Tom,

Ha

 

Ray,

Are you saying that all the stats are merely a guide to how you might
feel about a pitcher's effectiveness?

 

"Wins" is only a good stat for starters.  That has been my position.

And it is defensible as a good indicator for starters.  As is ERA.

 

John

 

________________________________

From: [email protected]
[mailto:[email protected]] On Behalf Of Tom Salemi
Sent: Monday, July 26, 2010 10:55 AM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: Fixing "Wins"

 

I also think the terms wins and losses are too divisive for our
children. I think we should start calling all decisions co-victories.

On Mon, Jul 26, 2010 at 10:36 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:

Yesterday we saw that "Wins" as we count them today are a useless
pitching stat.  They are only vaguely correlated to the skill of a
pitcher and can be picked up through sheer luck.  

 

That said, I think it would be good to have better "counting" stats for
pitchers.  Saves are an example of a decent counting stat.  They measure
pitching in difficult situations.  So if I were king of the world (a
horrible scenario) I'd like to see the following pitching stats.

 

First a simple rule.  All these stats only apply if the tying run is on
deck when the pitcher enters the game.  They are counted when the
pitcher leaves the game.

 

There are two basic stats:

 

1. The hold -- The team had the lead when the pitcher entered the game
and kept it when he left.

2. The blown hold -- The team had the lead or a tie when the pitcher
entered the game and didn't have it when he left.

 

This gives us the following:

 

1.  Win -- A hold that happens the inning after a team takes the lead

2.  Loss -- A blown hold in a game where the team never regains the lead

3.  Save -- A hold at the end of the game

 

4.  Hold  -- as defined

2. Blown hold -- as defined

 

So in yesterday's game Oki would have gotten the loss and Aardmsa would
have gotten a Win and a Save.

 

Ray

 


-- 
Author of "FPGA Simulation: A Complete Step-by-Step Guide"
www.fpgasimulation.com <http://www.fpgasimulation.com/> 



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