For Billy, if he is back online. 


Tl;dr - nice idea, impressive technology, unrealistic business model 

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Final shuttle launch for Discovery: Was shuttle program worth it? - Why did the 
US build the shuttle? - CSMonitor.com
http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/2011/0223/Final-shuttle-launch-for-Discovery-Was-shuttle-program-worth-it/Why-did-the-US-build-the-shuttle

Final shuttle launch for Discovery: Was shuttle program worth it? - Why did the 
US build the shuttle?

For 30 years, the space shuttle launch has served as the centerpiece of the US 
space program. But Feb. 24 will mark the last shuttle launch of Discovery, with 
the final flight of Endeavour to follow in April and – if there’s enough money 
– Atlantis’s last flight of the entire program in June. Here are five questions 
about what the shuttles have – and haven’t – accomplished.

- Pete Spotts, Staff writer

For many space enthusiasts, including Wernher von Braun, who headed the 
National Aeronautics and Space Administration’s Marshall Space Flight Center 
from 1960 to 1970, a shuttle of some sort was part of an overall long-term 
vision for the US human-spaceflight program that dated to the early 1950s.

The vision included a winged craft that could carry crews and cargo and be used 
to loft and repair satellites, and a space station as a jumping-off point for 
exploring the moon and eventually Mars. Proponents also argued that reusable 
shuttles would be more economical than rockets that were good for only one 
launch.

In some ways, yes. “Technically, it was a remarkable achievement,” says Louis 
Friedman, executive director emeritus of the Planetary Society in Pasadena, 
Calif. Shuttles launched satellites and initially carried classified payloads 
for the Pentagon. They served as test beds for technologies that would lead to 
the International Space Station. They played an indispensable role in the 
construction and stocking of the space station. And their crews repaired and 
even rescued satellites and the Hubble Space Telescope.

But experience would show, through two fatal accidents that killed 14 
astronauts and through numerous modifications, that the orbiters never truly 
shifted from being R&D vehicles to craft capable of routine operation.

And, Mr. Friedman adds, “it was a programmatic disaster.” Cost savings that 
planners envisioned – and oversold, many analysts say – never materialized. One 
widely cited early study indicated that for a $12.8 billion investment in 
orbiters and infrastructure, the shuttles would pay for themselves if they flew 
39 flights a year between 1978 and 1990. But flight rates averaged just 4.5 
launches a year through 2010.

By some estimates, once the final mission ends, the program will have cost $174 
billion, with payload launch costs of about $10,000 per pound, compared with 
some initial estimates of $120 a pound.

(via Instapaper)



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