No as you don't know which tiles are in your opponents rack so there are a variety of possible scenarios. Also the opponent has a variety of possible plays for any given rack. There could be a bunch of moves each of which has a variety of responses. In short I doubt it is rounding error and certainly it doesn't have to be 87.5% or below.
Matt --- In [email protected], "Albert Hahn" <halber...@...> wrote: > > Frivolity aside, I would guess that 99.96% would have to be > a rounding off type error. > With only one tile in the bag I would think that > the next lowest percentage below 100% > would have to be 87.5% (or less). > > Albert Hahn > > ----- Original Message ----- > From: David B.Lewis > To: [email protected] > Sent: Saturday, May 08, 2010 3:51 AM > Subject: [quackle] seeing possible future moves > > > > Toward the end of a game, I thought I had made a play that shut down the > last bingo lane and assured a win. When I load the position into Quackle and > ask Championship Player about the situation, it suggests a few different > moves with a 100% win but not the move that I chose. When I specifically > enter that move and then simulate, the moves that Quackle had suggested show > up as winning 100% of the time, and the move that I chose shows up as winning > 99.96% of the time. > > For the life of me, I can't figure out what could happen in that 0.04% of > the situations. There was only 1 tile in the bag at the time, so I've tried > all of my opponent's possible racks, and nothing turns up that is a win. > > Is there any way to get at the information that Quackle uses during a > simulation, so that I could either determine that a mistake was made on > Quackle's part (and that my move was a sure thing) or find out just what > terrific move my opponent may have had? > > Thx in advance. > > PS: ideally, I'd like Quackle to say "Great move, but you missed the remote > possibility of your opponent's disconnected thirteen here". On a related > note, in a previous post, I thought it would also be useful to show where > moves played, so that I could see, for example, that 75% of my opponent's > responses to my move use a hook that I had opened up or a hot-spot that I had > created or a spot I didn't block. >
