Plague on both their houses: The real story of growth and  decline in 
liberal and conservative churches

 
Christopher Brittain ABC  Religion and Ethics 8 May 2013
 
Last year, _Ross  Douthat_ 
(http://topics.nytimes.com/top/opinion/editorialsandoped/oped/columnists/rossdouthat/index.html)
  caused a stir among 
mainline American church circles with his  provocative article, _"Can  Liberal 
Christianity be Saved?"_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/15/opinion/sunday/douthat-can-liberal-christianity-be-saved.html?_r=0)
  Douthat suggests that the 
more liberal  denominations seek to be "self-consciously progressive" - 
accepting same-sex  relationships, the legitimacy of other religions and so on 
- 
the faster they  experience numerical decline. He argues that the leaders 
of liberal churches in  the United States "often don't seem to be offering 
anything you can't already  get from a purely secular liberalism."
 
Douthat's suggestion is hardly novel. Dean Kelley offered a similar view in 
 his 1972 book, _Why  Conservative Churches Are Growing_ 
(http://books.google.com.au/books/about/Why_Conservative_Churches_Are_Growing.html?id=DJsA6SRr3
9sC&redir_esc=y) . Since then, the argument that  mainline church decline 
is related to liberal tolerance and doctrinal fuzziness  has remained 
prominent among American theologians and journalists, as evidenced  by Mary 
Eberstadt's recent column in _Time_ 
(http://ideas.time.com/2013/04/29/viewpoint-in-the-war-over-christianity-orthodoxy-is-winning/)
   magazine, which declared 
that "orthodoxy is winning" in the cultural "war" over  the identity of 
Christianity. 
And yet there are a number of reasons for remaining dubious about such  
interpretations of trends in church-going in the United States, as well as in  
other countries in the "Global North." Let me here mention just two: 
    *   _Recent studies_ (http://press.princeton.edu/titles/9567.html)   
suggest that church-going among conservative evangelical congregations in the  
United States is now also in decline. Moreover, it is significant that 
Douthat  and Kelley largely focused on church-going among Americans (which 
continues to  report monthly church attendance of around 25% of the 
population), 
whereas  elsewhere in the world, church-going is significantly lower. In 
_Canada_ (http://www.statcan.gc.ca/pub/89-630-x/2008001/article/10650-eng.pdf) 
,  less than 21% of the population attend church weekly; in _Australia_ 
(http://www.ncls.org.au/default.aspx?sitemapid=6988) , the  figure is only 20% 
of the population going to church once a month (and 10%  weekly); in 
_Britain_ 
(http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/2012/churchgoers-and-the-recession-and-other-news/) 
,  only 16% report going once a month. The steady decline in church 
attendance  that these figures illustrate can no longer be presented as unique 
to  "liberal" churches. 
    *   It is misleading to suggest that all conservative churches grow 
simply by  virtue of being "conservative." The supposedly unified 
"conservative" camp  incorporates a range of church expressions that includes 
Protestant  
evangelicals, charismatic and traditional Roman Catholics, and 
Pentecostals.  In Britain and North America, only Roman Catholics are 
experiencing any  
significant numerical growth, which has more to do with immigration patterns 
 (Polish in Britain, and Hispanic in the United States) rather than any  
doctrinal or liturgical ethos. More to the point, growth of Christianity is  
really only occurring in the countries of the so-called _"Global  South."_ 
(http://www1.american.edu/academic.depts/acainst/cgs/about.html)  In those 
regions, this trend is largely restricted to the  Pentecostal churches 
(particularly in the mode of neo-Pentecostalism).
These developments not only call into question the explanation for the  
decline of liberal churches offered by Kelley, Douthat and Eberstadt; it also  
implies that the challenges confronting both liberal and conservative  
churches in Europe and the United States may be more alike than is often  
assumed. Douthat's article opens up a crack of acknowledgement in this  
direction, 
when he notes that the most successful churches in the United States  are 
"theologically shallow, preaching a gospel of health and wealth rather than  
the full New Testament message." Similarly, _Stanley  Hauerwas_ 
(http://www.abc.net.au/religion/articles/2011/08/08/2947368.htm)  - no friend 
of liberal 
Christianity - has accused conservative  American Protestants of being 
unable to distinguish between their faith in God  and loyalty to their country. 
Intriguingly, his criticism of conservative  evangelicals sounds remarkably 
similar to Douthat's accusation against liberal  Christianity: "the churches 
to which they go do little to challenge the secular  presumptions that form 
their lives." 
Both of these concerns about the motivations influencing church-going among 
