New Republic
published at Real Clear Politics
February 3, 2015
 
Is Christianity doomed in the Middle East  ?
 
 
By _Gerard Russell_ (http://www.newrepublic.com/authors/gerard-russell)  

The stark cliffs of the Zagros Mountains on the Iran-Iraq  border, and the 
dusty hills and plains that lie between those mountains and  the city of 
Mosul, might seem an unlikely location for paradise. Yet Christians  living 
here in past centuries believed that a local river called the Great Zab  had 
once flowed from Adam and Eve’s garden. Patriarchs of the Christian Assyrian  
Church of the East living on its banks once signed off their letters with 
the  salutation, “From my cell by the river of Eden”.

 
 
These days the Patriarch’s letters are sent from a less romantic spot: 7201 
 North Ashland Boulevard, Chicago. Successive waves of persecution have 
driven  out the leaders of this ancient, prestigious and little-known church—
including Mar Dinkha IV, the present and 120th Patriarch of  Babylon, who was 
consecrated in Ealing, west London, and is based in the United  States. As 
for the Great Zab, this summer it ended up as the de facto border  between 
Kurdish forces on its southern side and the so-called Islamic State (IS)  to 
its north. From being the garden of Adam and Eve, Iraq has become the land of 
 Cain and Abel. Yet even its melancholy recent history can remind us that 
the  religious conflict that scars the modern Middle East is far from 
inevitable. 
In 1987, Christians in Iraq numbered 1.4 million. Since then, the country’s 
 population has doubled but its Christian community has declined to 
400,000. Many  of these people are now internally displaced because of IS, a 
Sunni 
Muslim  militant movement that drove them from their homes in August 2014 in 
its effort  to establish an Islamic “caliphate”. The former Christian 
inhabitants  of Mosul and the surrounding towns are now refugees in the 
semi-autonomous  Kurdistan Region nearby, protected from the summer heat and 
winter 
snow  only by UN-provided tents erected in local churchyards.
 
“We were given just a few hours to leave Mosul,” one of the refugees told 
me  last summer in the sun-scorched streets of Erbil,
capital of the Kurdistan  Region. “We fled to Qaraqosh [a Christian town 
just east of Mosul] and then  Islamic State came there, too, and we had to 
flee Qaraqosh.” 
He was one of a group of men sitting by the road under the shade of a wall; 
 this was how they spent their days, because the tents in which they slept  
provided barely enough room at night and were left during the day to the 
women  and children. Unable to afford cigarettes, the men passed the time 
chatting and  then at mealtimes headed to the church-organised canteen that 
handed out free  food. Not that there was much help on offer for them, the 
refugee said. Nobody  cared about them and any aid that was supposed to reach 
them was being siphoned  off. “Nothing like this,” he said dolefully, “has 
ever happened  before.”
 
Except, it has. The Christians of Iraq have endured worse and survived. 
Their  community in Baghdad was battered in the Mongol invasions of the 13th 
century  and destroyed by the central Asian warlord Tamerlane in 1402: he gave 
 orders that the only things that should be left standing in Baghdad were  
hospitals and mosques. 
Those who survived Tamerlane fled north into the Zagros Mountains,  joining 
others who lived in a band of territory along the northern edge of  Iraq 
and Syria and the southern edge of Turkey. There, in 1915-16, they were  
caught up in the massacres inflicted by the Ottoman authorities on the  
Armenians. An estimated 250,000 Syrian and Iraqi Christians were slaughtered, 
or  
starved, or died of exposure during forced marches. Others fled to Iran, from  
where they were in turn displaced to Iraq. Their abandoned homes can still 
be  seen in the now-tranquil towns of southern Turkey. 
Unlike with either of these historical horrors, Islamic State’s ability—
though not its ambition—to spread  murder and oppression among Iraq’s 
Christians has proved limited. Since its  initial successes, IS has been unable 
to 
make further inroads into Kurdistan, or  fulfil its vainglorious boast that 
it would capture Baghdad. Muslims, not  Christians, have borne the brunt of 
its brutality. Nonetheless it may manage to  achieve what Tamerlane and the 
Ottomans did not: the final extinction of the  Christian community in Iraq.
 
Deprived of their ancient heartland in and around Mosul, Iraq’s Christians  
are now divided between Baghdad and Kurdistan. Baghdad houses roughly 
100,000 of  them; but the very government of Iraq is run by religious partisans 
from the  Shia Muslim sect. A Yazidi activist who tried urging Iraqi 
parliamentarians in  Baghdad to save his people (the Yazidis, who preserve 
ancient 
pre-Islamic  traditions, are even more vulnerable than the Christians) told 
me that the  lawmakers’ response was that his people could save themselves 
best by converting  to Islam. 
The Kurdistan authorities are keener to keep their Christian residents, and 
 apparently their leader, President Masoud Barzani, has discussed a 
proposal to  build new Christian towns within the region’s borders to 
accommodate 
the  refugees from Mosul. But Kurdistan cannot provide work for all the 
refugees, and  because of its oil economy and the high demand for housing 
locally, the cost of  living there is much higher than in Mosul. For “90 
percent” 
of the Christian  refugees, as more than one of them told me, there is no 
solution except  emigration from the Middle East. 
Who are these Christians of Iraq and where did they come from? And how have 
 they come to be on the verge of disappearance from their own  homeland?
 
