Nice bit of wrongology, as applied to the church. 

E



No Way!
http://www.doggieheadtilt.com/no-way/

Christians are often puzzled as to how the Jews missed Jesus. The prophecies 
point to Christ, yet Jewish leaders reacted, No way! Recent findings from 
neuroscience might add insights into why people reject uncomfortable realities. 
They might also account for why many church leaders reject an uncomfortable 
reality today.

The neuroscience I’m referring to comes from Daniel Kahneman, a cognitive 
psychologist who has been studying human judgment since the 1960s. The story 
starts when he and his wife were debating whether to move from Berkeley, 
California to Princeton, New Jersey. His wife was against it, claiming that 
people were less happy on the East Coast than in California. Kahneman thought 
this unlikely. But he didn’t think further debate would resolve anything. So he 
conducted a study. Sure enough, while most people in California – and elsewhere 
– believed that Californians were happier, Californians themselves reported 
being no more satisfied with their lives than people in Ohio and Michigan. When 
Kahneman reported this to his wife, she reacted, No way!

She’s not unique. Beginning in 1969, Kahneman teamed with Amos Tversky, a 
fellow psychologist, to study human judgment, decision-making and choice. It 
turns out everyone has a tendency to automatically reject uncomfortable 
realities. These findings are explained in Thinking, Fast and Slow – a book 
Kahneman wrote and probably would have co-authored with Tversky had he not died 
prematurely in 1996 at the age of 59.

Kahneman and Tversky discovered that we have two interrelated systems running 
in our heads. “System 1” is fast, automatic, and unconscious. “System 2” is 
slow and deliberate (our conscious reasoning). System 1 accounts for as much as 
95 percent of human judgment.1 System 2 accounts for about 5 percent. This is 
where the two systems can present problems. System 1 operates by coherence and 
comfort. Only the facts that fit how you imagine reality make sense. Anything 
making you uncomfortable is kicked out – unless System 2 says, Wait a minute… 
slow down and think about this. Unfortunately, that doesn’t happen very often. 
That’s because System 2 is lazy.2

These two systems together explain why horrific highway wrecks happen. System 1 
says drivers are largely unconscious of the millions of decisions their hands 
and feet make every second. When something unexpected happens – a thick fog 
bank suddenly appears on a sunny day – System 1 doesn’t immediately fit this 
fact into a “sunny day” frame. No way! The brain takes comfort in assuming it’s 
only a wisp of haze wafting over the highway. Once a driver realizes he or she 
is flying 70 mph through a fog bank, System 2 kicks in, screaming Slow down!!! 
But it’s often tragically too late.

System 1 and 2 explain why Jewish leaders reacted with disbelief when told the 
nation had been sent into exile in Babylon. Exile should not have come as a 
surprise. For hundreds of years God had prophesied the fall of Jerusalem. Exile 
was an indictment of idolatry (2 Chr. 36:17-20). This fact however didn’t fit 
how Jewish leaders imagined “sunny day” reality. They assured everyone Babylon 
wasn’t exile. It was a brief excursion and would prove temporary. One such 
leader, Hananiah, predicted that within two years the Jews would return to 
Judea and Jerusalem would be restored. God disagreed. He served as the Jews’ 
System 2. Through the prophet Jeremiah, he explicitly called the Jews “exiles 
whom I have sent into exile from Jerusalem to Babylon” (Jer. 29:4). He told the 
Jews to “seek the welfare of the city where I have sent you into exile” (29:7). 
He told the Jews to ignore their leaders. “Do not let your prophets in your 
midst and your diviners deceive you, and do not listen to the dreams which they 
dream. They are prophesying lies to you in my name. I have not sent them” (Jer. 
29:8-9).

These two systems together also explain why church leaders often react with 
disbelief when analysts suggest the Western church is in exile. These analysts 
include Richard John Neuhaus, Walter Brueggemann, Michael Frost, and James 
Davison Hunter. Just as the Babylonian exile of 2,500 years ago was an 
indictment of Jewish idolatry, they say much of the modern church is also under 
indictment for idolatry. Hunter writes, “Ours is now, emphatically, a 
post-Christian culture, and the community of Christian believers are now, more 
than ever – spiritually speaking – exiles in a land of exile.”3

One of the idols most often mentioned is American individualism and 
consumerism. Tim Keller of Redeemer Presbyterian Church in New York City writes 
how Charles Finney introduced a form of faith that put an inordinate weight on 
an individual’s personal decision for Jesus. Faith shifted from church-centric 
to individual-centric. The church began to hire larger numbers of staff to 
cater to Christians’ increasingly consumerist demands. “And this is one of the 
reasons (though not the only reason),” writes Keller, “that we have the highly 
individualistic, consumerist evangelicalism of today.” Of course, if you try to 
point out this dark reality, many church leaders react, No way!

The good news is there are two ways to strengthen System 2. The first is 
including “the outsider view” Kahneman writes. This is someone who hasn’t drunk 
the Kool-Aid. I only know of a few churches or companies that have an outsider, 
prophet, or what Ernest Hemingway called a crap detector, on the board. In 
these churches, if someone suggests the church is in exile, their leaders say, 
Let’s slow down and think about this.

The second way to strengthen System 2 is to write a premortem. Postmortems are 
written after the corpse is cold. A premortem calls for leaders to write a 
one-page story of why – a year out – a project failed. What might have happened 
if Jewish leaders had written a premortem hundreds of years before exile? I 
don’t know. And what would happen if a church’s leadership team wrote a story 
about why – a few decades out – their church was reduced to utter irrelevance? 
I’m not sure. But I bet their System 2 would be strengthened – and that would 
be a very beneficial thing.

________________
1 George Lakoff and Mark Johnson, Philosophy in the Flesh (New York: Basic 
Books, 1999), p. 13.
2 Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (New York: Farrar, Straus, and 
Giroux, 2011), p. 44.
3 James Davison Hunter, To Change The World: The Irony, Tragedy, & Possibility 
of Christianity in the Late Modern World (New York: Oxford Press, 2010), p. 277.

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