I don't have the breakdown, but it seems like an awful lot of those
balls in play have been pop ups and shallow fly balls, not line
drives.

Steve O

On Fri, Apr 8, 2011 at 9:26 AM, Ray Salemi <[email protected]> wrote:
> That .220 on balls in play is an interesting stat because it's essentially
> luck.  Teams get hits by putting more balls in play, not by putting better
> balls in play.  If we're really that low then we're due for a snap back to
> normal numbers.
>
> On Fri, Apr 8, 2011 at 8:51 AM, Steve Ouellette <[email protected]>
> wrote:
>>
>> A good read, and I think this one is free:
>>
>> http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=13499
>>
>> Includes this hopeful paragraph:
>>
>> "Note that through Wednesday, our playoff odds simulation still gave
>> the Red Sox an 84 percent chance to reach the postseason (in
>> comparison, the Rays are bleeding out at 11 percent, but there was
>> little reason to think that this year’s edition was of the same
>> quality as last year’s to begin with). Despite their winless start,
>> they retain the highest predicted chance of making it to the big
>> October hoedown of any team in baseball, including the 6-0 Rangers (77
>> percent). There is simply too much that’s good about the Red Sox to
>> believe that their offense will continue to hit .220 on balls in
>> play—even last year’s Mariners, an offensive aggregation that would
>> have been chased off the sandlot by such slugging juggernauts as the
>> 1912 St. Louis Browns, were better than that. Nor will their pitchers
>> unite behind their current 7.13 ERA; not even the 1930 Phillies were
>> capable of that."
>>
>> Steve O
>>
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>
>
>
> --
> Author of Robot Haiku : Poems for humans to read until their robots decide
> it's kill time.
>

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