 
The Church of the East—which is now split between those  who follow Mar 
Dinkha IV, and others who accept the Pope in Rome as their  ultimate spiritual 
leader—was originally the community of  Christians who lived in the Persian 
empire. Most of them were related to the  people of Syria and they spoke a 
version of Aramaic, which they wrote with  Syriac characters. Their form of 
Christianity evolved in ways that marked them  out from their western 
counterparts. 
When looking to expand and spread their beliefs, they looked not west 
towards  Europe, but east, towards India and China. They were the first to 
introduce  Christianity to the Chinese and the Mongols and to this day the 
Mongolians use  an alphabet based on Syriac characters. Genghis Khan’s 
daughters-in-law were  Christian and eventually the Church of the East had a 
Mongolian 
patriarch. A  network of monasteries and churches spread eastwards from 
Baghdad to Beijing,  encompassing a bishopric of Tibet and another in Kashgar, 
a 
Silk Route city in  western China. 
Much of this happened while the patriarch of the Church of the East was  
living under Muslim rule, following the Arab conquests of the 630s AD. Along  
with followers of other pre-Islamic religions, Baghdadi Christians were used 
by  the Muslim Arabs as decipherers of Greek science and occasionally as 
ministers  and advisers. The patriarch was permitted to debate theology with 
the Muslim  caliph.
 
And yet, subsequently, the fortunes of Christians in the Middle East  
declined. Perhaps it was inevitable, as their numbers dwindled and their power  
waned, that they would be exploited by rapacious governments. This was  
exacerbated by conflicts between Christian and Muslim states, including the  
Crusades. However, it also coincided with the collapse of the Arab caliphate 
and 
 the rise of others—such as Turks and Mongols—who had the zeal of new 
converts, saw religion as the binding  force that legitimised their own rule 
and 
were not attracted by the rationalist  tendencies that had once been 
popular in Baghdad. In an Arab world ravaged by  conflict and ruled by 
outsiders, 
few intellectuals remained who could resist  populist dogmatic conservatism. 
A similar change has happened in the Arab world in the past half-century. 
In  the 19th century, as the Ottoman empire decayed, resurgent nationalism 
went hand  in hand with religious emancipation. The rulers of Egypt, for 
example, wanted to  promote an Egyptian identity in which Christians, Muslims 
and 
Jews could all  participate. Between 1860 and 1930 Egypt had three 
Christian prime ministers. To  be sure, the ruler was always a Muslim, because 
Egypt 
was a monarchy; but let’s  remember that Britain to this day has never had 
a Catholic prime minister and  that Spain only revoked the 1492 expulsion of 
its Jews in 1968. So, parts of the  mostly Muslim Middle East were heading 
towards religious equality faster than  Europe.
 
As nationalism spread across the Arab world, other Christians took  
prominent positions. One, Michel Aflaq, was a founder of the Ba’ath Party,  
which 
ruled Iraq and still rules part of Syria. Christians led two Palestinian  
nationalist movements and some played a part in the Kurdish national movement.  
Others were leading communists, attracted by an ideology that also offered  
equality to religious minorities. Even as late as 2003 Iraq still had a  
Christian, Tariq Aziz, as its deputy prime minister. (He is in prison, 
enduring  desperate conditions.) This is not, by the way, an endorsement of any 
of  
those entities, which could be ruthless to those who opposed them. But they 
 were at least movements that were open to any who wanted to join them. 
In the Middle East over the past few decades, by contrast, the most popular 
 movements have been religious. Islamic zealots came to power in Iran’s  
revolution in 1979, the postwar Iraqi elections of 2005 and Egypt’s 
presidential  elections in 2012. Religious observance has risen, too. In the 
1950s 
attendance  at the yearly Ashura procession in Karbala, Iraq, was so thin that 
a senior  cleric felt the need to launch a movement to rekindle religious 
sentiment.  In 2014, two million people attended the festival. Meanwhile, the 
clerics’  political movement, called the Islamic Dawa Party, has taken over 
the government  of Iraq.
 
