[ What happens when an incompetent is elected and re-elected ]
 
It’s Obama who lost Iraq: To ask the right  hypothetical questions, it's 
imperative to understand that fact
NEW YORK DAILY NEWS
Thursday, May 21, 2015,  8:00 PM
Charles Krauthammer
 
Ramadi falls. The Iraqi army flees. The great 60-nation anti-Islamic State  
coalition so grandly proclaimed by the Obama administration is nowhere to 
be  seen. Instead, it’s the defense minister of Iran who flies into Baghdad,  
an unsubtle demonstration of who’s in charge — while the U.S. air campaign 
 proves futile and America’s alleged strategy for combating the Islamic 
State is  in free fall. 
It gets worse. The Gulf States’ top leaders, betrayed and bitter,  
ostentatiously boycott President Obama’s failed Camp David summit. “We were  
America
’s best friend in the Arab world for 50 years,” laments Saudi Arabia’s  
former intelligence chief. 
Note: “were,” not “are.” 
We are scraping bottom. Following six years of Obama’s steady and 
determined  withdrawal from the Middle East, America’s standing in the region 
has 
collapsed.  And yet the question incessantly asked of the various presidential 
candidates is  not about that. 
It’s a retrospective hypothetical: Would you have invaded Iraq in 2003 if 
you  had known then what we know now? 
First, the question is not just a hypothetical, but an inherently 
impossible  hypothetical. It contradicts itself. Had we known there were no 
weapons 
of mass  destruction, the very question would not have arisen. The premise of 
the war —  the basis for going to the UN, to the Congress and, indeed, to 
the nation — was  Iraq’s possession of WMD in violation of the central 
condition for the ceasefire  that ended the first Gulf War. No WMD, no 
hypothetical to answer in the first  place. 
Second, the “if you knew then” question implicitly locates the origin and  
cause of the current disasters in 2003 . As if the fall of Ramadi was  
predetermined then, as if the author of the current regional collapse is George 
 
W. Bush. 
This is nonsense. The fact is that by the end of Bush’s tenure, the war had 
 been won. You can argue that the price of that victory was too high. Fine. 
We  can debate that until the end of time. 
But what is not debatable is that it was a victory. Bush bequeathed to 
Obama  a success. By whose measure? By Obama’s. As he told the troops at Fort 
Bragg on  Dec. 14, 2011, “We are leaving behind a sovereign, stable, and 
self-reliant  Iraq, with a representative government that was elected by its 
people.” This  was, said the President, a “moment of success.” 
Which Obama proceeded to fully squander. With the 2012 election 
approaching,  he chose to liquidate our military presence in Iraq. We didn’t 
just 
withdraw our  forces. We abandoned, destroyed or turned over our equipment, 
stores,  installations and bases. 
We surrendered our most valuable strategic assets, such as control of Iraqi 
 airspace, soon to become the indispensable conduit for Iran to supply and  
sustain the Assad regime in Syria and cement its influence all the way to 
the  Mediterranean. 
And, most relevant to the fall of Ramadi, we abandoned the vast 
intelligence  network we had so painstakingly constructed in Anbar province, 
without 
which our  current patchwork operations there are largely blind and 
correspondingly  feeble. 
The current collapse was not predetermined in 2003 but in 2011. Isn’t that  
what should be asked of Hillary Clinton? We know you think the invasion of 
2003  was a mistake. But what about the abandonment of 2011? Was that not a  
mistake? 
Mme. Secretary: When you arrived at State, Al Qaeda in Iraq had been 
crushed  and expelled from Anbar. The Iraqi government had from Basra to Sadr 
City 
fought  and defeated the radical, Iranian-proxy Shiite militias. Yet today 
these  militias are back, once again dominating Baghdad. On your watch, we 
gave up our  position as the dominant influence over a “sovereign, stable and 
self-reliant  Iraq” — forfeiting that position gratuitously to Iran. Was 
that not a mistake?  And where were you when it was made? 
Iraq is now a battlefield between the Sunni jihadists of the Islamic State  
and the Shiite jihadists of Iran’s Islamic Republic. There is no viable 
center.  We abandoned it. The Obama administration’s unilateral pullout created 
a vacuum  for the entry of the worst of the worst. 
And the damage was self-inflicted. The current situation in Iraq, says 
David  Petraeus, “is tragic foremost because it didn’t have to turn out this 
way. The  hard-earned progress of the surge was sustained for over three years.
” 
Do the math. That’s 2009 through 2011, the first three Obama years. And 
then  came the unraveling. When? The last U.S. troops left Iraq on Dec. 18, 
2011. 
Want to do retrospective hypotheticals? Start  there.

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