http://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2011/12/02/demographic-tensions-papua-a-time-bomb.html
Demographic tensions in Papua: A time bomb?
Cypri Jehan Paju Dale, Jerusalem | Fri, 12/02/2011 9:34 AM 

With Special Autonomy unable to address long-standing problems facing Papua, 
development acceleration is the latest government policy in place in the 
natural-resource-rich province.

The Unit for the Acceleration of Development in Papua and West Papua, known by 
its acronym UP4B, was formed through Presidential Regulation No. 65/2011. So, 
to what extent can the acceleration formula can be an appropriate solution, 
based on an accurate diagnosis of the present multidimensional complexity in 
Papua?

I consider the policy not only partial, but it also containing intrinsic 
risks/threats that will potentially worsen the situation in Papua. 

According to the presidential regulation, the development acceleration is aimed 
at “improving people’s welfare” (Article 2) through “socioeconomic” as well as 
“sociopolitical and cultural development” (Article 5). In this far too general 
objective, there is no provision for the acceleration of the implementation of 
special autonomy in the form of affirmative policy for indigenous Papuans. 

Instead of becoming the main spirit of the acceleration policy, affirmative 
actions for indigenous Papuans are only account for one of 10 action plans 
proposed in the development acceleration policy. More ironically, the 
affirmative actions are restricted to “giving opportunities and a quota to 
indigenous Papuan youths, men and women” in the recruitment of military and 
police personnel, state higher education institutions and “the provision of 
sporting facilities” (Action Plan 7). 

The other nine action plans are general development agendas, with strong 
economic and investment interests. Apart from giant transportation 
infrastructure to link natural-recourse-rich regions across Papua, many 
mega-projects will be implemented. Among them is an industrial and trade zone 
in Arar, Sorong, a special economic zone in gas-rich Bintuni Bay, fish 
industrial centers in Sorong, Kamimana and Weri, oil and gas development in 
West Papua, mining industry in Timika and the infamous Merauke Food and Energy 
Estate (MIFEE).

While the benefits for native communities are not warranted, there are deep 
concerns that development acceleration will spark new waves of migration to 
Papua, which will in turn exacerbate the marginalization of indigenous Papuans. 
Combined with the extraction of resources, security operations, this 
marginalization threatens the survival, well-being and dignity of indigenous 
Papuans.

A preferential option to focus on the development for Papuan people is 
imperative within the context of abnormal demographic transition in Papua. As 
the result of the government-sponsored transmigration program and spontaneous 
migration attracted by a development boom, by 2010 the non-indigenous Papuan 
population exceeded the native Papuans at a ratio of 52-48. In some regencies 
such as Keerom and big cities the composition is up to 60-40 (BPS 2010). While 
the population growth rate of Papuans is only 1.84 percent a year, the migrant 
population is increasing by 10.82 percent a year. It is projected that by 2020 
Papuans will account for only around 29 percent of the total population 
(Emslie, 2010). 

Research I conducted with human rights advocate John Jonga earlier this year 
discovered a so-called migrant capture mechanism during the special autonomy 
era, which began in 2001. Migrants’ access to the process and benefit of 
development is better than that of native Papuans. 

Facts and figures from Keerom regency speak for themselves. Indigenous Papuans 
account for only 40 percent of the population (BPS, 2010). Most of the native 
people live in rural areas such as Senggi, Web, Waris and Toe Hitam. The urban 
areas of Arso and Skanto are occupied mainly by non-Papuans (78 percent). 

In such an imbalanced composition and distribution of the population, the 
struggle for socio-, economic, cultural and political power is dominated by 
migrants. Only six out of 21 local legislative council members and seven out of 
39 heads of government agencies are native Papuans. The migrants also rule the 
trade and agriculture sector. 

The domination of the non-Papuan population in the local power struggle is 
indicated in the relocation of the regency capital from the 
predominantly-Papuan district of Waris to the predominantly-migrant district of 
Arso, which was justified by Law No. 26/2002. This decision has moved the 
center of public services and development focus from the native Papuan area to 
a transmigration area. It also contributes to the growing disparity between 
migrants and native Papuans.

While development in education and the health sector has been significantly 
improved in Arso and Skanto, thanks to special autonomy funds, basic services 
in predominantly-native Papuans remain minimal. 

Meanwhile, the predominantly Papuan areas are more and more securitized. 
Contrary to the small number of doctors and teachers, the number of security 
forces is high in rural areas. In Toe Hitam or Web, access to basic services is 
restricted by difficult geographical terrain, but ironically the government is 
able to consistently send military forces there. 

These conditions have made Papuans feel deserted and oppressed. The socio-, 
political, economic, and cultural complexities prevent them from competing for 
access to the process and result of development.

The hazardous development practices in Papua have a correlation with the 
powerlessness of indigenous Papuans to participate in the process of 
determining what kind of development, and at what speed, they want in their own 
land. The determining power is in the hands of the central government and local 
elites who define, both discursively and in practice, what is good for them, 
and decide what (and who) can be sacrificed for that purpose. 

Without re-articulation and refinement of strategies to implement affirmative 
policies for indigenous Papuans, the acceleration of development will solve 
nothing, and worsen the existing complexities in Papua. From this standpoint, 
the development acceleration amounts to a time bomb. 

For Papuan people, the policy will potentially bring about more hazards in the 
forms of resource exploitation, marginalization and minoritization. The 
fast-growing population rate of migrants and the disparities between them and 
the native people engender a high risk of racial/ethnic plus religious 
conflicts. Politically, this will further fuel anti-Indonesia sentiment. 

There is thus far no guarantee for the Papuans that their survival, wellbeing 
and dignity can be achieved within the developmentalist Unitary State of the 
Republic of Indonesia.

The writer is a researcher at Teratai Hati Papua Foundation (YTHP).


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