W Post
 
The Insiders: Third-party candidates could be spoilers

 
By Ed Rogers 
September 29, 2014
 
 
We are a little more than one month out from the 2014 midterm elections.  
There is an influx of new polling right now, and pundits are rampantly  
speculating about every possible path for Republicans to take back the  Senate. 
But an underreported issue could be a sleeper hand grenade that  ignites 
Election Night and blasts Republicans in several states: While almost  nobody 
was looking, a group of third-party candidates have sprung up on the  ballot 
like a bunch of poisonous mushrooms. _Third-party Senate candidates_ 
(http://time.com/3060392/third-party-candidates-could-disrupt-2014-midterms/)  
in 
crucial states like Iowa,  North Carolina, Georgia, Kentucky, Montana, 
Virginia and Alaska aren’t going to  win, but they could very well make the 
difference in these elections. And each  of these candidates –- most of whom 
are 
self-described Libertarians — has the  potential to help the Democrats more 
than the Republicans. 
Of course, _Kansas is another state_ 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/greg-orman-a-political-enigma-faces-growing-scrutiny-in-kansas-senate-race/
2014/09/28/401d5c5c-4587-11e4-b437-1a7368204804_story.html?wpisrc=nl_politic
s&wpmm=1)  where the third-party candidate poses  a challenge for the 
Republicans.  The difference in Kansas is that, now the  Democratic candidate 
has 
dropped out of the race altogether, the so-called  independent candidate 
may actually win. And a third-party Senate candidate in  Louisiana could hand 
Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) a second chance, since there will be  a runoff 
election if no candidate receives a majority of the votes on Election  Day. 
Third-party candidates may also affect _gubernatorial races_ 
(http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/2014-races-where-third-party-and-independen
t-candidates-could-impact-the-outcome-2/)  in Maine, Hawaii and South 
Carolina – but  that’s a topic for another day. 
Anyway, it is worth watching these third-party candidates and the impact 
they  will have on the 2014 elections. In the lead-up to November, keep an eye 
out for  Democrats to try and hide their role in helping these candidates 
diminish the  Republican margin. The records aren’t crystal-clear, but in the 
past, the  Democrats have not been shy about giving to these marginal 
candidates in order  to keep votes from the Republicans.  We saw it happen in 
the 
last  gubernatorial election in Virginia, where Libertarian candidate 
Robert Sarvis _received a large contribution_ 
(http://www.theblaze.com/stories/2013/11/05/revealed-obama-campaign-bundler-helping-fund-libertarian-in-tight-va
-gubernatorial-race/)  from a major Democratic donor  and Obama campaign 
bundler – and took almost 7 percent of the vote in a race  Terry McAuliffe (D) 
_won by only 2.5 percent_ 
(http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2013/governor/va/virginia_governor_cuccinelli_vs_mcauliffe_vs_sarvis-4111.html)
 . 
This time, Sarvis is running as a  Senate candidate, but his campaign could 
have a similar effect. 
Republicans need to be prepared for these third-party candidates to get a  
boost in coming weeks, as Democrats try to diminish the votes for GOP 
candidates  and retain control of the Senate for the final two years of 
President 
Obama’s  term. The fact is, Republicans need to outperform in order to clear 
the extra  hurdle these third-party candidates represent. The next 36 days 
won’t be  easy.

-- 
-- 
Centroids: The Center of the Radical Centrist Community 
<[email protected]>
Google Group: http://groups.google.com/group/RadicalCentrism
Radical Centrism website and blog: http://RadicalCentrism.org

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