Kevin :
First, I owe you an apology for assuming  you had a copy of the Amendments.
Looks like it was my mistake. I certainly intended to send to the  group
but somewhere along the line this did not happen. The mistake
will be corrected soon.
 
Second, As much as I oppose Ron Paul, his emergence looks like it  will
shake up the GOP establishment   --to the extent that it does,  hurrah.
The Gingrich material that I am sending around --into Iowa and NH
among other places--   ought to interest the Congressman. After  all,
none of it reflects badly on himself and a Gingrich imbroglio could
work to Paul's advantage.
 
Third, about predictions, etc, most of the time what is meant really  is
forecasting, or projections, or the like. 
 
But the issue of "the future" is important. There is, as you may  know,
a World Future Society, and a large number of politicos belong.
And there is an  entire literature of futures research.
 
I think I get what you mean about the "present moment" and 
existential centeredness. At one time I was part of a Humanistic  Psychology
project in which academics were trained to be more-or-less counselors
for students, not only lecturers and graders of papers. Still, while  our
leaders in training ( actually all had degrees and were affiliated  with
universities ) emphasized "here-ness, " after a while I could see 
the limitations to that approach
 
It also turns out that there is a whole, if nascent, psychology of futures  
thinking
since, after all, to try and edit-out the future is not only impossible  but
not such a hot idea. We always, even if subconsciously, think about
the future simply because that is where we always are going. To use
the life-as-adventure metaphor, yes, the path is good in and of  itself,
but always there are goals, and goals matter very much.
 
Billy
 
 
=======================================
 
11/16/2011 3:50:26 P.M. Pacific Standard Time, [email protected]  
writes:

Hi  Kevin,  


On Nov 16, 2011, at 2:29 PM, Kevin Kervick wrote:

Hi Ernie:
 
I'm not a prude about it.  I used to bet football games and dogs,  etc.  My 
college roommate was the campus middle man bookie (I found out  later he 
got into a lot of trouble after college).  I try not to  predict anything.  I 
believe we Americans are endlessly addicted to  trying to control the future 
instead of seeing and enjoying the  present.  I'm interested in descriptive 
rather than predictive  statistics.



So do you consider "Paul is poised to win Iowa" a descriptive rather than  
a predictive statement? If so, I withdraw my complaint.


-- Ernie P.




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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community  
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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
<[email protected]>
Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism
Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org

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