 
 
Why the religious revival? In my years in the Arab world working as a  
diplomat, I often debated this question with Arab friends, almost all of them  
believing Muslims, who nonetheless felt alienated by the rise of 
fundamentalist  Islam. Is it caused by poverty, or the lack of democracy, or 
the failure 
of the  rule of law? No: the revival has happened also among Muslims in the 
west, and in  relatively democratic and prosperous countries such as 
Turkey, as well as  autocratic ones. (Indeed, some of the poorest of Muslims—in 
remote parts of Afghanistan, for instance—are among the least radical.) 
Is it because of colonial injustices, sometimes described as “Muslim  
grievances”? To some extent: yet these grievances were once seen as ethnic, or  
class-related, rather than religious; and often the victims of these colonial 
 injustices, most obviously in Palestine, included Christians as well as 
Muslims.  Is it because the conflict between Shias and Sunnis has heightened 
people’s  sense of their religious identity? Yes, but that only raises a 
further question  of why the conflict happened along religious lines in the 
first place.
 
 
The more fundamental reasons are fivefold. First, money: formerly provided 
to  left-wing movements by the Soviet Union, now plentifully available from 
Iran for  Shia revolutionaries and from the Arab Gulf for those who are most 
hostile to  Iran, many of them Sunni Islamists. Second, the defeat of 
nationalist  governments by Israel in the 1967 war and the subsequent failure 
of 
secular  authorities and movements to capture the public imagination and 
loyalty. In  Egypt, according to recent Gallup polling, religious authorities 
(Christian or  Muslim) command the respect of 92 percent of the population, 
far ahead of any  other institution. Third, the connivance of western 
governments—and Israel, in fact—in the rise  of Islamist movements in the 
1970s, 
when they were seen as a safe  alternative to nationalists and communists. 
Fourth, the weakness of the  education system in many Arab states, whose heavy 
focus on rote learning  reinforces dogmatic literalism, and which often 
does little to educate students  about cultures and religions other than Islam. 
The last reason is perhaps even more significant. The Lebanese writer Amin  
Maalouf has written about what he calls the “intense religiosity of the 
urban  migrant”, who sees religion as a way to protect himself and his family 
from the  temptations of urban life. The rise in religiosity in the Muslim 
world has  coincided with mass migration to the cities. It has also coincided 
with  globalisation, which has undermined indigenous Arab cultures, leaving 
religion  as the sole clear criterion of identity and the focus of national 
pride. Perhaps  we should not be surprised to discover how many of IS’s 
supporters had  previously appeared to be thoroughly westernised: this is 
perhaps the very  reason they feel such a passionate need to recapture their 
sense 
of being  separate and different. 
Although the rise of religious exclusionism and violence is a large part of 
 the reason for Christian migration, it also happens for more ordinary 
reasons:  economics, for example. The precipitate shrinkage of the Iraqi 
Christian  community after 1987 did not begin with the 2003 war, nor with the 
rise 
to  power of Islamist parties in 2005, nor even the 2014 massacres. It began 
instead  with the sanctions imposed on Iraq after Saddam Hussein’s 1990 
invasion of  Kuwait, which prompted middle-class Christians to seek refuge in 
the US, where  many had relatives, following previous waves of persecution. 
There are still more than ten million non-Muslims in the Arab world, the  
great majority of whom are Christians. And even if almost all of them leave  
within the next half-century, they will survive in exile, at least for a few 
 generations, though transplanted to western countries devoid of any of 
their  ancient shrines and monasteries. Hundreds of thousands of Iraqi 
Christians now  live in the sprawling suburbs of metropolitan Detroit in the 
US. 
They have tried  hard to hold on to their heritage—largely marrying among  
themselves, and even maintaining their Aramaic language among their children 
and 
 grandchildren. 
The Middle East is greatly poorer for their absence. After the failure of  
their attempt to hold violently on to power in Lebanon, the Christians have  
become an increasingly neutral group politically. Their presence is often a 
 liberalising factor, because, as a people exempt from Islamic law, they 
are a  reason why states cannot seek to impose sharia on all their citizens (a 
reason,  of course, why they are targeted by extremists). Without the 
Christians, the  region will be even less liberal and more monochrome, and will 
risk becoming  more isolated. 
The Middle East would also lose a part of the heritage and history that all 
 its people, Muslim or Christian, have in common. For the Christian 
communities  have preserved parts of their nations’ heritage: Aramaic in Iraq, 
pharaonic  hymns in Egypt. Their diversity (there are innumerable sects) 
reflects the  region’s history, each sect tracing its origin to the political 
developments of  one era or another. The schools that Christians run in the 
Middle East, open to  Muslims, have educated generations of Arabs. 
There is one further and wider point that the survival of Christians and  
other non-Muslim minorities makes. By their continuity and sheer existence in 
 the Middle East, these communities remind us that the Islamic world has 
not  always been the bloody tragedy that it is today. It has seen much 
violence over  the centuries, true; but it has also been strengthened by its  
own 
diversity, and coexistence between the various religions. It was  at its best 
and most flourishing when it treated diversity as a strength and not  a 
weakness. We all lose if that lesson is  forgotten.

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