Hi Billy,

On Nov 23, 2011, at 2:55 PM, [email protected] wrote:
> Fact is, though, there is no substitute for actually knowing a field / 
> discipline.
> This means that none of us can be competent in more than , say,  4 or 5 areas.
> Maybe a few more if you really work at it, but there are limits

The really tantalizing question is whether there is some sort of 
meta-discipline  -- e.g., "BS detector" -- that it *is* possible to master. 
That is, we can't possibly know everything, but we can learn to know when 
somebody lacks credibility. Sort of like Napier's Law for words, not just 
numbers.

I actually think it is possible to come up with a good heuristic, in that it 
could at least distinguish sloppy reasoning from solid thinking.  Alas, if the 
heuristic were ever published and widely-adopted, then the cheaters would learn 
how to hack it.  So if I come up with such a meta-discipline, I'd have to use 
it rather than talk about it...

E

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Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
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