 Christians ought to shift the focus of discussion from the decline of 
liberal  Christianity, and toward those churches which are experiencing 
significant  growth: neo-Pentecostal movements in the Global South. Although 
these 
movements  have some roots in the Pentecostalism that emerged in California 
in the  early-twentieth century, as well as in the charismatic revivals of 
the 1960s and  1970s, the neo-Pentecostal churches are notable for their 
emphasis on a single  charismatic leader and the witnessing of miraculous 
signs, 
and for teaching a  strong version of the "prosperity Gospel" (the belief 
that financial success is  the result of divine blessing). 
Sociologists studying the movement - preeminently _David Martin_ 
(http://www.ashgate.com/isbn/9781409406693)  - suggest that  the popularity of 
these 
churches is related to the way in which Christianity is  linked to access to 
power. People are drawn to the neo-Pentecostal  movement because they 
believe that their participation will result in some  tangible results: 
financial 
success, health, successful marriage and so on. It  is perhaps thus 
unsurprising that, generally speaking, individuals in less  developed 
countries, 
particularly those making the transition from rural areas  to large urban 
centers, are most likely to attend neo-Pentecostal churches. 
If this portrait is accurate, then it is significant that the relationship  
between church membership in these Christian churches and the culture  
surrounding them is not so different from those which Douthat criticizes in  
liberal churches, and which Hauerwas criticizes in conservative evangelical  
churches. In all three situations, the most significant concern is that such  
expressions of Christianity fail to distinguish their Christian identities 
from  their cultural and economic environment. The problem, it would seem, 
goes much  deeper than the failings of liberal Christianity - or, for that 
matter, any  other particular expression of Christian church. 
In this light, the recent _YouGov  survey_ 
(http://www.brin.ac.uk/news/2013/profile-of-anglicans-and-other-news/)  
conducted by Linda Woodhead in the 
UK is of most interesting. The  survey suggested that 50% of British 
Anglicans seldom attend church, but that  they continue to affirm the beliefs 
of 
their denomination. In an article for the  _Church  Times_ 
(http://www.churchtimes.co.uk/articles/2013/26-april/comment/opinion/‘nominals’-are-the-church’
s-hidden-strength) , Woodhead argues that such "nominal" Anglicans are 
actually a  sign of the church's strength, and should be viewed as the "most 
real 
 Anglicans." While this contribution offers a helpful corrective on the 
tendency  to equate a church's vitality or relevance to counting the number of 
people at a  Sunday service, it is rather difficult to agree that 
non-attendance can be  considered an asset for any church. Presumably, those 
Anglicans 
who no longer  attend services did so at some point in their lives - at 
least, for a long  enough period to acquire a sufficient sense of the tradition 
with which they  continue to associate. With fewer people now attending 
long enough to develop  such an identity, however, there will be a steady 
decline in even the number of  these "nominal" Anglicans. The promising 
demographic that Woodhead identifies is  thus an endangered species. 
What is more significant about the results of Woodhead's survey is the fact 
 that this "nominal" demographic - along with another 12% of the 
"Church-going  mainstream" - report that, after consulting with religious 
authorities 
and  traditions, they "make up their own minds" on matters of belief and 
morality.  Here we get to the heart of the challenge confronting not only 
liberal  Christianity, but also evangelicals and neo-Pentecostals: modern 
individualism.  Increasingly, Christians (liberal or otherwise) believe that 
they 
have the right  to decide for themselves what they will or won't believe, and 
whether they will  or won't show up for a worship service. For many, 
identifying one's identity as  "Christian" does not necessarily commit oneself 
to 
a particular belief or  practice. 
Liberal Christians are generally singled out for reducing their religious  
beliefs to their own individual preferences. What is becoming increasingly  
clear, however, is that this pattern is far from exclusive to liberals. 
Among  scholars studying the growth of Pentecostalism, a key focus of debate is 
the  extent to which the movement is a product of the development of 
modernity.  According to _Rijk  van Dijk_ 
(http://www.teol.ku.dk/cas/research/publications/occ._papers/vandikj2000.pdf/) 
, the popularity of Pentecostalism 
lies in its ability to help  individuals restructure their identity as they 
abandon former traditions and  social ties and leave their former lives behind. 
In this view, contemporary  Pentecostalism is the quintessential religion 
