> Unless one believes in conspiracy theories, it's reasonable to think
> that there is a market Darwinism at work here- that most bike
> purchasers feel more comfortable on bikes with around 60 mm trail,
> and this has resulted in selection of those bikes in the marketplace
> over low-trail bikes.

You do not need to resort to conspiracy theories to account for the
design shift.  The reality of the bike market is well over 70% of
purchases are basically impulse.  Someone gets a bee in their bonnet
from a wide range of stimuli -  Lance wins yet another exciting race,
someone talking about a cool bike trip, a lifestyle coach says cycling
is a good way to lose weight and expand ones horizon.  That person
goes to the bike store, gets a hard sale pitch from a person being
paid on commission brings the bike home, rides it a few times, then
puts it in storage until selling it on Craigs or eBay.

Among the relatively small percentage of the ramaining riders, a
signficant percentage are nuts about racing and will buy only what the
pros are using.  As you point out, that tends to be a high trail
bike.  Among those dedicated riders who do not race - or have a racing
bike and a daily rider - there remains a good percentage who buy low
trail.

On Dec 31, 9:39 am, Tim McNamara <[email protected]> wrote:
> On Dec 30, 2009, at 10:49 PM, PATRICK MOORE wrote:
>
> > On Wed, Dec 30, 2009 at 4:59 PM, james black <[email protected]>  
> > wrote:
>
> > On the other other hand, I think low-trail geometry is more than a
> > trendy bandwagon, and is in fact actually superior.
>
> > Why is this, exactly? I know it is better for front loads, but  
> > apart from front loads, are there advantages? I ask because all  
> > three Rivs I have owned have handled impeccably; I can't think of  
> > any improvement to them.
>
> While I realize that Jan Heine has brought the high-vs-low trail to  
> the forefront in a very small section of the bike market- which is by  
> no means a bad thing- it's also of note that low trail bikes have  
> generally disappeared from the marketplace over the past 30 years.  
> Unless one believes in conspiracy theories, it's reasonable to think  
> that there is a market Darwinism at work here- that most bike  
> purchasers feel more comfortable on bikes with around 60 mm trail,  
> and this has resulted in selection of those bikes in the marketplace  
> over low-trail bikes.  Road racers have used high-trail bikes for  
> decades (Eddy Merckx's De Rosa's had 58-60 mm trail, according the  
> Rebour's book).
>
> Jan's tastes lean very strongly towards low trail bikes.  We tend to  
> think that the bike stuff we like is objectively superior to the bike  
> stuff we don't like.  I think it's good that Jan has brought this  
> issue into the discussion about bikes, but I also think we need to  
> "try and see" these things for ourselves and see if they suit us.
>
> My favorite riding bike is a medium trail bike (about 55 mg trail)  
> with 26 x 1.25 tires (Riv A/R).  My very-close-but-next-favorite  
> riding bike has 60mm trail and 700 x 25s (Ritchey road, which is the  
> best handling race bike I have ever ridden... but I don't race any  
> more and prefer riding on slightly fatter, comfier tires these days).

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