http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1052/re7.htm

 16 - 22 June 2011
Issue No. 1052
Published in Cairo by AL-AHRAM established in 1875

Change afoot in Iraq?
While Iraq's leaders continue to shame their country, the tide may be finally 
turning against them, writes Salah Nasrawi 

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Iraq's fragile political process suffered another setback this week, 
threatening to plunge the violence-battered country into turbulence only six 
months before the scheduled withdrawal of US troops. 

The latest crisis was sparked by a spat between the leaders of the two main 
blocs in the country's "partnership" government, Shia Prime Minister Nuri 
Al-Maliki and the leader of the Sunni-backed Iraqia Coalition bloc, Iyad 
Allawi. 

On Friday, Allawi charged Al-Maliki with "lying, hypocrisy and deception", 
saying that Al-Maliki had "depended on foreigners and Iran's support to become 
prime minister." 

Allawi's remarks came hours after pro Al-Maliki demonstrators carried his 
picture when standing next to Firas Al-Jubouri, a man whom the government 
accuses of masterminding a massacre of some 70 Shias in 2006 while on their way 
to a wedding. 

The gruesome crime, which included the raping of the women, including the 
bride, and the slaughtering of the men and children and the throwing of their 
bodies into the Tigris, was disclosed last month, infuriating many Shias who 
have demanded the public execution of the perpetrators.

But the incident also raises questions about why the government has waited so 
long to bring the assault to light and if it is now trying to implicate Allawi 
in it, especially following rumors that Al-Jubouri is a member of his National 
Accord Movement. 

The disclosure came amid mounting criticism of Al-Maliki, who holds the 
portfolios of defense, interior and national security ministers in the Iraqi 
government, as well as that of intelligence chairman, and who has been accused 
of failing to stop the violence. 

Some have suggested that Al-Maliki has filled these ministries and top security 
posts with his cronies and supporters who are inefficient or corrupt. He was 
also recently embroiled in a scandal that showed how deeply corruption goes in 
Iraq, even deep inside Al-Maliki's own office. 

Last month some 12 Al-Qaeda terrorists escaped from prison in the southern port 
city of Basra, with some of the men facing death sentences. A parliamentary 
committee responsible for probing the escape said that it had found that the 
prison-break was linked to senior officials working in Al-Maliki's office. 

According to the committee, Al-Maliki's senior security adviser Abdel-Karim 
Fadhil, his brother and a nephew allegedly helped the Al-Qaeda members to 
escape in return for cash. 

Fadhil has no military or security training, and his only credential is his 
close family ties with Al-Maliki. 

The disclosure of the Basra prison escape followed the killing of 17 policemen, 
including a top counter-terrorism officer, on 8 May during an attempt by 
terrorists to escape from a Baghdad detention centre. 

The mêlée at the sprawling compound raised questions about how a group of 
prisoners at what is supposed to be one of the most secure facilities in the 
country managed to launch such a fierce attack. 

Some 4,000 militants and terrorists have escaped detention with inside help in 
Iraq since 2006. 

The country's criminal justice system is derelict, and hundreds of criminals 
and sectarian terrorists have been sentenced to death for killings but have not 
been executed or even brought to justice in a system where convicts can buy 
their freedom. 

The new row came on the heels of a 100-day cooling-off period that al-Maliki 
had set for his ministers to improve their performance in order to quell 
protests nationwide. 

Iraqi protesters have been demanding an end to the violence, combating of the 
rampant corruption and improvements in services. 

Following the expiration of the self-imposed grace period, activists have 
planned more nationwide protests to press for democratic reforms and more 
government services. 

On Friday, hundreds of peaceful protesters took to the streets across Iraq 
after al-Maliki renewed the 100-day deadline he had set for himself, citing the 
need for more time. 

The protesters were savagely attacked in Baghdad's Al-Tahrir Square by some 
1,000 of pro-government supporters who attempted to shift the focus from 
Al-Maliki's backtracking to the Shia wedding massacre. 

What has made the situation worse has been the exchange of accusations between 
Al-Maliki and Allawi supporters. Al-Maliki aides have said they will file a 
court suit against Allawi on charges of slander, while Allawi has pledged to 
summon Al-Maliki to parliament for questioning. 

On Sunday, a senior aide to Allawi, an Iraqiya lawmaker and a leader of 
Al-Maliki's Daawa Party were caught in a scuffle inside the parliamentary cafe 
shortly before a crucial session. 

Parliamentary speaker Osama Al-Nujaifi was forced to adjourn parliament after 
Iraqiya announced a boycott in protest. 

Amid such chaotic political scenes tensions have risen across Iraq, with 
terrorists escalating their campaign of bombings and assassinations. Dozens of 
people were killed this week in separate attacks in Baghdad and elsewhere. 

On Saturday, twin car bombs ripped through a crowded neighbourhood in the 
northern 

Iraqi city of Mosul, killing four civilians and two policemen and wounding 48 
others. At least 11 people were also killed in attacks elsewhere. 

On Monday, a suicide attack on a police station in the southern city of Basra 
killed at least four people and wounded 19 others. 

The next day, gunmen stormed the offices of the local government of Diyala in 
the provincial capital of Baquba, with two car bombs and suicide blasts killing 
nine people and wounding dozens of others. 

This week's attacks were the latest in a string of assaults against police and 
government headquarters aimed at undermining Iraq's uneasy security. 

The violence highlighted increasing concerns about the capability of Iraqi 
security forces to protect the country as US troops prepare to leave by 
January. 

Some analysts suggest that both the political wrangling and the escalation of 
the violence echo the difficulties Iraq politicians face as they prepare to 
make a decision that could determine the future of the US troops. 

Radical anti-American cleric Muqtada Al-Sadr, whose supporters have 40 seats in 
the parliament and seven cabinet ministers, has vowed that he will reactivate 
the Al-Mahdi Army, his militia, if the American military do not leave this 
year. 

Other political leaders have not made their views public, although for 
practical reasons they may prefer to see the Americans stay longer. 

Sunni leaders in particular are worried that the American withdrawal will 
create a security vacuum that the pro-Iran Al-Sadr militia will try to fill. 

Most Iraqis are worried that the present fractured coalition government is 
incapable of reaching a consensus on the American troop presence and that its 
uncompromising partners will prefer to play brinkmanship rather than try to 
resolve this thorny issue. 

Some Iraqis believe that though the recent quarrels hide a fierce political 
struggle, they also show a determination by the rival leaders to delay any hard 
decisions on the American presence until the last moment before the 31 December 
deadline. 

By procrastinating, these politicians are not only providing further evidence 
that they are putting their own interests before those of their country, but 
also that they are gambling with whatever few gains the security forces have 
made so far. 

The bottom line is that Iraqi politicians cannot survive without a continuing 
crisis, and however shameful this policy is they will continue to use it to 
conceal their own failure to remedy or even really to acknowledge Iraq's grave 
problems. 

The one item of good news is that more and more Iraqis are now taking to the 
streets across the country to protest against their leaders' lies, greed and 
failures. 


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