---------- Forwarded message ----------
From: Paul Wood <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: Sep 7, 2006 3:39 PM
Subject: [romania-economics] Migration is a two-way street
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Home front
By Philip Johnston

(Filed: 28/08/2006)

Migration is a two-way street

There is a group of European nationals who, in their hundreds of thousands,
are leaving home to set up in other countries, pushing up property prices,
using local services and failing miserably to learn their hosts' languages
or to integrate properly into their communities.

It is estimated that three million of these people have upped and left to
settle elsewhere. Who are they? Poles, Czechs, Latvians? Er, it's us,
actually. Historically, we British are probably the most mobile people in
the EU, notwithstanding the recent movement of eastern Europeans westwards
in search of work since their countries joined in 2004.

Some people huffed and puffed themselves up into high dudgeon last week at
the prospect of another wave arriving on our shores when Romania and
Bulgaria join the EU. One headline asked: "How many more can we take?" Yet
this question is largely academic since, as citizens of the EU, they will
have unfettered residency rights even if the labour market is closed off to
them for a year or two; and if they can travel to this country and live
here, they can soon find jobs on the black market if any are available. The
alternative is to veto their entry or to leave the EU.

But while we seem to get into a lather when the Eastern hordes begin to trek
west, we are more sanguine about our right to travel and settle abroad,
though nowadays we tend to consider ourselves "expats" when we get there,
rather than immigrants.

In our hundreds of thousands, we Brits have decamped to French villages,
Spanish coastal resorts and further afield, not just to work for a while
before returning home, but often for good. And judging by yesterday's ICM
poll suggesting 10 million Britons would be happy to go and live elsewhere
because they are fed up with Tony Blair's high-taxing government, this trend
shows every sign of quickening.

It is, of course, arguable that the two phenomena are related: that a lot of
Brits are leaving because a lot of foreigners are arriving and they don't
like it. But we do seem to operate some double standards here. While we
spend a lot of time debating what immigration means to Britain, little
thought is given to the wanderlust of this island race. For 400 years, and
until relatively recently, Britain was not, as some are wont to describe it,
an immigrant nation; it was an emigrant one. Since the Mayflower sailed for
the New World in 1620, there have been few occasions when net migration to
the UK was positive.

Of the millions of Europeans who journeyed from Europe to America in the
19th century, one third were from Britain and Ireland. Passenger statistics
show that between 1853 and 1913, an astonishing 13 million British citizens
left the land of their birth, bound mainly for North America, Australia,
South Africa and New Zealand. Some came back; but cumulative net emigration
was equivalent to 13 per cent of the population, mostly those aged between
18 and 45.

Among the avalanche of population statistics published last week, three
stood out. One was the settlement figure for last year, which has risen by
an extraordinary 30 per cent. A second was the record number of nearly
500,000 foreign nationals who came to Britain to stay for a year or more,
double the number in 1997.

But a third statistic indicated that emigration is on the rise once more,
with 207,000 British nationals leaving the country in 2004. This was the
highest number since before the Great War, when, as A J P Taylor noted in
his English History 1914-45, the outflow was running at 300,000 per annum
and more young men were leaving the country every year than died on the
battlefields of Europe.

So while more foreign nationals are coming here and staying on, at the same
time more British nationals are leaving. That is why the current trends are
so different from those that have gone before. Of course, the Empire saw
many Brits settling overseas; but there was little inward migration to
Britain at the time. The motor for population growth was the high birth
rate.

The changes taking place now are unprecedented. This is not, as it has
become in recent weeks, a superficial story about cheap plumbers and
hard-working Polish waiters. It is about a fundamental and significant
change in the way the country looks, sounds, thinks and feels.

Cumulatively since 1997, 1.6 million British nationals have left the country
and 806,000 have returned. At the same time, 2.93 million foreign nationals
have arrived and 1.41 million have left. So, for every two Brits that leave,
one returns; but for every two foreign nationals that arrive, only one
leaves.

In 1998, the net annual outflow from the country of British nationals (ie
the difference between those leaving and coming back) had dwindled to
22,000. By 2004, this had risen to 120,000. Over the same period, the net
inflow of non-Britons grew from 106,000 to 342,000 a year. Most of the
overseas nationals who stay are from the Commonwealth or are described as
"other foreign". EU nationals tend not to stay. Between 1997 and 2004,
594,000 EU nationals came, but 412,000 left.

Millions of Britons live abroad. There are 250,000 second homes in France
that are owned by British nationals, though it is impossible to know how
many of these people have made France their permanent base, since they no
longer need a resident's permit to settle permanently. According to the
Institute for Public Policy Research, which recently launched a project to
take a detailed look at the British diaspora and the implications of
emigration, one in 12 UK nationals may be living overseas.

This renewed departure of so many Britons is exacerbating the demographic
and cultural changes that have been wrought by high levels of immigration.
In just four decades, the UK has been transformed from a country of net
emigration to one of net immigration. Just imagine how will we look 40 years
from now. It is a future that needs to be prepared for and an issue that
needs to be openly discussed. Isn't it generous of our political lords and
masters to give us, belatedly, permission to do so?


-- 
______________
EuroAtlantic Club
monitoring Romania's journey towards the EU
http://www.europe.org.ro/euroatlantic_club/
mail to: P.O.Box 13-166, Bucharest 011737
e-mail to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]





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