Hi Billy, My best guess is that the Islamists will dominate in the short term, simply because they're better organized. They'll probably play the integrity and traditional values card, and tone down the anti-American rhetoric because they need our money.
Medium term, they'll overplay their hand and generate a reaction from the more secular factions. But what happens then is deeply unclear, as I don't see a coherent moral center for forming a new democracy. The best I can hope for is an enlightened Singaporean style authoritarian democracy, if that makes sense. Wonder how the futures markets are playing bets. Chris: communication helps spread facts, which can tear town tyranny. But Egypt needs a way to spread -values- in order to build something in it's place. Right now, I fear the Islamists have a de facto monopoly on those... E Sent from my iPhone On Jan 29, 2011, at 2:15, [email protected] wrote: > Islamist = anyone's guess how it would turn out, but even a > "moderate" Islamic state > and all hell could break out in the region My > best guess, if it goes > Islamist, however it started, it would be > anything but moderate > in approximately a year.The two Islamist > factions are both > extremist by anyone's standards, one only > somewhat less > than the other. If there is a "moderate" > Islamist group > so far it is very well hidden. > -- Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community <[email protected]> Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org
