That .220 on balls in play is an interesting stat because it's essentially luck. Teams get hits by putting more balls in play, not by putting better balls in play. If we're really that low then we're due for a snap back to normal numbers.
On Fri, Apr 8, 2011 at 8:51 AM, Steve Ouellette <[email protected]>wrote: > A good read, and I think this one is free: > > http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13499 > > Includes this hopeful paragraph: > > "Note that through Wednesday, our playoff odds simulation still gave > the Red Sox an 84 percent chance to reach the postseason (in > comparison, the Rays are bleeding out at 11 percent, but there was > little reason to think that this year’s edition was of the same > quality as last year’s to begin with). Despite their winless start, > they retain the highest predicted chance of making it to the big > October hoedown of any team in baseball, including the 6-0 Rangers (77 > percent). There is simply too much that’s good about the Red Sox to > believe that their offense will continue to hit .220 on balls in > play—even last year’s Mariners, an offensive aggregation that would > have been chased off the sandlot by such slugging juggernauts as the > 1912 St. Louis Browns, were better than that. Nor will their pitchers > unite behind their current 7.13 ERA; not even the 1930 Phillies were > capable of that." > > Steve O > > -- > You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups > "Red Sox Citizens" group. > To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. > To unsubscribe from this group, send email to > [email protected]. > For more options, visit this group at > http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en. > > -- Author of Robot Haiku<http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1440511977?ie=UTF8&tag=rayspicks&linkCode=as2&camp=1789&creative=390957&creativeASIN=1440511977> : Poems for humans to read until their robots decide it's kill time. -- You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Red Sox Citizens" group. To post to this group, send email to [email protected]. To unsubscribe from this group, send email to [email protected]. For more options, visit this group at http://groups.google.com/group/redsoxcitizens?hl=en.
