Saya garis bawahi kalimat ini: 

"Paradoxically, Israel's best strategy in the current situation might be not to 
resist the Palestinian bid for UN recognition, says Carlo Strenger, a 
psychoanalyst at Tel Aviv University who is a member of the Monitoring Panel on 
Terrorism of the World Federation of Scientists. Rather Israel should back it – 
but with the quid pro quo that the Palestinians must renounce the right to 
return to Israel, a demand likely to be endorsed by the international community 
including the Arab League."

Inilah masaalah ruwet yang juga kudu dipecahkan dan hingga sekarang sepanjang 
pengertian saya dari berita yang kita baca, belum disinggung oleh Obama, Israel 
dan..Palestina...: hak orang Palestina yang sekarang hidup di pengasingan 
(termasuk Gaza) untuk kembali ke kampung halamannnya yang sekarang berada di 
wilayah Israel.

--

Independent.co.uk
Paul Vallely: Obama's Middle East challenge

The President's call to Palestinian and Israeli leaders to co-operate may be 
overtaken by the action of the people

Sunday, 22 May 2011

Contiguous. Now there's an interesting word. You had to read between the lines 
to understand Barack Obama's new vision for the Middle East. The American 
president began with an apologia designed to make some kind of coherent sense 
out Washington's utterly inconsistent attitudes to the uprisings in the 
different countries of the Arab world. He could not, of course, because the 
economic interest and political values of the United States are in a permanent 
rictus of contradiction.

Washington is very keen on freedom and democracy, but it is also rather 
enthusiastic about protecting US oil supplies and political stability in the 
region they come from. Hence Obama's somewhat tardy embrace of rebellion in 
Egypt, but his extreme reluctance to back rebels in Bahrain. And he didn't even 
mention Saudi Arabia.

What he had to say on the conflict at the core of the Middle East's political 
instability was more interesting. There would be no peace between Israel and 
the Palestinians until a deal could be agreed that would accommodate a separate 
state for each. That would best be done by working from the borders Israel had 
before seizing Jerusalem, the West Bank and the Gaza Strip in the Six Day War 
in 1967. Parcels of land should then be swapped to ensure secure borders for 
Israel and a viable "sovereign and contiguous Palestinian state".

Once borders and security were sorted, Obama said, the two sides could 
negotiate on the more emotionally charged subjects, such as control of 
Jerusalem and whether Palestinian refugees driven from their homes should have 
the right to return. But first, both sides must agree on that contiguous state.

According to that great American lexicographical stalwart Webster's Dictionary 
contiguous means "touching or connected throughout in an unbroken sequence". 
Given that Gaza and the West Bank are 30 miles apart, with a swathe of Israel 
between, Obama's contiguity has set minds racing. That couldn't just mean a 
linking corridor, could it?

Adding to the speculation he continued: "The United States believes that 
negotiations should result in two states, with permanent Palestinian borders 
with Israel, Jordan, and Egypt, and permanent Israeli borders with Palestine."

How does that square with the pre-1967 borders? Was the President implying that 
the new improved Israel will border neither Jordan nor Egypt, as it does now? 
Would Palestine's contiguous territory come at the expense of Israel's? Would 
Israel get the Gaza Strip and the Mediterranean and Palestine get the Negev and 
a Red Sea port?

The Israeli prime minister, Binyamin Netanyahu, was incandescent, particularly 
as the White House did not run the speech past him in advance as it normally 
does. He only has himself to blame. After a good start with Obama he set up the 
President's first foreign policy humiliation by refusing to stop building 
Israeli settlements on Palestinian land. Next he embarrassed the US 
Vice-President Joe Biden as he visited Jerusalem. Then, on the eve of his last 
visit to the White House he delivered a defiant speech to a pro-Israel lobbying 
group. This time he got Republican leaders to invite him to address a joint 
meeting of Congress next week – a move widely interpreted as an attempt to 
limit the options for Obama, whose speech on Thursday was timed to pre-empt 
further Netanyahu shenanigans.

But Netanyahu has also been out-manoeuvred by the Palestinians. Having 
concluded that he is not serious about negotiations, they have chosen another 
route. In September, they will ask the UN General Assembly to recognise the 
West Bank, Gaza and east Jerusalem as an independent state.

Obama in his speech warned the Palestinians to drop the idea, but he did not 
seem to mean what he said. (Similarly, for all his condemnations of oppression 
in Syria, the signs are that Washington has decided it is 
better-the-devil-you-know with President Assad, as in Bahrain and Saudi.)

Having made no progress on Palestine since he took office, Obama has decided 
that Netanyahu will never make the kind of concessions needed for a peace deal. 
He does not trust the Israeli leader and knows he is in hock to right-wingers 
even more extreme than him. For Netanyahu to negotiate from 1967 borders would 
bring the collapse of his coalition.

But what helps at home in Jerusalem is working the other way abroad. The 
Palestinians are building support in the UN. It is likely that the leading 
European powers, including Britain, will back them because they see no other 
progress on peace. The Palestinian state looks set to get more than two-thirds 
of the vote in the UN General Assembly, where the US does not have veto power. 
That would leave Netanyahu and his "unshakeable" American ally isolated. 
Netanyahu's Israel, in the words of the Zionist historian Zeev Sternhell, is on 
the way to becoming a pariah state.

Europe has the opportunity to exert influence here. Having backed the Obama 
call for a deal based on the 1967 border, plus mutually-agreed swaps, the 
British Foreign Secretary, William Hague, and his European counterparts, could 
bring pressure to bear on the Jerusalem and right-to-return issues. Since 
Jerusalem is a holy city to all three Abrahamic religions compromise on the 
idea of shared jurisdiction is something the Israelis should be pressed to 
accept.

Likewise the Palestinians should face the fact that, once they have a viable 
state of their own, demands for refugees to return risks undermining the 
two-state solution and Israelis' majority inclination for a "homeland for the 
Jewish people". The right of return could become an obverse of the right of 
Israel to exist.

Both Israel and America need also to accept that the agreement of the two main 
Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, to create a single unified Palestinian 
government is not a hindrance to peace but a sine qua non. The history of many 
conflicts show, as in Ireland, that it is only when the hardliners are involved 
that peace can be properly negotiated. Hamas would have to renounce terrorism 
and acknowledge Israel's right to exist. Europe can play a role in brokering 
concessions on all sides.

Paradoxically, Israel's best strategy in the current situation might be not to 
resist the Palestinian bid for UN recognition, says Carlo Strenger, a 
psychoanalyst at Tel Aviv University who is a member of the Monitoring Panel on 
Terrorism of the World Federation of Scientists. Rather Israel should back it – 
but with the quid pro quo that the Palestinians must renounce the right to 
return to Israel, a demand likely to be endorsed by the international community 
including the Arab League.

All that could be a long game, for all sides. But hundreds of Palestinian 
refugees simultaneously stormed Israel's frontiers with Lebanon, Syria, the 
West Bank and the Gaza Strip last weekend. If those hundreds turn to thousands 
– or tens of thousands in this Arab spring – then time may be the one commodity 
political leaders find they no longer have.




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