. 
Perhaps. In a sense, the Lawyers Movement of a few years ago that ultimately 
led to the fall of General Pervez Musharraf could be seen as a precursor to the 
protests in the Arab world. Yet, that might also be stretching the parallel a 
bit, for there is no evidence that the Pakistani case has been an exemplar 
anywhere in the Muslim world or indeed, that it has materially changed the 
conditions for the man on the Pakistani street.


Nor is it likely that Arab dictatorships are going to learn any lessons in 
survival from  East Asian authoritarianism, and even if they wanted to, it 
might already be too little too late or well nigh impossible. After all, even 
Pakistan which is China's closest ally in Asia and in the Muslim world, has 
itself learnt little of either stability or economic growth from its friendly 
neighbour.

Meanwhile, though the Chinese government is blocking access to news of Egypt 
and its technology-enabled street protests, the Chinese have plenty of examples 
to inspire them at home. Another Li has been in the news recently. Li Na, 
losing women's finalist at the Australian Open last month walked up to the 
umpire in the middle of the match asking, "Can you tell the Chinese 
[spectators], don't teach me how to play tennis?" Li had had enough from her 
countrymen in the stands but her temerity in asking a Britisher (read 'foreign 
devil') to tell her fellow Chinese to shut up upset many back home conscious of 
their country's 'century of humiliation' at the hands of Western imperialist 
powers.

And yet, ordinary people everywhere have to appeal to a neutral actor - whether 
God or America - to come to their aid in times of trouble. Like Li Na, the 
Tunisians and Egyptians too have had enough and so, it seems, have their 
counterparts elsewhere in the region. To return to the story of Li Gang, the 
fact that he had to go on television to apologise in tears for his son's 
behaviour in response to furious public reaction around China, is also saying 
something.

Jabin T. Jacob is a  Senior Research Fellow, Institute of Peace and Conflict 
Studies (IPCS), New Delhi.


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