Excerpts from an address given by Bill Moyers to the Society of Professional 
Journalists 2004 National Convention, September 11, 2004 

The Rapture Index and the U.S. election 

How do we explain the possibility that a close election ... could turn on 
several million good and decent citizens who believe in the Rapture Index? 
That's what I said ­ the Rapture Index. Google it and you will understand 
why the best-selling books in America today are the twelve volumes of the Left 
Behind series which have earned multi-millions of dollars for their co-authors 
who earlier this year completed a triumphant tour of the Bible Belt whose 
buckle holds in place George W. Bush's armour of the Lord. These true believers 
subscribe to a fantastical theology concocted in the l9th century by a couple 
of immigrant preachers who took disparate passages from the Bible and wove them 
into a narrative millions of people believe to be literally true. 

According to this narrative, Jesus will return to earth only when certain 
conditions are met: when Israel has been established as a state; when Israel 
then occupies the rest of its "biblical lands;" when the third temple has been 
rebuilt on the site now occupied by the Dome of the Rock and Al-Aqsa mosques; 
and, then, when legions of the Antichrist attack Israel. This will trigger a 
final showdown in the valley of Armageddon during which all the Jews who have 
not converted will be burned. Then the Messiah returns to earth. The Rapture 
occurs once the big battle begins. "True believers" will be lifted out of their 
clothes and transported to heaven where, seated next to the right hand of God, 
they will watch their political and religious opponents suffer plagues of 
boils, sores, locusts and frogs during the several years of tribulation which 
follow. 

I'm not making this up. We've reported on these people for our weekly broadcast 
on PBS, following some of them from Texas to the West Bank. They are sincere, 
serious, and polite as they tell you that they feel called to help bring the 
Rapture on as fulfillment of biblical prophecy. That's why they have declared 
solidarity with Israel and the Jewish settlements and backed up their support 
with money and volunteers. It's why they have staged confrontations at the old 
temple site in Jerusalem. It's why the invasion of Iraq for them was a warm-up 
act, predicted in the 9th chapter of the Book of Revelations where four angels 
"which are bound in the great river Euphrates" will be released "to slay the 
third part of men." As the British writer George Monbiot has pointed out, for 
these people the Middle East is not a foreign policy issue, it's a biblical 
scenario, a matter of personal belief. A war with Islam in the Middle East is 
not something to be feared but welcomed; if there's a
 conflagration there, they come out winners on the far side of tribulation, 
inside the pearly gates, in celestial splendor, supping on ambrosia to the 
accompaniment of harps plucked by angels. 

One estimate puts these people at about l5 per cent of the electorate. Most are 
likely to vote Republican; they are part of the core of George W. Bush's base 
support. He knows who they are and what they want. When the President asked 
Ariel Sharon to pull his tanks out of Jenin in 2002, over one hundred thousand 
angry Christian fundamentalists barraged the White House with emails and Mr. 
Bush never mentioned the matter again. 

Not coincidentally, the administration recently put itself solidly behind Ariel 
Sharon's expansions of settlements on the West Bank. In George Monbiot's 
analysis, the President stands to lose fewer votes by encouraging Israeli 
expansion into the West Bank than he stands to lose by restraining it. "He 
would be mad to listen to these people, but he would also be mad not to." No 
wonder Karl Rove walks around the West Wing whistling "Onward Christian 
Soldiers." He knows how many votes he is likely to get from these pious folk 
who believe that the Rapture Index now stands at 144 --- just one point below 
the critical threshold at which point the prophecy is fulfilled, the whole 
thing blows, the sky is filled with floating naked bodies, and the true 
believers wind up at the right hand of God. With no regret for those left 
behind. (See George Monbiot. The Guardian, April 20, 2004 (following) 

I know, I know: You think I am bonkers... But this is just the point: 
Journalists who try to tell these stories, connect these dots, and examine 
these links are demeaned, disparaged, and dismissed. This is the very kind of 
story that illustrates the challenge journalists face in a world driven by 
ideologies that are stoutly maintained despite being contradicted by what is 
generally accepted as reality.

Bill Moyers


Their beliefs are bonkers, but they are at the heart of power 

US Christian fundamentalists are driving Bush's Middle East policy 

George Monbiot 
Tuesday April 20, 2004
The Guardian 

To understand what is happening in the Middle East, you must first understand 
what is happening in Texas. To understand what is happening there, you should 
read the resolutions passed at the state's Republican party conventions last 
month. 

Take a look, for example, at the decisions made in Harris County, which covers 
much of Houston. The delegates began by nodding through a few uncontroversial 
matters: homosexuality is contrary to the truths ordained by God; "any 
mechanism to process, license, record, register or monitor the ownership of 
guns" should be repealed; income tax, inheritance tax, capital gains tax and 
corporation tax should be abolished; and immigrants should be deterred by 
electric fences. Thus fortified, they turned to the real issue: the affairs of 
a small state 7,000 miles away. It was then, according to a participant, that 
the "screaming and near fist fights" began. I don't know what the original 
motion said, but apparently it was "watered down significantly" as a result of 
the shouting match. The motion they adopted stated that Israel has an undivided 
claim to Jerusalem and the West Bank, that Arab states should be "pressured" to 
absorb refugees from Palestine, and that Israel should do whatever it
 wishes in seeking to eliminate terrorism. 

