Economist Pitches Plan to Reverse Decline of UMC Before It  'Ceases to 
Exist As We Know It'







 
By _Michael Gryboski_ 
(http://www.christianpost.com/author/michael-gryboski/) , Christian Post  
Reporter
July 31, 2013|3:15 pm
An economist volunteering at the South Central  Jurisdiction of the United 
Methodist Church has proposed a plan to help reverse  the membership and 
financial decline of the denomination.
Donald R. House, who holds a Ph.D. in economics and chairs the SCJ UMC's  
Episcopacy Committee, released the 34-page proposal last Thursday titled "A  
Strategic Plan for Growth in The United Methodist Church." In an interview 
with  The Christian Post, House explained that the plan derived from 
exhaustive  research on church growth. 
"I believe that the strategy will reverse the decline in the UMC in the 
U.S.  My belief comes from considerable examination of almost 750,000 
end-of-year  reports among 32,000 local churches," said House.  "I have 
considered  
pastoral leadership, demographic changes in neighborhoods surrounding local  
churches, and local church spending patterns in seeking to understand local  
church growth and decline. The strategy is based upon these 
considerations." 
House also told CP that at present the overall plan for the UMC has a 
couple  "pilot projects on-going to test the effectiveness of the strategy. 
Thus 
far,  the results are positive." 
"The strategy is portable – applicable to other mainline denominations.  
Local churches across the denominations share many things in common," said  
House. 
"The three major drivers of local church growth (pastoral leadership,  
demographics of neighboring populations, and spending patterns) are common  
across denominations. Thus, the strategy should work well for other  
denominations." 
Released last week, the "executive summary" of the report outlines the  
urgency of the situation regarding the decline of the UMC. 
"The United Methodist Church in the United States has been in decline since 
 the 1960s. In 2002, the rate of decline markedly increased and has 
persisted. If  this ten-year trend continues, the denomination will cease to 
exist 
as we know  it in 37 years," reads the summary in part.  "Today, there is no 
single  strategy in place seeking to arrest the decline. The Church has 
already  disassembled some of its infrastructure. To reverse the decline, an 
effective  strategy must be implemented." 
The strategy involves recruiting approximately 1,000 churches with at least 
 125 average attendance to raise and spend a combined total of about $120 
million  annually for growth strategies.  Enrollment of those churches would 
move  rapidly without going through an annual conference or General 
Conference  approval process due to the belief that the window of opportunity 
to 
reverse the  declining trend is relatively brief.  The roughly 1,000 
congregations would  enroll in what is called "The Benchmark Project," which 
would 
"foster, through  the local churches, strategic ministries to reach more 
people." 
"It is based upon Biblical principles of stewardship and evangelism. It is  
based upon the applications of entrepreneurial spirit and the financial  
principle of investment," reads the report regarding the Benchmark Project.  
"It seeks financial commitments from loyal members, entrepreneurial  
considerations for growth, strategic financial investments, and sustaining  
prayer 
that will enable local churches to experience increases in worship  
attendance, professions of faith, and ministries to the congregation and  
community." 
According to House, immediate investment in the Benchmark Project and  
implementation of the plan will likely reverse the trend of decline in the  
United States by 2021. 
Mark Tooley, president of the Institute on Religion and Democracy, told The 
 Christian Post that the plan had a good chance of working.  "It has 
promise  because it does not work through the liberal ineffective church 
bureaucracy but  more independently through local churches that might be prone 
to 
have an  evangelistic interest in growth," said Tooley. 
Tooley also said that he felt the success of the plan "depends on the  
churches and individuals most involved with it."  "If they are  institutional 
people focused on institutional preservation, then not much," said  Tooley.  
"If persons genuinely interested in winning the lost to Jesus  Christ through 
the Gospel with a Wesleyan perspective, then that bodes  well." 
John S. A. Lomperis, the IRD's United Methodist Director, said that he had  
reservations about the effort.  "On the one hand, it is good to hear  
discussion of the need to turn around our global denomination's 45 years of  
non-stop U.S. decline and about the need to make disciples," said Lomperis. 
"But on the other hand, over the last several years there seems to have 
been  one project after another that gets a lot of buzz for potentially turning 
our  denomination around by focusing on structural, financial, and/or 
marketing  schemes while mostly avoiding the spiritual and theological issues 
that are at  the heart of our problem." 
Lomperis also told CP that if "House can surmount the trust barriers, he  
could probably find quite a number of eager-to-grow congregations to sign up 
for  his plan." 
"But even if he wins over a congregation's pastor and a few key leaders, 
they  may in turn may struggle to get the rest of the membership on board,  
particularly if there is any perceived threat to some of that community's  
'sacred cows'," said Lomperis. 
According to statistics released last year by the UMC regional conferences, 
 in 2011 the mainline denomination lost 72,000 members, with 18 conferences 
 reporting membership losses of 2 percent or  more.

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