Hi Billy,

On Jan 19, 2011, at 8:37 AM, [email protected] wrote:
> This being the case, exactly why should we dismiss certainty as a useful 
> principle, indeed,
> why should we be dismissive or entire classes of certain truths ?  Among 
> these truths is
> the psychological need we all have for any number of certainties in life.

I think you missed the deeper point:
> The physicist Lawrence Krauss of Arizona State University agreed. "In the 
> public parlance, uncertainty is a bad thing, implying a lack of rigour and 
> predictability. The fact that global warming estimates are uncertain, for 
> example, has been used by many to argue against any action at the present 
> time," he said.
> 
> "In fact, however, uncertainty is a central component of what makes science 
> successful. Being able to quantify uncertainty, and incorporate it into 
> models, is what makes science quantitative, rather than qualitative. Indeed, 
> no number, no measurement, no observable in science is exact. Quoting numbers 
> without attaching an uncertainty to them implies they have, in essence, no 
> meaning."
> 
Courage is the ability to act in the face of uncertainty.  Humble leadership is 
the ability to admit uncertainty despite being committed to a course of action.

We should not idolize uncertainty, but we need to leave it a seat at the table 
even as we act as if we were certain.

-- Ernie P.

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