I think that once you make the playoff you have a good chance of winning. Call it the "Giants Effect". So being good enough to get in is all you need.
Now, I'd say the Yankees had a better than average chance of winning it last year, and we had a worse than average chance (as we did in 2004) but all playoff teams have a real chance. Even the Patriots. On Dec 31, 2009, at 9:07 AM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> wrote: > I'm not sure how you figure we will "do fine" when we got swept in > the first round of the playoffs last year by a team who then got > crushed by the Yankees. > > If by "do fine" you think we will make the playoffs, then yeah I > think we have a good chance for that goal, which I think is the > goal of Sox management. > > > From: [email protected] > [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Tom Salemi > Sent: Thursday, December 31, 2009 4:39 AM > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: Jason Bay > > I'm not as concerned about our offense as some people. I'm not going > to run through the 09 stats, but if I look at the roster I see > reason for some hope. > > Comparing the 09 team to the potential 10 team, I see offensive > improvement at catcher and short-stop. I see equal performance > coming from 1b, 2b, CF, RF, and DH. > > And I see us likely taking a ding in LF and 3B, unless we sign > Beltre for the latter then it may be equal. > > So if we go into 10 with a slightly weaker lineup but a stronger > pitching staff I think we'll do fine. > > My one worry, and it's a biggie, is Victor Martinez. Unless we go > into 2010 without an everyday 3B, he'll pretty much be required to > catch every day. Is he capable of that? I thought he'd been > transitioning to a 1B role. > > On Wed, Dec 30, 2009 at 9:53 PM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> > wrote: > That gets back to the fans goal: Win a World Series. > > The fans don't care if we win the division, though I do. I think > winning the division is harder than winning the World Series once > you're in the playoffs. > > > On Wed, Dec 30, 2009 at 8:03 PM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> > wrote: > I guess that makes some sense, except that you have to beat the > Yankees eventually to win the World Series. > > But the Red Sox have adopted exactly the strategy that you stated > here - get to the playoffs as inexpensively as possible, and then > hope for something unusual to happen. As a fan, I'm not satisfied > with that strategy because they have the money to compete with the > Yankees, they just choose to maximize their profits instead. > > From: [email protected] > [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi > Sent: Wednesday, December 30, 2009 7:40 PM > > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: Jason Bay > > To win the World Series you need to get into the playoffs. In a > division with the Yankees, the cheapest way to get into the playoffs > is to win the Wildcard. Winning the division is too expensive. > > On Wed, Dec 30, 2009 at 4:26 PM, Steve Gendron <[email protected]> > wrote: > I'm not sure I understand that. > > Seems like just the opposite. > > From: [email protected] > [mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Ray Salemi > Sent: Wednesday, December 30, 2009 1:28 PM > > To: [email protected] > Subject: Re: Jason Bay > > When your fan base only cares about World Series rings, playing for > the wildcard is the smart strategy. > > Ray > > > > -- > Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity > in Just 12 Weeks" > www.leadingafteralayoff.com > > > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected] > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en > . > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected] > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en > . > > > > -- > Author of "Leading After a Layoff: Reignite Your Team's Productivity > in Just 12 Weeks" > www.leadingafteralayoff.com > > > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected] > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en > . > > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected] > . > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected] > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en > . > -- > > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google > Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected] > . > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en > . -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. 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