Dear Prof. Ripley & M. Philion:

First some commentary then questions for Prof. Ripley and M. Philion.

COMMENTARY

Prof. Ripley said, "to fit a curve of mean response vs dose,
and find the dose at which the mean response is half of that at dose 0.
That one is easy." Unfortunately, it is not obvious to me at the moment. From "www.r-project.org" -> search -> "R site search" -> "LD50", I found "dose.p", described on p. 193, sec. 7.2, of Venables and Ripley (2002) Modern Applied Statistics with S, 4th ed. (Springer).


Then I cut the data set down to a size that I could easily play with, and fit Poisson regression:

Phytopath <- data.frame(x=c(0, 0.03, 0.1),           
        y=c(28, 21, 11))
(fitP100 <- glm(y~log(x+0.015), data=Phytopath[rep(1:3, 100),],
  family="poisson"))

Call: glm(formula = y ~ log(x + 0.015), family = "poisson", data = Phytopath[rep(1:3, 100), ])

Coefficients:
   (Intercept)  log(x + 0.015)
        1.6088         -0.4203

(LD50P100 <- dose.p(fitP100, p=14))
             Dose         SE
p = 14: -2.451018 0.04858572

To get a 95% confidence interval from this, in S-Plus 6.1, I did:

  exp(LD50 + c(-2,0, 2)[EMAIL PROTECTED])-0.015
[1] 0.01762321 0.07120579 0.21279601

R 1.7.1 seemed to require a different syntax, which I couldn't parse in my present insomniac state (3:20 AM in California).

QUESTIONS:

PROF. RIPLEY: Is this what you said was easy?

M. PHILION: Does this provide sufficient information for you to now solve your problem?

hope this helps. spencer graves

Prof Brian Ripley wrote:
> On Fri, 25 Jul 2003, Vincent Philion wrote:
>
>
>>Hello and thank you for your interest in this problem.
>>
>>"real life data" would look like this:
>>
>>x y
>>0 28
>>0.03 21
>>0.1 11
>>0.3 15
>>1 5
>>3 4
>>10 1
>>30 0
>>100 0
>>
>>x y
>>0 30
>>0.0025 30
>>0.02 25
>>0.16 25
>>1.28 10
>>10.24 0
>>81.92 0
>>
>>X Y
>>0 35
>>0.00025 23
>>0.002 14
>>0.016 6
>>0.128 5
>>1.024 3
>>8.192 2
>>
>>X Y
>>0 43
>>0.00025 35
>>0.002 20
>>0.016 16
>>0.128 11
>>1.024 6
>>8.192 0
>>
>>Where X is dose and Y is response.
>>the relation is linear for log(response) = b log(dose) + intercept
>
>
> Is that log(*mean* response), that is a log link and exponential decay
> with dose?
>
>
>>Response for dose 0 is a "control" = Ymax. So, What I want is the dose
>>for 50% response. For instance, in example 1:
>>
>>Ymax = 28 (this is also an observation with Poisson error)
>
>
> Once you observe Ymax, Y is no longer Poisson.
>
>
>>So I want dose for response = 14 = approx. 0.3
>
>
> What exactly is Ymax? Is it the response at dose 0? The mean response at
> dose 0? The largest response? About the only thing I can actually
> interpret is that you want to fit a curve of mean response vs dose, and
> find the dose at which the mean response is half of that at dose 0.
> That one is easy.
>
> I think you are confusing response with mean response, and we can't
> disentangle them for you.
>


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