Good to see that the extremists didn't prevail then. But why should all this be 
of such pressing interest to the people of a state which is seldom celebrated 
for its fascination with foreign affairs? 

The explanation is slowly becoming familiar to us, but we still have some 
difficulty in taking it seriously. 

In the United States, several million people have succumbed to an extraordinary 
delusion. In the 19th century, two immigrant preachers cobbled together a 
series of unrelated passages from the Bible to create what appears to be a 
consistent narrative: Jesus will return to Earth when certain preconditions 
have been met. 

The first of these was the establishment of a state of Israel. The next 
involves Israel's occupation of the rest of its "biblical lands" (most of the 
Middle East), and the rebuilding of the Third Temple on the site now occupied 
by the Dome of the Rock and al-Aqsa mosques. The legions of the antichrist will 
then be deployed against Israel, and their war will lead to a final showdown in 
the valley of Armageddon. The Jews will either burn or convert to Christianity, 
and the Messiah will return to Earth. 

What makes the story so appealing to Christian fundamentalists is that before 
the big battle begins, all "true believers" (ie those who believe what they 
believe) will be lifted out of their clothes and wafted up to heaven during an 
event called the Rapture. Not only do the worthy get to sit at the right hand 
of God, but they will be able to watch, from the best seats, their political 
and religious opponents being devoured by boils, sores, locusts and frogs, 
during the seven years of Tribulation which follow. 

The true believers are now seeking to bring all this about. This means staging 
confrontations at the old temple site (in 2000, three US Christians were 
deported for trying to blow up the mosques there), sponsoring Jewish 
settlements in the occupied territories, demanding ever more US support for 
Israel, and seeking to provoke a final battle with the Muslim world/Axis of 
Evil/United Nations/ European Union/France or whoever the legions of the 
antichrist turn out to be. 

The believers are convinced that they will soon be rewarded for their efforts. 
The antichrist is apparently walking among us, in the guise of Kofi Annan, 
Javier Solana, Yasser Arafat or, more plausibly, Silvio Berlusconi. The 
Wal-Mart corporation is also a candidate (in my view a very good one), because 
it wants to radio-tag its stock, thereby exposing humankind to the Mark of the 
Beast. 

By clicking on www.raptureready.com, you can discover how close you might be to 
flying out of your pyjamas. 

The infidels among us should take note that the Rapture Index currently stands 
at 144, just one point below the critical threshold, beyond which the sky will 
be filled with floating nudists. 

Beast Government, Wild Weather and Israel are all trading at the maximum five 
points (the EU is debat ing its constitution, there was a freak hurricane in 
the south Atlantic, Hamas has sworn to avenge the killing of its leaders), but 
the second coming is currently being delayed by an unfortunate decline in drug 
abuse among teenagers and a weak showing by the antichrist (both of which score 
only two). 

We can laugh at these people, but we should not dismiss them. That their 
beliefs are bonkers does not mean they are marginal. American pollsters believe 
that 15-18% of US voters belong to churches or movements which subscribe to 
these teachings. A survey in 1999 suggested that this figure included 33% of 
Republicans. 

The best-selling contemporary books in the US are the 12 volumes of the Left 
Behind series, which provide what is usually described as a "fictionalised" 
account of the Rapture (this, apparently, distinguishes it from the other one), 
with plenty of dripping details about what will happen to the rest of us. 

The people who believe all this don't believe it just a little; for them it is 
a matter of life eternal and death. And among them are some of the most 
powerful men in America. John Ashcroft, the attorney general, is a true 
believer, so are several prominent senators and the House majority leader, Tom 
DeLay. Mr DeLay (who is also the co-author of the marvellously named 
DeLay-Doolittle Amendment, postponing campaign finance reforms) travelled to 
Israel last year to tell the Knesset that "there is no middle ground, no 
moderate position worth taking". 

So here we have a major political constituency - representing much of the 
current president's core vote - in the most powerful nation on Earth, which is 
actively seeking to provoke a new world war. 

Its members see the invasion of Iraq as a warm-up act, as Revelation (9:14-15) 
maintains that four angels "which are bound in the great river Euphrates" will 
be released "to slay the third part of men". 

They batter down the doors of the White House as soon as its support for Israel 
wavers: when Bush asked Ariel Sharon to pull his tanks out of Jenin in 2002, he 
received 100,000 angry emails from Christian fundamentalists, and never 
mentioned the matter again. 

The electoral calculation, crazy as it appears, works like this. Governments 
stand or fall on domestic issues. For 85% of the US electorate, the Middle East 
is a foreign issue, and therefore of secondary interest when they enter the 
polling booth. For 15% of the electorate, the Middle East is not just a 
domestic matter, it's a personal one: if the president fails to start a 
conflagration there, his core voters don't get to sit at the right hand of God. 
Bush, in other words, stands to lose fewer votes by encouraging Israeli 
aggression than he stands to lose by restraining it. 

He would be mad to listen to these people. He would also be mad not to. 

George Monbiot's book The Age of Consent: a Manifesto for a New World Order is 
now published in paperback. 




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