of mobility and progress. _David Martin_ 
(http://www.ashgate.com/isbn/9780754653226)  offers a  similar interpretation, 
arguing that Pentecostalism 
"enable[s] marginal people  to divest themselves of backward and dissolute 
stereotypes and leap over the  local national environment and embrace global 
modernity." In short,  Pentecostalism is understood as promoting individualism 
and the reinvention of  past traditions on the basis of individual needs. 
This emerging scholarly consensus on this movement is not unlike _Max  
Weber's interpretation of the rise of Calvinism_ 
(http://www.d.umn.edu/cla/faculty/jhamlin/1095/The%20Protestant%20Ethic%20and%20the%20Spirit%20of%20Capitali
sm.pdf) , which, with its "Protestant  Work Ethic," fueled the Industrial 
Revolution. Leaving _criticisms_ 
(http://www.themontrealreview.com/2009/The-protestant-ethic-and-the-spirit-of-capitalism.php)
   of Weber's thesis aside, 
if there is anything to the linkage that scholars are  identifying between 
Pentecostalism and global modernity, then the concerns about  the weaknesses 
of liberal Christianity have come full circle. For, according to  Weber's 
thesis, the prosperity enjoyed by the Protestant industrialists spurred  on 
the rationalism, individualism and secularism that have contributed to the  
decline of Christianity's cultural influence in the Global North. This is not 
to  suggest that Africa and Latin America are destined to experience the 
same  secularizing trends as the nations of the Global North; but it does 
raise the  possibility that these developments are gradually producing the same 
kind of  individual subjectivity among Christians, with all of its benefits 
and  limitations. 
Simply put, if the Christian churches that are currently experiencing  
significant growth are at the same time helping to spread modern individualism  
(as well as increasing social mobility and the undermining of local cultures 
and  traditions), then we have every reason to anticipate that the issues 
Douthat and  Hauerwas criticize in American churches will become increasingly 
prominent in  many churches in other parts of the globe - whether they are 
"liberal" or  "conservative." Like so-called "liberal Christians," 
Pentecostals are  increasingly learning to adapt Christianity to their own 
beliefs 
and needs. 
As it becomes clear that the fates of liberal and conservative 
Christianities  may not be as distinct as is commonly assumed, the time has 
arrived for 
a  re-evaluation of liberal Christianity. For conservatives, the task is to 
stop  interpreting the demise of liberal congregations as a victory for 
evangelical  Christianity, and to explore what might be learned from the fact 
that _liberal  Christianity's roots_ 
(http://history.berkeley.edu/sites/default/files/cloventongues.pdf)  lie in the 
attempt to adapt and respond to 
cultural  diversity and modern individualism. For liberals, the challenge 
involves far  more than finding the courage to address the significant decline 
in 
church  membership. Their task begins only after acknowledging that liberal 
Christianity  has a real problem transmitting itself to subsequent 
generations. As _Steve Bruce_ 
(http://trove.nla.gov.au/work/32819418?versionId=40084621)   has observed, 
liberal churches generally appeal more to disaffected  
conservatives than they do to people with no previous background in  
Christianity. This fact suggests that liberals need to give greater attention 
to  why 
the doctrines and traditions of Christianity should matter to someone not  
already familiar with them. 
These considerations suggest that, contrary to Mary Eberstadt's 
enthusiastic  declaration of victory for conservative churches, Christians of 
all 
persuasions  have good reason to distance themselves from the tendency to 
define 
churches by  the terms of the "culture wars." Enormous theological, 
ecclesiological and  missiological energy is being directed towards "winning" 
the 
battle over how to  interpret same-sex relationships; meanwhile, both liberal 
and conservative  churches are in sharp decline in the Global North. Both 
sides tend to explain  the failures of their opponent as resulting from their 
problematic attitude  towards homosexuality. 
It is now clear, however, that such diagnoses are well off the mark.  
Articulating the "correct" position on homosexuality will not turn the  tide of 
church decline. Should conservatives and liberals begin to admit this  
reality, perhaps then the ecumenical task of analysing the decline of  
Christianity in the Global North can finally truly begin. 
Christopher Craig Brittain is Senior Lecturer in Practical Theology in  the 
School of Divinity, History and Philosophy at the University of Aberdeen. 
He  is the author of _Religion  at Ground Zero: Theological Responses to 
Times of Crisis_ (http://www.bloomsbury.com/uk/religion-at-ground-zero
-9781441132390/) .
 
