dalam situs ini dicantumkan juga persentase antara perkiraan terjadinya gempa dengan kenyataannya, hebat juga ada yang mencapai hingga 95% yaitu gempa di turki.
http://www.nextearthquake.com/earthquakes_long_term_forecasts.htm#longterm Sumatra Northern Region within ≈500 km of Medan, Northern Sumatra Lat 3.6 Lon 98.67 See Sumatra page for any further updates M6.9-M8.9 expected about Oct 28+/-3 days (our models now indicate at least a 50:50 chance of this event by 31st December, 2009). (Revised 0315 hours 22nd Oct) Sumatra Southern Region within ≈500 km of Lubuktandjung, Sumatra Lat -3.6 Lon 102.14 M5.0-M7.0 expected about Oct 31+/-3 days (posted 0014 hours 18th Oct) Taiwan Region within ≈500 km of a center about 300 km E of Taiwan at Lat 23.92 Lon 124.58 M6.0-M8.0 expected about Oct 30+/-3 days (posted 0230 hours 18th Oct) Turkey 'Western Region' within ≈350 km of Usak, Turkey, Lat 38.68 Lon 29.4 M2.7-M4.7expected about Oct 22+/-3 days (posted 0350 hours 18th Oct) M3.5 95% 21st October 2009 Lat 38.92 Lon 26.01 113 km NW of Izmir, Western Turkey (EMSC source) forecast 3 days ahead Vanuatu- Santa Cruz Islands within ≈500 km from Luganville, Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu Lat -15.51 Lon 167.15 M3.9-M5.9 expected about Oct 27+/-3 days (posted 0350 hours 19th Oct) M5.3 92% 19th October 2009 Lat -13.168 Lon 166.120 285 km NNW of Luganville, Vanuatu (USGS source) forecast 4 hours ahead Java - Sunda Strait Region includes southern Sumatra new region within ≈450 km from a center in Sunda Strait at Lat -5.869 Lon 105.762 M3.5-M5.5 expected about Oct 14+/-3 days (posted 0425 hours 6th Oct) M6.1 74% 16th October 2009 Lat -6.613 Lon 105.182 180 km WSW of Jakarta, Sunda Strait, Indonesia (USGS source) forecast 10 days ahead THE SUMATRA REGION is newly defined (02-24-08) and subdivided as follows: (1) Northern Sumatra - areas within ≈500 km radius* of Medan. This region, centered on Medan at Lat 3.59° and Lon 98.67°, extends from offshore Banda Aceh down through Simeulue to the Nias Region. Since 1975, this region has experienced 57 strong (M6.0-6.9), 5 major (M7.0-7.9), and two great earthquakes (M8.6 and M9.0) (USGS/NEIC & Google Earth sources) . (2) Southern Sumatra - areas within ≈500 km radius* of acenter point (Lat -3.60°, Lon 102.14°) at Lubuktandjung on the coast, which is 350 km SE of Padang. Since 1975 this region has experienced 68 strong (M6.0-6.9), 8 major (M7.0-7.9), and one great earthquake of magnitude 8.5 (December 2007). This region includes the very seismically active Kepulauan Mentawai area and extends from southern Nias down to the tip of Java across the Sunda Strait. ________________________________ From: Nofiardi <[email protected]> To: Milis M-RantauNet G <[email protected]> Sent: Fri, October 23, 2009 11:16:28 AM Subject: [...@ntau-net] Prediksi Gempa 28 Oktober Resahkan Warga --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ . Posting yg berasal dari Palanta RantauNet ini, jika dipublikasikan ditempat lain wajib mencantumkan sumbernya: ~dari Palanta r...@ntaunet http://groups.google.com/group/RantauNet/~ =========================================================== UNTUK DIPERHATIKAN, melanggar akan dimoderasi: - DILARANG: 1. Email besar dari 200KB; 2. Email attachment, tawarkan disini & kirim melalui jalur pribadi; 3. One Liner. - Anggota WAJIB mematuhi peraturan serta mengirim biodata! Lihat di: http://groups.google.com/group/RantauNet/web/peraturan-rantaunet - Tulis Nama, Umur & Lokasi pada setiap posting - Hapus footer & seluruh bagian tdk perlu dalam melakukan reply - Untuk topik/subjek baru buat email baru, tidak dengan mereply email lama =========================================================== Berhenti, kirim email kosong ke: [email protected] Untuk melakukan konfigurasi keanggotaan di: http://groups.google.com/group/RantauNet/subscribe -~----------~----~----~----~------~----~------~--~---
