Dick Morris, caveat emptor.
(He has a mixed history of polling accuracy; however, other polls
are close to his on this.)
David
ORourke54 Signature
"I don't understand why
the same newspaper commentators who
bemoan the terrible education given
to poor people are always so eager
to have those poor people get out
and vote."--P.
J. O'Rourke
-------- Original Message --------
THE DICK MORRIS POLL ON WISCONSIN
Published on DickMorris.com
on February 24, 2011
Printer-Friendly Version
For Immediate Release:
For further information, contact Sandy Frazier at [email protected]
ANNOUNCING THE LAUNCH OF THE DICK MORRIS POLL and FIRST
STATEWIDE POLL RESULTS FROM OF WISCONSIN VOTERS
February 24, 2011
Dick Morris, a veteran pollster with thirty years of experience
in national and international polling, is announcing the launch
of The Dick Morris Poll, which will focus on timely political
issues and candidates. Drawing on his polling expertise, Dick
will provide the results and an analysis of each poll.
Dick Morris was President Clinton's pollster for 20 years, and
has done polling for 30 Senators and Governors and 14 presidents
or prime ministers in foreign countries.
The Dick Morris Poll, to be published at least once a month,
will use the traditional polling method of telephone calls to
registered voters. On occasion, internet polls will be done of a
carefully drawn random sample of likely voters - in order to
avoid the bias of relying only on those participants with a
political predisposition.
The initial poll is the first published poll of voters conducted
within the state of Wisconsin and was completed on Monday,
February 21, 201 and Tuesday, February 22, 2011.
WISCONSIN POLL RESULTS
The Dick Morris Poll conducted a telephone survey among 409
likely Wisconsin voters. The survey has a margin of error of +-
4%.
Findings: Wisconsin voters break almost evenly on Governor
Walker's proposed reforms, supporting them by a margin of 51-47.
They support many aspects of the proposal by significant
numbers:
VOTERS SUPPORT CHANGING THE BENEFITS TO STATE WORKERS, PAY,
AND AUTOMATIC DEDUCTION OF UNION DUES
• By 74-18, they back making state employees pay more for their
health insurance.
• By 79-16, they support asking state workers contribute more
toward their pensions.
• By 54-34, Wisconsin voters support ending the automatic
deduction of union dues from state paychecks and support making
unions collect dues from each member.
• By 66-30, they back limiting state workers' pay increases to
the rate of inflation unless voters approve a higher raise by a
public referendum.
VOTERS OPPOSE CHANGING COLLECTIVE BARGAINING AGREEMENTS
On the issue of limiting collective bargaining to wage and
benefit issues, however, they break with the Governor, opposing
the proposal by 41-54.
If the issues to be taken off the bargaining table are related
to giving schools flexibility to modify tenure, pay teachers
based on merit, discharge bad teachers and promote good ones,
however, they support such limits on collective bargaining by
58-38.
ANALYSIS: Voters back the principal of collective
bargaining. But they are also willing to limit these
negotiations so that they would not impede education reforms.
For Governor Walker to prevail, he must focus on his goal of
achieving reform in schools. He will not prevail as long as his
proposal is essentially negative in nature (i.e. limiting
collective bargaining). But if he emphasizes the positive
intent that lies behind the proposal (i.e. giving schools the
flexibility and freedom to implement education reforms), he will
find a solid public majority behind him.
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