The Federalist
 
How To Shrink Your Church In One Easy Step
Every major American church that has taken steps  towards liberalization on 
sexual issues has seen a steep decline in  membership.
By _Alexander  Griswold_ 
(http://thefederalist.com/author/alexander-griswold/) 

 
 
August 21, 2014
 
 
 
 
By now, we’ve all heard the refrain that U.S. churches need liberalize 
their  teachings on sexuality and homosexuality or rapidly decline. The logic 
behind  the argument is simple: more and more Americans are embracing 
homosexuality and  same-sex marriage, including growing numbers of religious 
Millennials. So long  as churches remain the face of opposition to gay 
marriage, 
those churches will  shrink into irrelevancy when gay marriage (inevitably, we 
are told) becomes a  settled political issue.
 
These arguments often see church acceptance of homosexuality as a carrot as 
 well as a stick. It isn’t so much that denouncing homosexuality will drive 
 people away from church, but that embracing it will also lead people into  
church. LGBT individuals and their supporters, many of whom hold a dim view 
of  religion after a decades-long culture war, will reconsider church if  
denominations remove their restrictions on gay marriage and  ordination.

 
 
But a number of Christian denominations have already taken significant 
steps  towards liberalizing their stances on homosexuality and marriage, and 
the 
 evidence so far seems to indicate that affirming homosexuality is hardly a 
cure  for membership woes. On the contrary, every major American church 
that has taken  steps towards liberalization of sexual issues has seen a steep 
decline in  membership.
 
The Episcopal Church
In 2003, Gene Robinson became the first openly gay, noncelibate man to be  
consecrated as a bishop of the Episcopal Church. In the wake of his  
consecration, entire dioceses severed ties with the Episcopal Church, 
eventually  
creating the Anglican Church of North America (ACNA). But the Episcopal 
Church  continued to liberalize its sexual teachings, lifting a moratorium on 
any 
more  gay bishops in 2006 and creating a “blessing ceremony” for gay 
couples in  2009.
 
In 2002, the number of baptized U.S. members of the Episcopal Church stood 
at  2.32 million. By 2012, that number had fallen to 1.89 million, a decline 
of 18.4  percent. Meanwhile, attendance has fallen even more steeply. 
Average Sunday  attendance in its U.S. churches was 846,000 in 2002, but had 
fallen 24.4 percent  by 2012 to only 640,000. Other signs of congregational 
liveliness have fallen  even further. Baptisms have fallen by 39.6 percent, and 
marriages have fallen by  44.9 percent.
 
As for the ACNA? It’s seen its membership rise by 13 percent and its Sunday 
 attendance rise by 16 percent in the past five years. Since 2009, the ACNA 
has  planted 488 new congregations. In 2012, the entire Episcopal Church 
managed to  plant _four  new churches_ 
(http://juicyecumenism.com/2014/07/14/do-episcopalians-have-a-church-planting-problem/)
 .
 
The Evangelical Lutheran Church of America
The Evangelical Lutheran Church of America (ELCA) was formed in 1987, when  
three Lutheran denominations merged to create the largest Lutheran church 
in  America. For most of its history, gay men and women were permitted to be  
pastors, so long as they remained celibate. But in a narrow vote at its 
2009  Churchwide Assembly, ordination was extended to gay men and women in “
committed  monogamous relationships.” In addition, the Assembly passed an 
amendment  allowing churches “to recognize, support and hold publicly 
accountable 
 life-long, monogamous, same-gender relationships.”
 
>From ELCA’s formation in 1987 to 2009, the average decrease in membership  
each year was only 0.62 percent. But after the liberalization of the ELCA’s  
stance on sexuality, _membership  declined_ 
(https://web.archive.org/web/20130603112004/http:/www.elca.org/Who-We-Are/Our-Three-Expressions/Churchwide-O
rganization/Communication-Services/News/Resources/Stats.aspx)  a whopping 
5.95 percent in 2010 and 4.98 percent in 2011. Since  2009, _more  than 600 
congregations_ 
(http://download.elca.org/ELCA%20Resource%20Repository/02c_Report_of_the_Secretary_20130806e.pdf)
  abandoned the denomination, with almost 
two-thirds  joining conservative Lutheran denominations like the North 
American Lutheran  Church and Lutheran Churches in Ministry for Christ.
 
By the end of 2012, ELCA had lost 12.3 percent of its members in three  
years—nearly 600,000 people. If the present rate of defections holds steady,  
ELCA will cease to exist in less than two decades.
 
