National Post / Canada
 
 
 Worried Philippines invite back the Americans  they kicked out
 
_Matt  Gurney_ 
(http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/author/mattgurneynatpost/)  | 13/07/03 
 
Twenty one years after being told to pack up and go home, units of the  
American military may _soon be returning_ 
(http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/06/27/us-philippines-usa-idUSBRE95Q0C120130627)
  to the Philippines. 
For decades, the American complex of bases at Subic Bay, 50 miles north of  
Manila, was one of the largest bastions of U.S. military might anywhere 
outside  the United States. Occupied by Americans since the Spanish-American 
War saw the  islands conquered by the U.S. near the turn of the 20th century, 
the site was  developed after the Second World War into a bustling naval 
base (with a large  Air Force base nearby, as well). Subic Bay was a major part 
of the American  presence in the Pacific during the Cold War, with 
thousands of personnel  stationed there, along with tens of thousands of 
dependents. 
The base was a  regular stopping point for U.S. ships active in the 
strategically important  region. 
That all _ended in 1992_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/1991/12/28/world/philippines-orders-us-to-leave-strategic-navy-base-at-subic-bay.html?pagewanted=all&sr
c=pm) . The year before, the base and the nearby Air  Force installation 
had been badly damaged by a volcanic eruption, which occurred  right at the 
time the U.S. was negotiating with the Philippines government to  extend the 
U.S. use of the facility. The President of the Philippines supported  the 
treaty, and had agreed to it, but his senate shot it down. The base was a  
vestige of colonialism, the senators believed, and the Philippines would be  
better without foreign military forces stationed on its soil. The U.S. was  
ordered to withdraw from its facilities at Subic Bay by the next year. The U.S. 
 complied, and the Philippines converted the facility, with its docks and  
airfields, into a trading zone. 
 
Related
    *   _$277M  USS Guardian is a complete loss: Navy plans to dismantle 
ship that ran aground  in Pacific_ (h
ttp://news.nationalpost.com/2013/01/31/277m-uss-guardian-is-a-complete-loss-navy-plans-to-dismantle-ship-that-ran-agro
und-in-pacific/)  
    *   _China  withdraws one ship in standoff with Philippine vessels_ 
(http://news.nationalpost.com/2012/04/13/china-withdraws-one-ship-in-standoff-wi
th-philippine-vessels/) 

That was then. Flash forward to today: The trading zone hasn’t lived up to  
expectations, U.S. forces have been operating on Philippines soil for 11 
years  combating an Islamist insurgency and China is flexing its muscle in the 
region.  Last year, Philippine and Chinese vessels engaged in a standoff 
over fishing  rights at the Scarborough Shoals, which is claimed by both 
countries. After the  Philippines sent a frigate to inspect Chinese fishing 
vessels that Manila  believes were operating illegally inside its territory, 
the 
Chinese responded by  deploying several patrol ships and refusing to permit 
Philippine vessels access  to the shoal. This has put the shoal, barely 120 
miles from Subic Bay, under  effective Chinese rule. 
The government has been clear that it would certainly welcome any U.S.  
forces that may wish to use the facility
Who controls a tiny outcropping of rocks won’t determine the future of 
Asia.  But it is a sovereignty issue, and it does have Manila  worried. The 
Philippines has been working to improve their limited military  capabilities in 
recent years, and that has included a plan to partially convert  Subic Bay 
back into a military facility. The new military base there would be  capable 
of supporting warships and fighter jets. It would be a Philippine base,  
owned and operated by that country, but the government has been clear that it  
would certainly welcome any U.S. forces that may wish to use the facility. 
“We will share our bases with them and I am sure the U.S. would love them,”
 a  captain in the Philippine Navy told Reuters. 
He’s more right than he knows. The U.S. has been shifting more and more of  
its military might to the Pacific, part of President Obama’s “pivot” to 
face  China’s growing might. U.S. ships have been making of dozens of stops in 
the  Philippines in recent years, and access to a revitalized base at Subic 
Bay would  be a great boon to U.S. operations in the region. The politics 
also favours both  sides — since it would be a Philippine-owned facility, 
domestic nationalist  concerns would be allayed, and the U.S. would also avoid 
the political and  economic costs of establishing a new base on foreign 
soil. It would just drop in  for routine visits. Very routine. 
The Philippines hasn’t officially decided to go ahead with the 
redevelopment  of Subic Bay yet, but approval is expected soon. That means 
there are 
probably  some old salts still serving in the U.S.’s Pacific fleet units who 
will remember  Subic Bay well and may soon return there again. Given China’s 
rising clout and  influence in the region, though they may be officially 
guests this time, one  gets the feeling that the Americans will be there to  
stay.

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