http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1043/op6.htm

 14 - 20 April 2011
Issue No. 1043
Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875

Revolution is a messy affair
Patience is needed for the Egyptian revolution to bear fruit, though the people 
expect immediate change, writes Samir Sobhi 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

We've ventured into the unknown and we've emerged slightly battered and a bit 
dishevelled. This is all part of the game. You cannot have a birth without 
going through the messy business of delivery. So what's next?

The immediate task is clear. The freedom we sought has to acquire a 
recognisable shape, has to be moulded into a form that is suitable to us as 
Egyptians. We will have to reinvent ourselves as a modern nation living in a 
fast-changing world, a world that no longer recognises barriers to information 
or innovation.

Years ago, veteran journalist Mohamed Hassanein Heikal was kind enough to write 
an introduction for my book, In the Corridors of Journalism. In that 
introduction, he said that there are three types of political legitimacies. One 
is the traditional legitimacy that arises from religious or tribal roots and 
that calls for unquestioned obedience on the part of the governed. Of this kind 
of legitimacy, Saudi Arabia is a clear example. Then there is constitutional 
and legal legitimacy, which grows from the balance among various classes and 
social forces once a certain level of economic, social and cultural progress is 
achieved. Under this kind of legitimacy, conflicting interests can be balanced 
through free and democratic dialogue. Great Britain offers an example for how 
this kind of legitimacy works.

The third kind of legitimacy is transitional legitimacy, which tends to arise 
in periods of transition from traditional to modern legitimacy. Usually, 
transitional legitimacy centres on the figure of a strongman, a benevolent or 
malevolent tyrant. At best, the strongman would be someone with charisma who 
could lead his nation smoothly through periods of delicate transition.

Every now and then, history propels a man into a leading position, one that he 
may fill with dignity or abuse to the detriment of his people. This model is 
usually seen in periods of great turmoil, such as those preceding the rise of 
Cromwell in England, Napoleon in France, or Bismarck in Germany. More recent 
examples of one-man rule are De Gaulle in France, Abdel-Nasser in Egypt, and 
Tito in Yugoslavia.

The press in any country is only a reflection of its state of political 
affairs. In cases of one-man rule, the press is expected to toe the line, 
refraining from any criticism of the leader and his family. In cases 
constitutional legitimacy, problems are solved through free speech and the 
press becomes central to political debate, an integral part of the democratic 
process. 

In regimes based on the legitimacy of one man, the whole of political life 
becomes concentrated, and the press can at best offer cautious advice, and at 
worst sing the praises of the regime.

History changes when one type of legitimacy is replaced by another, a process 
that is often bloody and messy. When two legitimacies reach the point of 
collision, change is bound to happen. And it is not over until the remnants of 
the old legitimacy are defeated.

Political systems do not end of their own accord. They have to be defeated by 
more powerful agents, by new forces that are ready and willing to assume 
leadership. Frightful scenes of collision are to be expected when the 
traditional past is challenged by the rising forces of democracy.

For now, our main task should be to restore order to our streets, to make sure 
that the police are deployed in force and getting a decent pay.

The seeds of change have been sown in Tahrir Square. We'll have to watch over 
them so that they may grow and bear fruit. We'll have to be patient. This is 
not an easy process. It may take a year or two, perhaps longer. But we're 
prepared to wait, because it is worth it.


[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



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