“I keep hearing "10-20 times more deadly than the flu" and then "80% of infected people are invisible because they are untested and asymptomatic." Those two statements seem to not make sense together except to say we have yet to understand what is happening.”
The issue is that people do not show SYMPTOMS for 3-12 days AFTER they have the virus and are most infectious at the earliest stages of the illness. A “mild” case of the virus is a two-week to month-long illness, with symptoms up to and including pneumonia; a “moderate” case Is one that requires hospitalization and intubation; “severe” means that other organs are involved and survival is not assured. Once hospitals become overwhelmed with “moderate” cases, they must make decisions about who to treat. They will treat younger people, those with kids, politicians, the richest, (pick your category)etc. before older people. They will have to make decisions like that. Healthcare workers will be overwhelmed and fall sick themselves. Because we have done so little testing, epidemiologists are projecting spread by using China, South Korea, and Italy as models. China built a couple of entire hospitals in 10 days to meet the need. They took draconian (by our standards) measures. Still, they were treating people stacked in hallways and broom closets. South Korea has far more beds per person than the US, so their survival rate is expected to be higher than ours will be. The latest projections are showing a conservative 420,000 will die in the US in the next several weeks. It will spread quickly because of the 5.2-day (on average) pre-symptomatic infectious period. Here’s my source. https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "RBW Owners Bunch" group. To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to [email protected]. To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/rbw-owners-bunch/e978242f-7024-409f-a0a2-56f90aee2659%40googlegroups.com.
