Malcolm wrote

So, iPad like devices will succeed all of the above, and we will all be using them as they get more capable.

You have to distinguish between those things that are long term
computing trends and those which are short term fads

No one can dispute the huge sales of the Ipad.   It looks great - it
is marketed brilliantly but what does it do?
It is easy to imagine people looking at it in 9 months and saying to
themselves - 'I spent a lot of money on that but what did I do with it
that I couldn't have done with the equipment I already had'
The answer in many cases will be nothing!

The cloud is not new - it failed the previous time.   The thinking behind
it is not the storage of backups but the use of programs in the cloud.
That way instead of you making a one-off payment for a prog you can
use for as long as you like you end up making an annual payment to
use the prog.   The companies make much more money from the prog
and have a steady income stream from it and you are tied to them.
Personally I prefer to do my own computing rather than have Microsoft
do it.   The history of Microsoft in recent years is them attempting to
take over more and more of what you do and people resisting it.
You are in their hands with the cloud - they can ask what they like
since all they have to do is stop your access to their server.  And
that can happen accidently anyway

martinw
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