Important forecast, but : Be wary of "if present trends  continue," they 
can always change
BR comment
 
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Study: 2.6 Billion of World Population Expected to Be Christian by 2020
_www.christianpost.com_ (http://www.christianpost.com) 


 
 
By _Jessica Martinez_ 
(http://www.christianpost.com/author/jessica-martinez/) , CP Contributor
July 19, 2013|2:56 pm
A new global Christianity report predicts that there  will be 2.6 billion 
Christians by 2020, with most of the growth expected in the  global South 
while Christianity continues to decline in the global  North. 
The study conducted by U.S.-based Center for the Study of Global 
Christianity  at Gordon Conwell Theological Seminary titled, _"Christianity In 
Its 
Global Context,  1970-2010"_ 
(http://wwwgordonconwell.com/netcommunity/CSGCResources/ChristianityinitsGlobalContext.pdf)
 , offers a timely overview of the 
changing  context of Christianity since 1970, while looking forward to 2020. 
The data in  the study also details the religious and social contexts of 
each of the 21  United Nations regions and the changes that will occur within 
them. 
Todd Johnson, director of the Center for the Study of Global Christianity,  
noted that while 2.6 billion is a daunting figure, there has been and will  
continue to be a decline in the number of Christians in North America and  
Europe.  "Secularization is strong here, but it's far more pervasive in  
Europe. People are now choosing for themselves instead of following a religion  
established by a state or a country," said Johnson to The Christian Post on 
 Thursday. 
According to the report, Christianity in Europe rose from 75 percent in 
1970  to 78.6 percent in 2010, mostly attributed to the collapse of communism 
in  Eastern Europe.  But the report shows that Christianity in Europe is  
expected to decline to 78.0 percent by 2020. 
"In Europe, modern science pushes religion and sees it as a myth or  
superstition," said Johnson, referring to the cause for agnosticism. "People  
think that church and state are too closely aligned so when people do have a  
choice, they're not interested in Christianity as a national religion," he  
added. 
In North America, Christianity is expected to decline from 91 percent in 
1970  to 76.9 percent in 2020.  This drastic decline can mostly be attributed 
to  Canada, where the Christian population fell from 94.5 percent of the 
population  in 1970 to 69.4 percent in 2010, and is expeced to drop to 66.0 
percent in 2020.  The United States, meanwhile, saw its Christian population 
drop from 90.9  percent in 1970 to 80.1 percent in 2012, and is projected to 
drop to 78.1  percent in 2020.   
Agnosticism is the second-largest tradition in every country in North  
America, and is projected in the United States to triple in 2020 compared to 
the 
 1970 percentages, and increase by a factor of seven in Canada during the 
same  time period.   
Despite a decline in religion in Europe and North America, out of the  
projected 2.6 billion Christians, 700 million Pentecostals and Charismatics are 
 
presumed to grow almost twice as fast as global Christianity as a whole, 
and  will account for nearly 27 percent of all Christians seven years from 
now. 
In Latin America, while Christians are expected to decline from 94.2 
percent  of the population in 1970 to 92.1 percent in 2020, overall Latin 
American 
 Christians are increasing as a percentage of the global Christian 
population.  But evangelicals are expected to increase from 3 percent of the 
population  in 1970 to 9 percent in 2020, while specifically Charismatics are 
expected to  grow from 4 percent to 31 percent. 
Johnson said studies support the fact that people really desire a personal  
encounter within their religion and attributes Pentecostals and 
Charismatics as  socially engaging which attracts even more people to join 
their 
movements.  Furthermore, he adds that non-western nations seek an explanation 
of 
the  supernatural such as the existence of satan and demons and they are able 
to  retain those beliefs with the Pentecostal tradition. 
Christianity is also expected to continue to grow quickly in Asia, rising  
from 4.5 percent in 1970 to 9.2 percent in 2020. Likewise, Christians in 
Africa  are expected to increase from 38.7 percent in 1970 to 49.3 percent in 
the 2020.  The study also found that Roman Catholics and Anglicans are a 
rapidly growing  group in the region and by the year 2000, the Anglican Church 
was larger in  Africa than in Europe, where it originated. 
Despite the growth of Christianity, Christians still have little 
interaction  with members of other world religions, the report noted. 
"There is a lack of personal contact between Christians, Hindus, Muslims 
and  Buddhists. Many reported that they don't know a Christian and it's a 
crisis to  be out of relationship with people," said Johnson. "From psychology, 
we learn  that when people don't know people, they are afraid of them and 
that's a problem  that Christians face today in the preaching of the  gospel."

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