Hot Air
 
 
A generation of Democrats lost in the Obama era
 
posted at 3:31 pm on November 9, 2014 by Noah Rothman


 
 
The scale of the Democratic Party’s losses over the course of the Barack  
Obama era is becoming clear, and they are vast. On Saturday, Politico 
reported that Democrats are coming to the grim realization that much of the  
party’
s talent pool was crushed on Tuesday.  
In Maryland, the state’s lieutenant governor, an Iraq War veteran and 
Harvard  alumnus, failed to win the state’s governor’s mansion despite Barack 
Obama  personally campaigning for him. In Georgia and Kentucky, New Southern 
Democrats  Michelle Nunn and Alison Lundergan Grimes were defeated by a 
political newcomer  and Republican incumbent respectively. In Texas, Wendy 
Davis, 
hailed in the  press as the women who might finally turn Texas blue, had 
precisely the opposite  effect on her state. The state Senate seat she once 
held will be occupied in  January by a pro-life, tea party-friendly Republican 
woman.  
“Any of them could have landed on a vice presidential short list in 2016,” 
_Politico lamented_ (http://t.co/fW0Od6DjvG) . “Instead, all of  them lost.”
 
Joining them were numerous down-ballot Democrats widely viewed as future  
contenders for high office: attorney general candidates in Nevada and Arizona 
 who looked like future governors; aspiring state treasurers in Ohio and  
Colorado who could have gone on to bigger things; prized secretary of state  
candidates in Iowa and Kansas as well as countless congressional hopefuls  
around the country. 
In two consecutive midterms, Republicans have decimated the Democratic  
Party’s bench of talent, not just on the federal or statewide level but farther 
 down the ballot as well. The GOP now controls 69 of the nation’s 99 
legislative  chambers, a dramatic reversal, _according to  Washington Examiner 
columnist David Freddoso_ 
(https://twitter.com/freddoso/status/531211802881708032) , from 2008 when 
Barack Obama’s  party controlled 62 legislative 
chambers. The GOP now has the total command of  state government – both 
chambers of 
the legislature and the governor’s mansions  – in 23 states, while 
Democrats command the levers of government in just seven  states. In addition 
to 
the Republican Party’s 31 governorships, the GOP enjoys  the allegiance of_  
32 lieutenant governors offices and 29 crucial secretaries of state_ 
(http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/6/gop-touts-historic-numbers-of-republi
can-controlle/) . 
The Democratic Party’s farm team outside of the coasts and some enclaves in 
 the Deep South and the Upper Midwest has been all but wiped out. The 
party, _as  The Washington Post’s Dan Balz observed in a must-read column_ 
(http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/two-midterm-elections-have-hollowed-out-the
-democratic-party/2014/11/08/0366c60a-66c9-11e4-9fdc-d43b053ecb4d_story.html
) , is  at risk of being seen as a rapidly aging one.  
“Think of it this way,” he wrote. “If Clinton were to win the presidency 
and  serve two terms, the next opportunity for a new generation of Democrats 
to  compete nationally would not come until 2024.”  
“The Democrats could go 16 years between competitive presidential 
nomination  contests, wiping out opportunities for today’s younger generation 
to 
define or  redefine the party apart from either the Obama or Clinton eras,” 
Balz 
continued.  
_According  to national exit polling_ 
(http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/11/04/us/politics/2014-exit-polls.html)
 , Republicans improved with the 
voters aged 18-29  who turned out by 2 points over the party’s 2010 
standing. The GOP only lost  young voters to Democrats by an atypically close 
single-digit margin. Moreover,  the GOP continues to elevate a younger 
generation 
of leaders to high office,  including the youngest woman to serve in the 
House in history, 30-year-old  Representative-elect Elise Stefanik (R-NY) who 
had the added privilege of  turning her Empire State district from blue to 
red. She will replace Rep. Aaron  Schock (R-IL) who, at 33-years-old, will 
soon only be the second youngest House  member.  
The Democratic officeholders who survived the routings of 2010 and 2014 are 
 primarily entrenched incumbents and are invariably of an older set. The  
Democratic Party is rapidly becoming a political organization that, as 
liberals  once said of the GOP, does not look like the constituents it seeks to 
represent.  
Balz further notes that the last competitive Democratic presidential 
primary,  an energizing spectacle which Democrats are unlikely to have in 2016, 
featured a  number of names that have long ago shuffled off the national 
stage.  
The last competitive nomination campaign, in 2008, included — in addition  
to Obama and Clinton — an experienced field: then-senators Joe Biden,  
Christopher Dodd and John Edwards, and then-governor Bill Richardson. Clinton  
has been on the national stage for two decades. Biden, who might run if  
Clinton does not, was elected to the Senate four decades ago. Dodd and  
Richardson are out of office. Edwards is in disgrace. With the obvious  
exceptions, 
that field has disappeared.
And who might challenge Clinton in 2016? Maryland’s Gov. Martin O’Malley 
has  been repudiated by his deep blue state’s voters. California Gov. Jerry 
Brown,  76, won his first statewide office during the Nixon administration. 
Andrew  Cuomo, who Balz dismisses as unable to remove himself from Clinton’s 
shadow, is  despised by his party’s left-wing. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) is 
a  septuagenarian socialist.  
By contrast, the GOP has a slate of young, energetic federal and statewide  
office holders and a number of two-term governors now who have consistently 
 demonstrated their ability to withstand Democratic attacks. One which 
should  send shivers down the left’s collective spines is Ohio’s John Kasich. 
The  Buckeye State’s governor won his reelection by the second-largest margin 
in its  history, but his state’s voters have also seen fit to give the GOP 
near total  command of the state under Kasich’s watch.  
Ohio is an interesting case study of the fortunes of the two parties. It  
has been ground zero in presidential campaigns for years. Obama won it twice —
  but at the state level, Republicans are firmly in control. GOP candidates 
have  won all the statewide elected offices there in five of the past six  
elections.
The party maintains a strong bench of talent on the coasts and in America’s 
 urban centers, but Democratic strategists are right to fret that those 
future  recruits may not have the crossover appeal in purple states that 
center-left  candidates otherwise would.  
When Barack Obama took office, he was hailed as a liberal savior. His  
presidency, it was believed, would usher in a new era of progressive dominance  
not seen since Roosevelt. Instead, Republicans have been restored to a 
position  of power across the country they had not known since Al Smith lost 40 
states to  Herbert Hoover. Far from revitalizing it, Obama has erased 
generations of the  Democratic Party’s progress. 

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