The United Church of Christ 
The United Church of Christ (UCC) has long had a reputation for unfettered  
liberalism, sometimes bordering on the radical. In 2008, for example, the 
pastor  of the largest UCC congregations in the country was one Rev. Jeremiah 
Wright.  The UCC’s tendency for _pushing traditional  boundaries_ 
(http://www.ucc.org/about-us/old-firsts.html)  has led to unquestionably 
positive 
developments (such as the  first African-American pastor as early as 1785) and 
the unquestionably silly  (such as the first hymnal that refuses to call 
Jesus male). Needless to say, in  2005 UCC became the first U.S. mainline 
Protestant denomination to support  same-sex marriage, and has been an 
outspoken 
voice in the gay marriage debate  ever since.
 
While UCC has been bleeding members for decades, its decline _rapidly  
accelerated_ (http://uccfiles.com/pdf/Summary-Stats-1955-2013.pdf)  after the 
gay marriage vote. Since 2005, UCC has lost 250,000  members, a decline of 
20.4 percent over seven years. While an average of 39  congregations left UCC 
annually from 1990 to 2004, more than 350 congregations  departed in the 
following three years. _The  UCC’s own pension board_ 
(https://ext.pbucc.org/images/pbucc/publications/AnnualReports/AnnualReport2011.pdf)
  called the 2000’
s decline “the worst decade among 25  reporting Protestant denominations,” 
and admitted that “…the rate of decline is  accelerating.”
 
2013 marked a particularly grim milestone for the denomination, as 
membership  finally fell below one million. If the post-2005 rate in membership 
losses  doesn’t taper out, the denomination will cease to exist in 30 years.
 
The Presbyterian Church U.S.A.
The Presbyterian Church U.S.A. (PCUSA) was flirting with loosening its 
sexual  standards as early as its 2006 General Assembly, when it voted to allow 
 
ordination boards to _essentially  overlook_ 
(http://www.patheos.com/blogs/markdroberts/series/the-end-of-the-presbyterian-church-u-s-a/)
  clergy 
marriage standards if a candidate “adhere[s] to the  essentials of the Reformed 
faith.” By 2010, the General Assembly had passed an  amendment to remove all 
clerical standards of sexual behavior entirely. This  year’s General 
Assembly voted overwhelmingly to change their Book of Order to redefine 
marriage as 
a civil contract between “two people” and to allow  ministers to perform 
same-sex marriages where legal.
 
Hopefully by now, you can see where this is all headed. In 2006, 2.2 
million  people were members of PCUSA, a number that _dropped  22.4 percent_ 
(http://www.pcusa.org/site_media/media/uploads/research/pdfs/2012-cs-table1.pdf)
  
to 1.85 million by _2013_ 
(https://www.presbyterianmission.org/ministries/research/10faq/) .  PCUSA’s 
decline accelerated significantly after approving 
the ordination of  non-celibate gay and lesbian clergy in mid-2011, which 
led to the creation of an  alternative denomination in 2012 called ECO: A 
Covenant Order of Evangelical  Presbyterians. Over 100,000 members left the 
PCUSA in 2012 alone.
 
Once again, if post-2006 trends continue, the denomination will cease to  
exist by 2037.
 
Meanwhile, in Orthodox Churches…
The familiar answer from liberal mainline Christians is to protest that  
church attendance and religiosity is on the decline across-the-board, not just 
 in denominations that embrace homosexuality. But this excuse fails to 
account  for conservative denominations like the Assemblies of God, which has 
been _consistently  and rapidly growing_ 
(http://agchurches.org/Sitefiles/Default/RSS/AG.org%20TOP/AG%20Statistical%20Reports/2014/Adhs%20Ann%202013.pdf)
  
for more than 40 years. Despite much of the  hand-wringing over the 
Catholic Church’s highly visible public advocacy against  gay marriage, it has 
been 
_consistently  growing_ 
(http://cara.georgetown.edu/caraservices/requestedchurchstats.html)  in the 
United States. Lord knows _the  Mormons_ 
(http://www.deseretnews.com/article/765572841/Religion-census-reveals-substantial-LDS-g
rowth.html?pg=all)  haven’t had any trouble growing. Even theologically 
conservative  denominations that are declining, such as the Southern Baptist  
Convention, began declining much later and much less drastically than other  
denominations. The Southern Baptist Convention has only declined by 3 
percent  since its peak in 2007—an average of less than 1 percent annually—and 
has  actually been adding congregations.
 
In the end, Christian supporters of gay marriage will likely view its 
effects  on church membership as a side issue. Christians have a responsibility 
to grow  their churches, but also a responsibility to promote what they 
believe is just  in God’s eyes. But for some strange reason, it seems like 
conservative  Christians never have to sacrifice one responsibility to fulfill 
the 
 other.

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