=====================================
 
Selected Comments
 
Among the missing ingredients to this insightful article are the  
socio-political factors underlying the constituencies of religious bodies. The  
article assumes that people identify with religious communities due to  
individual theological commitments... beliefs, to put it simply. But a 
different  
argument could be made, and has been made about the rise of Pentecostal and  
Charismatic movements in Latin America, and that is that people join churches  
because they provide alternative kinds of communities and collectivities 
due to  the cultural/symbolic/political resources they offer. Membership in a 
church  body may be related, in fact, to association rather than belief. 
Decline among  churches may in fact be related to the decline in the forms of 
cultural capital  that membership offers people who are on the market for a 
religious community  and experience. One of the things that strikes me about 
American society is how  much public culture and community has been wrapped 
up in the church community,  and I speculate that the continued importance 
of religion in American life is  related to the fact that there are still few 
other forms of community and public  culture (such as unions, neighborhood 
associations, political parties, etc.)  that individuals can turn to address 
their needs to be agents (in all its  complexity) within the 
socio-political environment.
 
-----
 
A pity that an attempt at such a global view misses out on some things.  
First, the main context of local church life is where and how ordinary  
people live, not the currents of major change. Drawing lines between mainstream 
 and diverse churches in various places of the world is taking the 
globalisation  thing way too far, maybe unhinged. 
Second, the best non-polemical data base  globally on what gives a church 
vitality is the 'National Church Life Survey' in  Australia, with cognates in 
UK and USA. Thirty years of re-tested questions  across many denominations. 
Barna et al can't go close to the detail..
Third,  even in a liberal denomination I observe that it is still the 
evangelical  churches (a spectrum of positions and not all 'conservative') that 
hold it up  both financially and in supply of new leadership. While the whole 
declines,  these ones still grow. 
Fourth, another error in the article is that it  originated in Azusa Street 
but actually a bit of history shows that it sprang up  in several places 
far removed simultaneously. Maybe pentecostalism is a move of  the Holy 
Spirit. Consider that the church has nearly always flopped around being  badly 
organised and culturally compromised, yet still the church lives and  grows. 
Maybe the ongoing existence of the church is an argument for the  existence of 
God - along the lines (again) of 'why is there something rather  than 
nothing'.
Fifthly, the decline in western young people attending is in  direct 
correlation to the change in sexual mores. At a university it is clear  that 
this 
is powerful motivation to decide not to believe, and it is almost  never 
discussed. Add the mixture the recent hypocrisy of the churches over  celibacy, 
gays, and sexual abuse of minors and no one has to look anywhere else  for 
a reason not to believe.
And then there is Jesus..
 
