Financial Times:

Europeans'
<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0706b982-af3e-11db-a446-0000779e2340.html> low
expectations of eurozone prove widespread


By Ralph Atkins in Frankfurt

Published: January 29 2007 02:00 | Last updated: January 29 2007 02:00

The eurozone economy may be growing robustly, but its citizens appear not to
expect significant financial gains as a result. They give scant credit to
the eight-year-old euro for improving national performances, an FT/Harris
poll shows.

The sceptical views of citizens in the main European economies - Germany,
France, Spain and Italy, which use the euro currency, and the UK - may do
little to cheer European Union policymakers.

More than half of adults surveyed believed that the euro had harmed their
national economies, with scepticism especially high in France and Italy.

But the results at least offer the European Central Bank comfort on one
front: expectations of inflation-beating wage rises are not widespread. Just
under half of adults in employment across the countries surveyed expect to
receive a pay rise this year. Of those expecting a pay rise, roughly 23 per
cent expect a rise above the rate of inflation but 24 per cent expect an
increase below the rate.

Workers in Britain and Spain - where inflation rates are the highest among
the largest European Union countries - are most likely to expect a pay rise.
The French and Germans are more likely to expect a pay rise above the
inflation rate.

Fears about inflationary pressures from the labour market are a main reason
why the ECB has signalled further interest rate rises are likely.

But Europeans' low expectations about their own finances could also damp
consumer spending, lowering overall growth.

When asked how they expected their finances to fare in 2007, just 26 per
cent expect to be better off at the end of the year.

Some 23 per cent of the adults surveyed expect to be worse off and 43 per
cent expect no change. The British and Spanish were significantly more
confident that their finances would improve, with 31 per cent and 38 per
cent respectively expecting to end the year better off.

Scepticism about the effects of globalisation is also evident. A clear
majority of European adults believed an influx of migrant workers has
reduced wages. That is particularly true in Germany, where 69 per cent of
adults think that wages have fallen as a result and 33 per cent describe the
decline as "substantial". Unsurprisingly, low income families think the
effects have been the worst.

Almost a quarter of adults in full or part-time employment are concerned
that they may lose their jobsthis year. Italians and the Spanish are the
most concerned.

The entry of Bulgaria and Romania this year into the European Union also
failed to find much support; some 45 per cent of adults regarded the move as
a negative. In Germany, almost 60 per cent had negative feelings about the
entry of the new members.

 <http://www.ft.com/servicestools/help/copyright> Copyright The Financial
Times Limited 2007

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