Near-term nickel supply unlikely to stem demand

 The price of nickel is expected to rise beyond its current stratospheric level 
as new supply due later this year will fail to satisfy a growing need for the 
metal in stainless steel, jet engines and hybrid cars, analysts said at the 
Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries' spring conference in New Orleans.

    //-->      Monday, April 23, 2007

      The price of nickel is expected to rise beyond its current stratospheric 
level as new supply due later this year will fail to satisfy a growing need for 
the metal in stainless steel, jet engines and hybrid cars, analysts said at the 
Institute of Scrap Recycling Industries' spring conference in New 
Orleans."We're likely to see upside price risk for the next two quarters with 
some of the price pressures alleviated by the end of the year," said Jason 
Schenker, economist at Wachovia Corp. 
Schenker forecast a 2007 average benchmark London Metal Exchange price of 
US$43,309 (HK$337,810.20) a tonne, slipping to a US$36,000 average in 2008 with 
the addition of new supply. Meanwhile, he said he looks for shortages in the 
face of current robust demand to send second and third quarter averages to 
US$46,000 a tonne, nearly twice the 2006 average.
LME nickel soared to an all-time peak of US$50,150 a tonne last week and closed 
Friday at US$48,700.
New supply anticipated by year end or early 2008 will probably be insufficient 
to stem price gains, analysts said.
Seven large development projects are scheduled to add about 250,000 new tonnes 
of nickel a year by 2010, but mines set to have opened by now have been fraught 
with construction, environmental and other delays. 
REUTERS

       
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