-----
 
"As Steve Bruce has observed, liberal churches generally appeal more to  
disaffected conservatives than they do to people with no previous background 
in  Christianity."

Yes, well, no surprises here at all. It is what Paul  called "apostasia" - 
the Great Revolt. Heresy is an error on doctrine whereas  apostasy is a 
falling away from sound doctrine and failing to persist in faith  in Christ. It 
is only Christians that can "fall away" into "apostasy" and  therefore no 
surprise that "conservative Christians" who become "liberal" change  churches. 
This is the retrograde progression toward error, lapsed faith and  
eventually rejection/repudiation of Christian faith altogether.  


"..... liberal Christianity has a real problem transmitting itself  to 
subsequent generations. "

Again, faith is something that is passed  from one generation to the next. 
Christian faith, which is inspired by the Holy  Spirit and comes with 
charismata and fruit, necessarily projects spiritual life  and vitality. A 
failure 
to adhere to sound orthodox doctrine will result in  error and ultimately a 
falling away from faith. Liberal Christianity is  inherently abortive - it 
is abortive because of its support for the culture of  death. Its demise is 
sealed by its own association with dead faith and faith  without good works. 
It is a faith that is based on intellectualism, hedonism,  syncretism, 
anomie, and secular humanism. 

Any decline being registered  by conservative denominations has more to do 
with presentation and cultural  relevance in terms of communication and use 
of media than it does theology.  There has been substantial church transfer 
in much of evangelicalism.  Pentecostalism continues to grow organically but 
also sees substantial amounts  of church transfer from the declining 
denominations who are experience renewal -  many of whom are liberals or 
"pagans". 

When examining the situation from  this angle, it becomes clearer as to 
what factors determine the success or  otherwise of a particular denomination. 
But it should also be noted that  Orthodoxy has always won out since the 
first century church. Departure from  orthodoxy means a departure from the 
faith.
 
-----
 
It is a mistake to attempt to separate religious faith from our  
surroundings. Whilst the criticisms against being dictated to by "cultural  
Christianity" is legitimate, it very easily becomes dualistic to try and divide 
 the 
spiritual from the material physical realm. We know that Jesus' ministry was  
to the whole person. We are integrated human beings -  
socio-pneuma-psycho-somatic beings made for relationship with God and one  
another. Whilst my 
relationship with God does not evolve around my needs nor is  the Bible a 
quote book in order that I can get what I want from God in a  "genie-like" 
fashion, it is also a mistake to divorce our economic and cultural  attachments 
from our spirituality. This is tantamount to a heresy based in  Platonic 
thought which views the spiritual realm as good and the physical realm  as 
evil. 
We know that Jesus' ministry on earth had profound impact on people's  
spiritual, social, economic, emotional well being. Indeed, Jesus' ministry is a 
 
ministry of "wholeness".

Secondly, it would be wiser to examine the data  coming from people like Dr 
Peter Wagner from Fuller Theological Seminary who is  the foremost scholar 
on growth movements in the church. He is considered the  intellectual heavy 
weight and a person of influence over neo-pentecostal  churches, most often 
referred to as NAR churches. Also, George Barna would also  provide better 
data and stats on church attendance and reasons for the decline  of the 
"sideline" (mainline) liberal churches. 

Lastly, the churches you  deem to have a lightweight theology are not 
necessarily "prosperity" churches.  Most of these churches teach that 
prosperity 
speaks to the whole person -  spirit, soul and body - not just financial and 
monetary status. The author of  this article demonstrates an immense level 
of ignorance of the theology of these  churches and what motivates them. 
Rather than seeing them as economic machines,  they are better viewed as 
concentrations of Spirit activity as occurred in the  book of Acts when t"he 
Spirit added to their number daily". From a theological  standpoint, authentic, 
genuine church growth occurs only as a result of Spirit  activity in a 
congregation.

-- 
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